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SCP-4795 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4795
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$3.0M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
16
Initial one-time setup is approximately $2.96M driven primarily by a biomechanical drone fleet, R&D and lab/aviary buildout; recurring annual costs are about $1.71M driven by staff wages, drone maintenance/reserves, research and legal/cover obligations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.0M
Equipment $1.5M
[#3] Biomechanical surveillance drone fleet procurement (planning figure ~ $1–2M used here for 100-unit fleet).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#4, #13] Drone R&D/adaptation and certification plus captive aviary and wet lab buildout.
Decommissioning And Remediation $100K
[#27] Decommissioning, disposal of drones/reagents and site remediation reserve.
Data Systems $60K
[#16] Servers, software and initial ML infrastructure for video capture and analysis.
Containment Kit $60K
[#23] Rapid escalation & containment kit purchase (netting, mobile capture gear, trailers).
Charging Infrastructure $50K
[#6] Charging stations (solar + grid backup), battery packs and chargers.
Vehicles $50K
[#10] Acquisition of 1–3 vans/pickups for crew/equipment transport.
Cover Story Startup $30K
[#18] One-time legal/municipal liaison and cover/public-relations startup costs.
Training Setup $30K
[#20] Initial training program setup and scenario preparation.
Facilities $25K
[#2] Renovation and secure storage fit-out for office (server rack, secure cabinets, small workshop).
Comm And Aviation Equipment $20K
[#17] Communications/encryption hardware and initial aviation coordination equipment.
Imports And Customs $20K
[#19] Import duties, customs brokerage and secure transport setup for specialized components.
Signage $10K
[#11] Public signage and physical mitigations installation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $500K/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Parazoology research team, local technical staff/drone operators, and on-site security wages combined.
Drone Maintenance And Spares $300K/yr
[#5] Ongoing maintenance, spares and replacement parts (estimated 15–30% of fleet procurement/year).
Drone Loss Reserve $200K/yr
[#24] Contingency reserve for drone losses/sabotage (~10–25% of fleet value annually).
Long Term Research $200K/yr
[#26] Multi-year behavioral research grants, stipends and computational resources.
Public Incident Liability $100K/yr
[#21] Annual reserve for civilian compensation and liability.
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal retainer, municipal liaison payments, PR and cover-story maintenance.
Veterinary And Injury Reserve $60K/yr
[#15] Routine veterinary care plus reserve for occasional human injury claims.
Captive Aviary Upkeep $40K/yr
[#13] HVAC, caging, consumables and upkeep for aviary/wet lab.
Population Control $35K/yr
[#12] Trapping, contraceptive baiting and humane removal programs.
Regional Intel Monitoring $30K/yr
[#28] Monitoring related regional pigeon movements and data subscriptions.
Park Sanitation $25K/yr
[#22] Routine park sanitation and guano management contracts.
Visiting Specialist Travel $25K/yr
[#25] Travel, visas and per-diem for visiting specialists and Envoy staff.
Field Office Lease And Utilities $22K/yr
[#1] Field office lease plus electricity, water and internet.
Diagnostic Testing $20K/yr
[#14] Routine avian disease surveillance and lab testing (sampling program estimate).
Vehicles Maintenance $15K/yr
[#10] Fuel, maintenance and insurance for site vehicles.
Data Systems Maintenance $15K/yr
[#16] Cloud costs, backups, ML processing and software licenses.
Training Recurring $15K/yr
[#20] Recurring drills, refreshers and scenario exercises.
Charging Energy $10K/yr
[#6] Electricity, battery replacements and energy costs for charging fleet.
Containment Kit Maintenance $10K/yr
[#23] Maintenance and replacement of rapid-deploy containment gear.
Comm And Aviation Licenses $6K/yr
[#17] Permit renewals, aviation liaison and RF coordination fees.
Signage Maintenance $2K/yr
[#11] Routine replacement and repair of public signage.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
73.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, maintenance and research activity but no large incidents.
no major drone losses routine research schedule steady municipal cooperation
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Localized drone losses, moderate sabotage or a concentrated mass-flock encounter requiring accelerated replacements and extra ops.
drone attrition > normal small-scale sabotage localized mass-flock engagements
🚨 Major Breach $2.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Large mass flock event or containment failure requiring emergency mass-response, medical claims, large equipment replacement and PR/legal payouts.
mass convergence of tens of thousands of pigeons major public injuries/coverage large-scale drone fleet losses
🚨 Political Exposure $1.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Public or municipal discovery forcing heavy legal, PR and cover-up expenditures and increased liaison/compensation costs.
media exposure municipal investigation legal suits
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Parazoologist 3 [#7] Senior parazoologists and supporting research staff included in staff wage total.
Technical Staff / Drone Operator 6 [#8] Local technicians handling daily drone operations, packing and data-tagging.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#9] On-site security and rapid-response guards (mix of contracted and covert operatives).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges, but several large uncertainties remain (fleet size, degree of bespoke R&D, secrecy premium, and frequency/severity of incidents). Estimates use mid-range assumptions and Foundation planning guidance; variance could be substantial.
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