SCP-4840
Unknown
?
low confidence
SCP-4840
Expected annual
$61.5M
One-time setup
$753.7M
Annual recurring
$59.0M
Personnel
58
Baseline capital and setup are large (hundreds of millions if high-capital options and contingency reserves are included); main recurring drivers are Arctic logistics, personnel wages, fuel/consumables, and covert legal/cover operations.
One-Time Capital Costs
Total: $753.7M
Annual Recurring Costs
Total: $59.0M/yr
Cost Scenarios
📊
Baseline
(baseline)
$59.0M/yr
Normal year with no major incidents: routine operations, logistics, personnel rotations, research and maintenance only.
well-masked
routine rotations
no major exposures
🚨
Minor Incident
$64.0M/yr
Brief visibility / localized exposures requiring additional cloud-seeding, a few witness pickups, and extra scramble/ops activity.
temporary cloud clearing
small number of civilian sightings
short-term increase in cloud-seeding and witness handling
🚨
Major Breach
$109.0M/yr
Prolonged or widely visible exposure requiring repeated intercepts, mass amnestic operations, extended diplomatic/legal mitigation and large surge logistics.
sustained visibility
multiple public reports
international media / satellite confirmation
🚨
Catastrophic Breach
$309.1M/yr
Severe uncontrolled public exposure or political escalation requiring use of long-term contingency, mass relocation/amnesticization or kinetic removal operations.
nation-state intervention
open military action or mass casualties
decision to demolish / forcibly remove SCP-4840
Personnel
58 total
| Role | Count | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Engineer / Maintenance | 18 | [#14] On-board engineering and technical staff (monitoring propulsion, cloud systems, generators, repairs); baseline staffing mid-range of analyst estimate. |
| Security Officer / MTF Agent | 40 | [#15] ATF Ru-199 persistent Arctic field team personnel for monitoring local populations, covert surveillance and rapid response. |
Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to wide ranges in analyst notes, multiple binary capital choices (diesel vs SMR), extreme Arctic logistics uncertainty, covert legal/diplomatic exposure risk, and sparse empirical incident-frequency data.