SCP-4894 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-4894
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$2.9M
Personnel
16
One-time capital and site setup costs are roughly $1.61M for a single site (acquisition, stabilization, housing conversion, equipment). Recurring annual operations dominated by staff wages, research/medical monitoring, and contingency reserve, totaling about $2.908M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Site Acquisition $500K
[#1] Purchase/transfer costs for acquisition of a single mining site via front companies; conservative per-site estimate.
Mine Stabilization Initial $300K
[#6] Initial tunnel shoring, walkway construction, ventilation and dewatering setup to make deep shaft accessible/safe.
Secure Housing Conversion $250K
[#14] Conversion/installation of a secure living/medical observation cell for SCP-4894-A.
Decommissioning One Time $200K
[#25] Estimated per-site decommissioning / long-term preservation or safe removal planning cost (one-time reserve).
Ert Vehicle $100K
[#18] Regional Emergency Response Team vehicle and specialized kit purchase.
Power Infrastructure One Time $60K
[#5] Off-grid solar + battery bank or grid hook-up costs for site power.
Remote Monitoring Installation $50K
[#4] CCTV/motion/tamper sensors, redundant comms and hardened enclosures installation.
Data Storage Initial $40K
[#17] Initial secure on-site/cloud architecture, encrypted servers and backups for longitudinal data and video archives.
Archival Investigation One Time $25K
[#9] Travel and archivist time to research Midas Mining Corp. records and provenance (initial push).
Sop Development One Time $25K
[#20] One-time SOP development, written procedures, and initial training content.
Legal Corporate Cover Setup $20K
[#2] Initial incorporation, registered agent, local filings and legal counsel to establish front company cover.
Storage Conservation One Time $17K
[#11] Conservation work per item and climate-controlled cabinet / initial artifact preservation if items are removed.
Signage Fencing One Time $15K
[#8] Robust fencing, hazard signage, gates and physical deterrents installed to support the cover story.
Ppe Initial $5K
[#22] Initial specialized PPE, locking stands, handling poles and non-anomalous handling tools.
Wgs Sequencing One Time $2K
[#15] Whole-genome sequencing (one-time) for primary subject(s).
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#3, #12, #14] Security staffing (9 guards, 24/7; ~$506k/yr incl. benefits), research team salaries (~$600k/yr incl. benefits), secure-housing/medical staff (~$300k/yr) aggregated.
Research And Monitoring $810K/yr
[#7, #13, #15, #21, #9, #17] Environmental monitoring & compliance (~$30k), human-subject protocol/medical surveillance (~$200k), advanced imaging (~$50k), cohort study budget (~$500k/yr), ongoing archival support (~$10k), ongoing data/storage operations (~$20k) aggregated.
Contingency Reserve $250K/yr
[#24] Unallocated contingency reserve (~10% of operating budget used here as a program-level reserve for unexpected escalation).
Facilities Maintenance $120K/yr
[#6, #5, #8] Annual tunnel inspections/repairs and shoring ($75k), generator backup fuel/maintenance and minor power upkeep ($20k), fencing/signage maintenance ($5k) and general site upkeep.
Occupational Health Reserve $100K/yr
[#19] Reserve for acute care, surgeries, rehab and liability related to pain-suppression injuries among subjects and staff.
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#2, #23] Ongoing corporate/legal maintenance for front companies (~$30k/yr) and public relations/local government engagement (~$50k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#16, #22] Consumables for physiological testing (blood tubes, reagents, PPE) and PPE replacements.
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#10] Secure transport and chain-of-custody averaged per year (assumes a small number of moves per year; ~$40k/yr).
Ert Training And Readiness $40K/yr
[#18] ERT training, drills, periodic readiness and kit maintenance (~$20k–$75k/yr; midpoint used).
Training Refresher $10K/yr
[#20] Ongoing refresher training for staff and cover-briefings (~$5k–$25k/yr).
Storage Overhead $2K/yr
[#11] Climate-controlled storage overhead per instance/collection (~$500–$2,000/yr); small recurring line to cover moved items.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with single active site, ongoing research and standard maintenance; no major incidents.
no incidents routine research normal maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized accident or minor breach requiring repair, increased PR/legal costs, and short-term medical care.
minor breach or vandalism localized tunnel collapse small-scale legal inquiry
🚨 Major Breach $4.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Serious containment breach, large-scale medical emergency or legal exposure requiring regional ERT mobilization, site reconstruction, and litigation costs.
major cave-in or breach public exposure/legal action serious medical complications
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $3.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Positive but expensive outcome: research requires scale-up of cohort studies, expanded imaging and staffing.
promising experimental results need to recruit/monitor many additional subjects expanded clinical testing
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#3] 24/7 on-site security staffing: 3shifts of 3 guards.
Research Scientist 3 [#12] PI plus postdocs/senior researchers for longitudinal studies.
Lab Technician 2 [#12, #16] Technicians handling assays, samples, and consumables for testing.
Secure Housing Staff (Medical/Care) 2 [#14, #13] Medical technologist / caregiver and security assigned to SCP-4894-A custody and observation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are derived from the analyst's provided ranges and canonical staffing models; per-site variability and broad estimate ranges produce moderate confidence rather than high.
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