SCP-491 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-491
Expected annual
$6.1M
One-time setup
$9.3M
Annual recurring
$6.0M
Personnel
29
Initial one-time capital and setup are approximately $9.0M driven largely by vessel purchases, buoy deployment, ROV/sensor procurement and a $5M salvage reserve. Annual operating costs are roughly $6.0M/year, dominated by staff wages, regular vessel/ROV operations, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $9.3M
Salvage Reserve Fund $5.0M
[#22] Recommended minimum reserve for salvage/incident response (recommended $5,000,000 minimum).
Equipment $2.6M
[#1, #8, #9, #10, #11, #13, #17, #28] Two patrol boats (#1 ~$1,200,000), fixed surveillance hardware (#8 $110,000), satellite installation (#9 $10,000), exclusion buoys (#10 $200,000), seafloor/seismic sensor hardware (#11 $200,000), ROV/AUV purchase (#13 $325,000), power generation hardware (#17 $125,000), secure data appliance (#28 $20,000).
Decommissioning Fund $500K
[#30] Reserve for decommissioning or long-term closure costs.
Helipad $400K
[#7] Optional helipad construction for rapid insertion/extraction ($300k–$500k).
Environmental Response Retainer $250K
[#21] One-time retainer for environmental response firm (lower-range retainer).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $225K
[#15] Optics/lighting research equipment, spectrometers, high-speed cameras and lab setup.
Experimental Hardware And Campaign Fund $200K
[#29] Seed fund for prototype fabrication and major experimental campaign losses (lower-end campaign seed).
Facilities $175K
[#6] Structural reinforcement and secure rooms for the lighthouse; does not include helipad or power equipment.
Initial Training $15K
[#26] Initial training costs for drills and certifications.
Medical Initial Stock $10K
[#18] Initial Class-B amnestic stock and secure cabinet.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.0M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#3, #4, #5] Patrol crew salaries (~$560k), on-site security (~$450k), site command/technical staff including commander, techs, medic, researchers and admin (~$1.4M).
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#11, #12, #14, #15, #16, #21, #28, #29] Seafloor sensor maintenance & data analysis (~$20k), periodic multibeam surveys (~$360k/year), ROV/AUV operations (~$150k), lab consumables (~$50k), dedicated research program (~$800k), baseline environmental monitoring (~$50k), data hosting/cybersecurity (~$20k), annual experimental contingency (~$200k).
Cover Story And Legal $670K/yr
[#19, #20, #23, #27] Amnestic administration/legal/liaison (~$100k), cover story/coordination with authorities (~$100k), insurance/liability/compensation contingency (~$400k), legal & investigation retainer (~$70k).
Salvage Reserve Amortization $500K/yr
[#22] Amortized annual contribution to salvage/incident reserve (example: $5M reserve amortized over 10 years ≈ $500k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $425K/yr
[#2, #24] Patrol vessel fuel/maintenance/insurance/dockage (~$275k/year) and regular resupply/crew rotations/shipping (~$150k/year).
Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr
[#18, #25] Medical replenishment and consumables/site operations (site consumables ~$112,500; medical replenishment ~$12,500).
Helicopter Contract $75K/yr
[#7] Optional helicopter contract for medevac/rapid insertion (50 hrs/yr @ ~$1,500/hr ≈ $75k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#8, #17] Annual maintenance for fixed surveillance and power generation backup (surveillance maintenance ~$15k; generator fuel/servicing ~$30k).
Training And Drills $30K/yr
[#26] Recurring drills, certifications, and safety training (~$20k–$50k/yr).
Satellite Communications $24K/yr
[#9] Satellite uplink and secure comms recurring costs (~$2k/month).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.0M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; regular operations, research, and maintenance only.
routine_operations scheduled_surveys no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $6.2M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Single small commercial or fishing vessel sinks within exclusion zone requiring limited salvage, amnestics, and localized cleanup.
small_vessel_sink amnestic_administration limited_salvage
🚨 Major Breach $8.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Commercial vessel loss or larger wreck that requires significant salvage, environmental response, and legal/compensation expenses.
large_vessel_loss significant_salvage environmental_cleanup
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $14.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Multiple-vessel incident or catastrophic containment failure triggering large-scale salvage, environmental remediation, heavy legal exposure and potential site rebuild.
multiple_ship_losses major_environmental_disaster extended_response_and_salvage
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Maritime Patrol Crew 10 [#3] Captains, engineers and deckhands to support two patrol boats (estimated 8–12; 10 used here).
Security Officer / Guard 9 [#4] On-site guards for 24/7 coverage (3 shifts + floaters).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#5] Site commander included in site command staffing estimate.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#5] Senior technical staff for IT/communications and maintenance.
Medical Officer 1 [#5] Medic/paramedic on site as accounted in site staff salaries.
Research Scientist 4 [#5] Core research staff (marine geologist, seismologist, optical physicist, salvage specialist) included in site salaries.
Administrative Staff 2 [#5] Administrative/support personnel accounted for in site staff salaries.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling order-of-magnitude estimates, but many items have wide ranges (e.g., salvage/reserve size, frequency of incidents) and optional choices (helipad vs contract, buy vs lease) leading to moderate uncertainty.
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