SCP-4873 — SCP-4873 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-4873 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-4873

Expected annual

$1.4M

One-time setup

$1.6M

Annual recurring

$1.4M

Personnel

Initial one-time setup and redundancy purchases are estimated at approximately $1.65M, driven by contingency reserves, equipment, and facility retrofit; baseline recurring annual costs are about $1.409M/yr driven by personnel, MTF retainer, surveillance staffing, and contingency reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M

Anomalous Escalation Reserve $1.0M

[#23] One-time capital reserve for large-scale anomalous escalation (cross-site ops, extended MTF deployment).

Equipment $291K

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #9, #10, #17] Steel locking box, GPS hardware (initial), robotic arm purchase & integration, CCTV and recording servers (initial), armored vehicle purchase (if bought), redundancy kit, initial data server hardware.

Facilities $100K

[#1] Chamber retrofit: reinforced walls, locks, HVAC, CCTV integration, redundant power.

Decommissioning Contingency $100K

[#22] Controlled destruction / decommissioning protocol and associated costs.

Surveillance Software Initial $100K

[#15] Initial software licensing and servers for surveillance analytics / watchlist ingestion.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $40K

[#11] Initial laboratory testing, metallurgic/forensic analysis and remote-handling test setup.

Incident Response Kit $15K

[#14] Initial site lockdown kits, bio/scene-control supplies, temporary holding materials.

Ammunition One Time $2K

[#12] Ammunition, ballistic gelatin, range time for any up-front firing tests.

Geographic Variation Allowance $0

[#25] Geographic/jurisdictional multipliers acknowledged (20–100%); no fixed one-time spend included here.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr

Staff Wages $570K/yr

[#6, #7, #15] Two on-site guards (~$120k), one Level-3 researcher + technician (~$210k combined), surveillance analysts (~$240k).

Incident Contingency Fund $300K/yr

[#13] Annual contingency reserve for medical, psychiatric, and urgent compensation needs.

Mtf Retainer $200K/yr

[#8] On-call MTF squad retainer for rapid extraction readiness.

Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr

[#18] Annual legal/PR retainer and cover-story preparedness budget.

Contractor Maintenance $60K/yr

[#21] Outsourced maintenance/repair contracts for robotics, GPS hardware and secure servers.

Logistics And Transport $30K/yr

[#9] Vehicle hire/maintenance, driver costs, secure transport day-rates averaged into annual cost.

Foia Records Management $30K/yr

[#24] Staff/time and legal processing budget for FOIA/records compliance and redaction.

Research And Monitoring $20K/yr

[#11] Ongoing experimental budget and controlled testing costs.

Armored Vehicle Maintenance $20K/yr

[#9] Maintenance, licensing, and driver salary for owned armored transport.

Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr

[#1, #4] HVAC, power redundancy, chamber upkeep and periodic structural maintenance.

Cctv Storage And Maintenance $12K/yr

[#5] Camera upkeep, storage costs, encryption key rotation and server maintenance.

Training And Certification $12K/yr

[#19] Annual training, simulators, and drills for guards, robotic operators and staff.

Robotic Maintenance $10K/yr

[#4] Annual maintenance, calibration, and service contracts for robotic handling system.

Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr

[#20] Batteries, lubricants, cleaning supplies, spare lock hardware and routine consumables.

Data Storage Recurring $8K/yr

[#17] Encrypted backups, replication, and retention storage costs (annual).

Satellite Gnss Services $6K/yr

[#16] Priority GNSS/satellite uplink subscription and redundancy bandwidth.

Per Incident Expendables Reserved $5K/yr

[#14] Budgeted reserve for per-incident expendables averaged across years.

Gps Service $2K/yr

[#3] Subscription uplink/service for two GPS trackers (~$1,000/unit/yr).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr

94.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine operations, no major incidents.

no_extraction_events routine_maintenance standard_testing

🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline

Single extraction or localized 4873-GS event requiring MTF deployment and limited legal/medical follow-up.

single_extraction limited_public_exposure

🚨 Major Breach $2.4M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Significant public exposure or extended anomalous escalation requiring multi-site coordination, major legal/PR, large medical payouts and replenishment of reserves.

public_exposure extended_mtf_deployment cross-site_coordination

👥 Personnel 7 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	Two on-site guards budgeted per analyst note (see #6); 24/7 coverage assumptions embedded in provided salary estimate.
Research Scientist	1	One Level-3 researcher assigned to SCP-4873 (see #7).
Technician	1	0.5–1 FTE technician budgeted for tests/logging; rounded to 1 FTE for headcount (see #7).
Surveillance Analyst	3	2–4 analysts budgeted for global monitoring and watchlist processing (see #15); mid-point staffing used.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes supply detailed line items and ranges allowing a reasoned estimate, but many items have wide ranges (esp. contingency/reserve and per-incident costs) and scenario probabilities are subjective; hence medium confidence.

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