SCP-4871 — SCP-4871 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4871 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-4871

Expected annual

$2.0M

One-time setup

$2.5M

Annual recurring

$2.0M

Personnel

17.25

One-time setup costs are approximately $2,470,000 driven by reinforced cell construction, contingency seed and equipment; ongoing annual operations are approximately $1,990,000/yr driven by security and research staff, specialized response readiness, and recurring testing/maintenance.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M

Facilities $725K

[#1, #3, #4] Reinforced cell construction ($525,000 midpoint), heavy-duty doors and maglock install ($150,000), HVAC/install ($50,000).

Equipment $580K

[#2, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #12, #14, #22] Modified bed/spine-anchoring ($70,000), dedicated power/UPS/generator hardware ($60,000), electrical metering/surge protection ($17,500), heavy lifting equipment purchase ($42,500), robotic manipulators ($150,000), monitoring suite ($60,000), machine-shop tooling/stock ($100,000), initial specialized PPE ($10,000), data/IT initial hardware ($70,000).

Contingency Fund Seed $500K

[#24] Recommended one-time containment breach contingency seed (~$500,000 chosen as working reserve).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K

[#11, #20] Materials-analysis / lab instrumentation access/setup ($150,000) and experimental instrumentation (dynamometers, load cells) initial procurement ($50,000).

Immobilization R And D $200K

[#25] Emergency isolation R&D / procurement (EM suppression/actuator jamming research) estimated ~$200,000.

Insurance Reserve $125K

[#29] Initial insurance/financial reserve (personnel incidents, replacement) midpoint ~$125,000.

Security Training And Vetting $50K

[#15] Initial background vetting and initial training budget estimated ~$50,000.

Cover Story Initial $50K

[#23] Initial cover/opsec and legal setup (story development, legal contracts) estimated ~$50,000.

Initial Relocation Past Move $30K

[#21] Initial past transport/move budget (Site-57 -> Site-34) estimated ~$30,000.

Waste Handling Setup $10K

[#27] Initial hazardous-waste compliance/setup estimated ~$10,000.

Industrial Ct Purchase $0

[#10] Option A (purchase) expensive: $500,000–$1,500,000 possible; baseline assumes outsourcing (see recurring). Purchase set to $0 in baseline.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr

Staff Wages $1.3M/yr

[#15, #19, #17] Security guards (12 guards loaded) ~$675,000/yr; research staff (3–6 FTEs, consolidated) ~$540,000/yr; psychologist salary portion included (~$60,000/yr).

Research And Monitoring $225K/yr

[#11, #20, #9, #8, #30] Annual materials-testing budget (~$100,000/yr), experimental calibration/consumables (~$10,000/yr), monitoring suite maintenance/calibration (~$10,000/yr), robotic maintenance (~$15,000/yr), long-term study/documentation budget (~$90,000/yr).

Specialized Response Readiness $150K/yr

[#16] Localized tactical/MTF readiness, equipment upkeep, drills and on-call premiums estimated ~$150,000/yr.

Cover Story And Legal $105K/yr

[#18, #23, #26] Ethics/compliance and administrative reviews (~$25,000/yr), ongoing cover/opsec/legal ops (~$30,000/yr), outside contractor/legal/contract fees as recurring (~$50,000/yr).

Machine Shop Replenishment $50K/yr

[#12] Annual tooling/stock replenishment estimated ~$50,000/yr.

Industrial Ct Outsourcing $40K/yr

[#10] Option B: outsource industrial CT/radiography; baseline assumes ~4 scans/yr at ~$10,000 each => $40,000/yr.

Facilities Maintenance $28K/yr

[#4, #5, #28] HVAC energy/maintenance (~$5,500/yr), generator/UPS maintenance (~$5,000/yr), ongoing electricity/utilities attributable (~$17,500/yr).

Security Training Refresh $20K/yr

[#15] Annual refresher training and vetting top-ups ~$20,000/yr.

Data It Operations $20K/yr

[#22] Ongoing encrypted storage, secure operations, redaction manpower estimated ~$20,000/yr.

Insurance Topup $20K/yr

[#29] Annual top-up/reserve contributions for personnel incidents ~$20,000/yr.

Supplies And Consumables $16K/yr

[#13, #14] Consumables (lubricants, seals) ~$12,500/yr; PPE replacement/consumables ~$3,000/yr.

Logistics And Transport $15K/yr

[#7, #21] Ongoing transport/relocation provisioning and occasional crane rental averaged ~$15,000/yr.

Psych Support Services $10K/yr

[#17] Counseling budget and personnel support outside psychologist salary ~$10,000/yr.

Immobilization Testing $10K/yr

[#25] Ongoing testing/validation for immobilization tech (~$10,000/yr).

Waste Handling $6K/yr

[#27] Annual regulated disposal and handling costs estimated ~$6,500/yr.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr

89.0% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with scheduled research, maintenance, and no major incidents.

routine research scheduled maintenance no breaches

🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Localized interaction or small containment-related damage requiring repairs, overtime, and moderate external testing.

unauthorised movement minor mechanical damage small repair and overtime

🚨 Major Breach $2.8M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline

Significant containment breach causing equipment destruction, public exposure risk, and major repairs plus legal/cover operations.

violent breach major structural damage large-scale repairs and replacement

🚨 Political Exposure $2.2M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Publicized appearance or visibility event requiring large-scale OPSEC, media cover, and legal mitigation (e.g., convention incident).

public sighting need for cover operations media/legal mitigation

👥 Personnel 17.25 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	12	[#15] Dedicated 24/7 guard contingent: 4guards/shift × 3 shifts = 12 guards (loaded cost included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Engineer / Technician	4.5	[#19] Research and technical team (3–6 FTEs). Headcount expressed as FTE (~4.5) consistent with aggregate loaded research wages.
Psychologist / Personnel Support	0.75	[#17] Dedicated psychologist (0.5–1.0 FTE) and counseling support; salary portion included in staff_wages, counseling budget in recurring costs.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint estimates, but several large optional choices (industrial CT purchase, contingency sizing, R&D paths) and unknowns about SCP behaviour introduce material uncertainty.

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