SCP-4922 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-4922
Expected annual
$11.9M
One-time setup
$61.4M
Annual recurring
$11.1M
Personnel
36
One-time capital is high due to specialized Naismith–Henderson Lambda Wave Sinks, hardened cells, MTF equipment and a large contingency reserve (total one-time ~ $61.4M). Recurring costs (~ $11.15M/yr) are driven by specialized staff wages, maintenance/spares for exotic equipment, power and readiness/containment operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $61.4M
Liability Contingency Reserve $20.0M
[#22] Contingency reserve fund for large-scale evacuation/containment failure planning (~$10–50M); sizable reserve included by policy decision.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $19.2M
[#2, #14] Naismith–Henderson Lambda Wave Sink R&D/procurement and manufacturing for 4 installed units + spares (~$18.0M) plus initial materials-analysis/lab upgrades (~$1.25M).
Facilities $8.9M
[#1, #16, #17] Construction and hardening of four reinforced maximum-security cells (~$4–10M total mapped here as $7.0M) plus site perimeter security installation (~$1.0M) and cell HVAC/environmental installation (~$0.9M).
Contingency 99 Readiness $5.5M
[#15] One-time readiness equipment and planning for Contingency 99-Sutekh (~$3–8M).
Equipment $3.1M
[#3, #6, #12] Capital hardware: redundant power capital/UPS/generators (~$1.8M), initial specialized monitoring/sensor arrays (~$275k), and specialized transport/containment containers (~$1.05M).
Mtf Equipment $2.2M
[#10] Capital for Mobile Task Force armored transports, vehicle mounts and heavy weapons (~$1.5–3.0M; mid estimate used).
Data Security Initial $500K
[#20] Initial secure data center, air-gapped backups and off-site vault setup (~$250–750k).
Hazardous Storage Construction $450K
[#25] Secure long-term hazardous storage construction (~$200–700k).
Cover Story Setup $375K
[#21] Initial legal/cover story shell setup and crisis-prep (~$250–500k).
Medical Facility Upgrades $350K
[#18] On-site medical isolation/ward upgrades, decontamination facility additions (~$200–500k).
Initial Hiring And Training $300K
[#8] One-time hiring/onboarding and specialist training costs for researchers/technicians (~$200–400k).
Ammunition Stockpile Initial $200K
[#11] Initial field ammunition stockpile for sustained heavy machine gun fire (~$100–300k).
Training Setup $200K
[#24] Initial training curriculum, simulation setup and exercise design (~$100–300k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.1M/yr
Staff Wages $4.0M/yr
[#7, #8, #18] Annual wages/benefits: 18security guards (~$1.26M), researchers/technicians (~$2.0M), medical on-call portion and small administrative payroll (~$0.35M aggregated); includes regular overtime/hazard pay assumptions.
Maintenance And Spares $2.3M/yr
[#9] Maintenance, spare parts and service contracts for exotic equipment (budgeted at ~8–15% of capital; mid-range used here given ~$20M+ installed capital).
Cover Story And Legal $900K/yr
[#21] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, PR and legal work to contain leaks and manage public exposure (~$500k–3M/yr; conservative mid-range used).
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#6, #14] Ongoing materials research program funding and contractor costs (~$500k–3M/yr overall range; conservative mid-range here) and recurring costs for monitoring program operations.
Contingency 99 Maintenance $550K/yr
[#15] Annual drills, maintenance and readiness upkeep for Contingency 99 (~$300–800k/yr).
Medical Services $400K/yr
[#18] Recurring medical staffing, trauma readiness, quarantine supplies and pharmaceuticals (~$250–600k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $350K/yr
[#16, #17] Annual maintenance and operations for perimeter security systems, guard towers, and HVAC/environmental systems (~$150–400k + HVAC maintenance ~$30–80k).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#13] Capture/destruction logistics, secure disposal and transport operations budget (~$200–500k/yr).
Mtf Ops $300K/yr
[#10] Annual training, fuel, upkeep for deployed MTF vehicles and field equipment (~$200–400k/yr).
Vetting And Retention $300K/yr
[#19] Ongoing personnel vetting, counseling, retention incentives and high-clearance overhead (~$50–150k + retention ~$200–400k/yr).
Training Exercises $250K/yr
[#24] Annual live-exercise simulations and cross-disciplinary drills (~$100–400k/yr).
Energy Consumption $200K/yr
[#5] Continuous energy consumption for four wave sinks (conservative 50 kW each baseline) and associated environmental control (~$100–300k/yr).
Legal Regulatory Coordination $150K/yr
[#23] Interagency coordination, regulatory fees and legal staff time (~$50–250k/yr).
Backup Power Operation $140K/yr
[#3, #4] Recurring operation/fuel/maintenance for backup generators, UPS and microgrid (~$80–200k/yr for all cells).
Data Security Maintenance $125K/yr
[#20] Secure data center maintenance, off-site backups and forensic logging (~$75–200k/yr).
Ammunition Replenishment $100K/yr
[#11] Annual ammunition replenishment and cyclical replacement for sustained use drills (~$50–150k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#26] Consumables, PPE, small tools, replacement seals and routine inspection consumables (~$25–100k/yr).
Misc Operating $60K/yr
[#26] Miscellaneous small operational expenses beyond consumables (~$25–100k/yr).
Monitoring Maintenance $50K/yr
[#6] Annual maintenance, licenses and redundancy upkeep for sensor arrays (~$25–75k/yr).
Hazardous Waste Permits $50K/yr
[#25] Annual permits, regulated transport and compliance reporting (~$25–75k/yr).
Per Instance Replacement Budget $0/yr
[#27] Contingent per-new-instance add-on budget (planning figure $3–8M per additional secured instance); not assumed in baseline annual spend.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.1M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, no containment failures; all scheduled maintenance and staff/payroll continue.
steady_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $12.3M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or external instance requiring MTF activation, limited equipment damage and ammunition expenditure.
localized_breach MTF_activation equipment_repair
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $41.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure requiring enactment of Contingency 99, large-scale mitigation, evacuation, and large capital draw against contingency reserves.
total_containment_failure contingency_99_enactment mass_evacuations
👥 Personnel 36 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#7] 24/7 armed security staffing (6 per shift × 3 shifts) as specified in analyst notes.
Research Scientist 6 [#8] Senior researchers/materials scientists responsible for wave sink and materials R&D (4–8 range; mid chosen).
Engineer / Technician 8 [#8] Electronics technicians, containment engineers and maintenance techs (6–8 range; mid-high chosen).
Medical Officer 2 [#18] On-site medical staff for trauma/quarantine readiness.
Administrative Staff 2 [#21, #23] Administrative/legal support for cover story, regulatory coordination and site administration.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges; major uncertainties include the true cost and power draw of Lambda Wave Sinks, actual maintenance rates for anomalous equipment, and the likelihood/scale of breaches. Many line items are order-of-magnitude estimates.
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