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SCP-4811 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4811
Expected annual
$3.1M
One-time setup
$15.7M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
11
Initial capital expenditures are dominated by facility construction and an optional large-range test bay (~$13.3M), while annual operating costs are driven by staff wages and a maintained emergency reserve; total recurring costs are roughly $3.05M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $15.7M
Facilities $13.3M
[#2, #9, #15, #25] Vault/room fit-out (#2), quarantine room buildout (#9), optional 100 m cone test bay (#15), and containment-upgrade contingency set-aside (#25).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M
[#13, #23] High-end research instrumentation / imaging procurement (#13) and secure archival hardware for research logs (#23).
Equipment $1.1M
[#1, #3, #4, #5, #11, #14] Secure locker/cradle (#1), remote handling/robotic manipulator (#3), deactivation/lockout hardware (#4), surveillance hardware portion (#5), initial medical emergency equipment/training portion (#11), and destructive-analysis remote rigs/equipment (#14).
Sop Creation And Initial Training $25K
[#21] Initial SOP creation and initial staff training costs (one-time portion).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Emergency Response Reserve $1.2M/yr
[#16] Annual maintenance/availability of an emergency fund / catastrophic reserve for rapid response and surge needs (#16).
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#6, #7] 24/7 security staffing (6 guards, benefits/overhead) (#6) plus Level-3 research oversight and authorized-personnel salaries (researchers + technicians) (#7).
Opportunity Cost Moratorium $250K/yr
[#24] Budget set-aside for future program review and enforcement costs related to research moratorium (quantified set-aside).
Facilities Maintenance $130K/yr
[#2, #5, #9, #20, #25] Vault/quarantine annual maintenance and sensors/batteries (#2, #9), surveillance maintenance portion (#5), utilities/ongoing site maintenance (#20), and recurring component of periodic containment-upgrade contingency (#25).
Cover Story And Legal $115K/yr
[#17, #18] Baseline cover-up/amnestic contingency budget (#17) and legal/ethical review & administrative overhead (#18).
Insurance And External Contracts $88K/yr
[#19] Retainers, liability coverage, and contracting with external labs / imaging providers and specialist vendors (#19).
Medical Monitoring Per Subject $75K/yr
[#8] Per-long-term-exposed-subject medical monitoring, nursing care, supplements, blindness care, and counselling (mid-range per-note estimate).
Psychological Care And Staff Support $30K/yr
[#22] Counseling for staff trauma, ethical counselling support, and related personnel programs (#22).
Research And Monitoring $12K/yr
[#23] Ongoing long-term monitoring, data archive maintenance and research logging (#23).
Training And Drills Refresher $10K/yr
[#11, #21] Recurring refresher training for medical emergency response and periodic SOP drills (#11, #21).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#10] PPE, long-handled tools, tamper seals, testing disposables, and sanitization supplies (#10).
Hazardous Waste Management $5K/yr
[#12] Baseline readiness for classification, disposal, and secure chain-of-custody for anomalous biological wastes (#12).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
94.9% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, no major exposures or containment incidents.
no accidental activations no large-scale testing standard staffing and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Small accidental exposure or localized equipment failure resulting in 1–2 long-term exposures and modest remediation/cover-up costs.
single accidental activation small-scale personnel exposure local equipment replacement and amnestics
🚨 Major Breach $18.0M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment/test failure (akin to I-4811-01) causing mass exposures, facility damage, and long-term medical burdens.
power-draw / feedback during testing mass activation covering testing facility extensive property damage and many casualties
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] Six guards to cover three shifts (armed Level-2 guards) as baseline staffing.
Research Scientist 3 [#7] Level-3 researchers (authorized personnel) for oversight and approvals.
Technician 2 [#7] Specialty technicians for monitoring, logging, and safe handling procedures.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well-documented in analyst notes, but several large optional or contingent items (destructive analysis, 100 m test bay, reserve sizing, and exposure frequency) introduce material uncertainty to totals.
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