SCP-4836 — SCP-4836: "I Love You Bear-y Much"

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SCP-4836 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-4836: "I Love You Bear-y Much"

Expected annual

$1.3M

One-time setup

$3.8M

Annual recurring

$1.3M

Personnel

Initial one-time capital and R&D/setup costs are estimated at roughly $3.79M, driven by facility build-outs, scaling-prevention planning, and lab setup; baseline recurring annual costs are about $1.26M, driven primarily by staff wages (security and Level-4 researchers), medical/amnestic programs, and ongoing lab/monitoring operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M

Scaling Preventative Program $2.0M

[#24] Preventative program / planning to avoid proliferation or large-scale misuse; one-time program and capacity expansion planning costs.

Facilities $750K

[#19] Specialized facility upgrade for temporal/chronological observation suites and controlled environments; build-out estimate.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K

[#9] Initial focused laboratory research setup (core instruments, consumables, core facility fees and first-year R&D spend).

Contingency Reserve $250K

[#22] One-time reserve fund set aside for unforeseen ethical/legal fallout or severe adverse outcomes.

Emergency Response Readiness $150K

[#14] One-time expenditure for rapid-response equipment, remote retrieval tools, and initial training/equipment for a standby response capability.

Equipment $100K

[#1, #11] Secure locker/tamper sensors, biometric/Faraday shielding, CCTV and redundant recording storage; cryostorage/freezer and initial secure data infrastructure hardware.

Sop Development Initial Training $40K

[#13] Development of SOPs, initial staff training and certification, and table-top/exercise prep.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr

Staff Wages $600K/yr

[#2, #3] Annual payroll for dedicated security guards (6 guards) and Level-4 research staffing necessary for test observation and containment operations; includes benefits/shift differentials/overhead.

Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr

[#16, #25] Annual retainer and expected small-incident legal/records suppression and covert PR/rumor-control operations.

Research And Monitoring $110K/yr

[#8, #9, #10, #12] Annual budgeted imaging/diagnostics, pathology/biopsy follow-ups, and core research activity/analysis outside staff wages.

Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr

[#21, #5, #12] Medical disposables, PPE, IV fluids, single-use supplies for tests; per-test consumables averaged to annual.

Amnestic Program $60K/yr

[#7] Annual procurement, QA, storage and administration costs for amnestics and adverse-reaction readiness averaged across program.

Long Term Care $50K/yr

[#6] Probabilistic annual cost for specialized custodial care for post-test subjects who remain comatose or require long-term monitored care.

Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr

[#11, #19, #20] Ongoing LN2/electricity/maintenance for cryostorage, upkeep of specialized observation suites and incremental utilities during tests.

Recording Analysis $40K/yr

[#12] Annual analyst time, transcription, and secure-media costs for long-duration test recordings.

Psychological Aftercare $40K/yr

[#17] Counseling, monitoring and memetic-resilience training for staff exposed to tests and footage.

Data And Storage Maintenance $30K/yr

[#11, #12] Ongoing secure data storage, backups, and archival maintenance for recordings and classified test data.

Ethical Oversight $25K/yr

[#18] Annual cost for internal review board, documentation and external consultant fees to vet experiments and consent policy.

Subject Program $20K/yr

[#4] Recruitment, maintenance/compensation and administrative costs for D-class or vetted volunteer subjects averaged annually.

Training Recurring $20K/yr

[#13] Annual recertification, drills and tabletop exercises for staff handling and test procedures.

Emergency Activation Fund $20K/yr

[#14] Annual budget for per-incident activations and small-scale retrieval activations.

Logistics And Transport $15K/yr

[#15] Annualized costs for secure internal/external transfers and secure containers (typical program transfer frequency).

Replacement And Refresh $10K/yr

[#23] Annual lifecycle refresh and minor repair reserve (approx. 5–15% of capital equipment per year averaged).

Scaling Program Maint $0/yr

[#24] []

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr

92.0% probability / year

Normal year with occasional small tests and no containment incidents; routine R&D and testing program operations.

scheduled_tests routine_research no_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline

Small containment incident or public exposure requiring limited emergency activation, additional medical/legal response, and short-term PR.

localized_leak small_public_exposure

🚨 Major Breach $2.3M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Significant breach or misuse requiring large-scale response, extended medical care for affected subjects, and wide legal/PR operations.

containment_breach multiple_subjects_affected

🚨 Catastrophic Scaling $6.3M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Proliferation or large-scale application of the effect requiring mass-containment, emergency scaling programs, or national-level suppression operations.

widespread_proliferation national_media_exposure

👥 Personnel 11 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	6	[#2] Dedicated guards for locker/transfer operations (3 shifts of 2 guards).
Research Scientist (Level-4 Researcher)	2	[#3] Two Level-4 researchers required to observe tests and run research programs.
Medical Officer	1	[#5, #10, #17] On-call/part-time medical coverage for acute monitoring, surgical/biopsy capability and staff aftercare coordination.
Engineer / Maintenance	1	[#11, #23] Equipment maintenance, cryostorage upkeep, and lifecycle refresh oversight.
Administrative Staff	1	[#13, #16, #18] Training coordination, legal/cover-story liaison, and ethical oversight administration.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are medium confidence: SCP description and analyst notes provide many line-item ranges, but uncertainty is significant around long-term custodial care, frequency/scale of tests, and the probability of breaches or proliferation, producing wide cost ranges.

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