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SCP-4867 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4867
Expected annual
$3.9M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
24
Initial capital outlays for lab upgrades, vehicles, and specialized survey equipment total roughly $1.8M one-time; ongoing annual operations (staff wages, travel, remote sensing, maintenance, insurance and contingency) run about $3.82M/yr, driven primarily by personnel costs and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $910K
[#13, #14, #16] Central laboratory upgrades and scientific instrumentation, mobile lab / field analysis kit procurement, and initial IT/data storage/GIS setup.
Equipment $630K
[#6, #9, #10, #17, #19, #20] Vehicle fleet purchase and upfits, drone systems procurement, geophysical survey hardware, initial secure communications equipment, purchase of specialized transport vehicle, and initial emergency response kit.
Facilities $150K
[#18] Basic secure containment chamber construction and planning (mid-range estimate).
Initial Training And Clearance $80K
[#25] Initial specialized training and clearance processing for core staff (one-time portion).
Cover Story Initial $25K
[#22] Initial shell company setup and legal establishment for cover.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.9M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #4] Salaries for 6 research scientists, ~6 field technicians, ~9 security personnel, and ~3 administrative/support staff.
Contingency Reserve $636K/yr
[#27] Contingency/unknown-escalation reserve (~20% of operational budget) to cover unexpected containment or specialist costs.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#8, #9, #11, #15, #16, #17, #26] Aerial reconnaissance charters, drone maintenance, satellite/remote-sensing subscriptions/tasking, outsourced sample analysis, data storage/compute subscriptions, secure comms service, and long-term monitoring sensor subscriptions.
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#5, #7, #19] Travel/lodging/per-diem for field campaigns, fuel and vehicle maintenance, and per-move specialized transport contract costs.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#29] Site 890 apportioned utilities, HVAC, security systems, and facility upkeep.
Cover Story And Legal $185K/yr
[#21, #22, #23] Legal/permitting/land-access costs, ongoing cover maintenance, and insurance/liability premiums.
Depreciation And Asset Replacement $180K/yr
[#30] Depreciation / replacement reserve for vehicles, electronics, and lab gear (~10% of capital assets/year).
Supplies And Consumables $47K/yr
[#12, #13, #20] Field consumables and PPE, mobile-lab consumables, and emergency-kit replenishment.
Outreach And Liaison $30K/yr
[#28] Interagency coordination, travel, meetings, and liaison efforts.
Training And Clearance Refreshers $20K/yr
[#25] Annual refresher training and incremental clearance-related training costs.
Environmental Remediation $10K/yr
[#24] Hazardous waste disposal and remediation arising from sampling/containment.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine searching, sample processing, and containment prep.
routine_field_campaigns standard_sample_processing no major discoveries or public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $4.0M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized incident (e.g. sample contamination, small field accident, increased testing needs) requiring extra analyses, travel and temporary overtime.
surge in sample volume minor field accident specialist subcontracting
🚨 Discovery And Containment $5.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
SCP-4867 is located and requires secure transport and construction of enhanced containment and expanded specialist response.
object located specialized containment required armored/refrigerated transport and rapid buildout
🚨 Political Exposure $4.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Public or interagency exposure requiring major legal/PR response, expanded security, and possible relocation of site assets.
media leak local authority interference legal challenge
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / PI 6 [#1] Principal investigators and full-time research scientists responsible for planning, analysis, and oversight.
Field Technician / Agent 6 [#2] Mobile search teams and field operators conducting reconnaissance and sampling.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#3] Armed/unarmed guards for site and field mission coverage, shift rotation accounted for.
Administrative Staff 3 [#4] Finance, logistics, HR, permitting, and scheduling support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item ranges were provided for most costs, enabling mid-range estimates, but significant uncertainty remains around discovery probability, containment scale-up, and contingency sizing, so confidence is moderate.
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