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SCP-4931 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4931
Expected annual
$1.7M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
9
Initial capital outlay is approximately $1,855,000 driven by site/bridge work, power/vehicles, and research reserves; ongoing annual operations are about $1,652,000 driven primarily by 24/7 security staffing, medevac/contingency funds, and recurring research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Facilities $550K
[#1, #2] Site construction (field station, lodging, access road reinforcement) and bridge stabilization/lockable gate and structural repairs.
Long Term Research Reserve $500K
[#21] Scalable contingency reserve for potential future scale-up or full containment planning (~$500k one-time reserve, lower bound).
Equipment $320K
[#3, #7, #8, #10, #16] Perimeter sensors/CCTV installation ($40k), on-site power hardware (solar, batteries, generator, satellite comms ~$120k), vehicles/watercraft purchase (~$120k), initial PPE (~$20k), data management hardware (~$20k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $310K
[#11, #12, #13] Controlled-interaction safety rigs and instrumentation (~$90k), portable imaging/mobile lab and kit (~$120k), materials/forensic analysis budget (~$100k one-time analyses).
Insurance Spares Capital Reserve $100K
[#20] Capital reserve for rapid replacement of failed critical kit (generators, comms, boat) / spares stock (~$100k).
Legal And Cover Setup $50K
[#14] Initial legal/liaison / cover-story setup, local agreements and permit work (~$50k one-time).
Amnestic Stock And Storage $25K
[#9] Initial amnestic stock and secure climate-controlled storage / chain-of-custody setup (~$25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $675K/yr
[#4] 24/7 security staffing: 2guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 guards + 1 site manager + 1 medic + 1 maintenance/driver = 9 personnel × $75k fully-loaded.
Research And Monitoring $340K/yr
[#5, #11, #12, #16] Ongoing research/R&D staffing and program budget (~$300k/yr), safety infrastructure maintenance/calibration (~$10k/yr), mobile-lab consumables (~$15k/yr), secure data management/cyber operations (~$15k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $330K/yr
[#14, #15] Recurring legal/liaison/cover costs (~$30k/yr) plus containment/cover contingency pool for emergency cover-ups, hush payments, legal defense (~$300k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $220K/yr
[#6, #8] Medevac/helicopter retainer (~$150k/yr selected midrange) + on-call surgical support (~$50k/yr) and vehicle/boat maintenance & fuel (~$20k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#3, #7, #18] Surveillance/equipment maintenance and remote-site operations: sensor maintenance/data storage (~$5k/yr), power fuel & maintenance (~$20k/yr), routine building upkeep/consumables (~$15k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $27K/yr
[#9, #10, #17] Amnestic replacement/administration (~$10k/yr), PPE/consumables replenishment (~$5k/yr), waste/hazardous disposal and sanitation (~$12k/yr).
Training And Screening $20K/yr
[#19] Regular training, drills, duel-safety protocol practice, and psychological screening (~$20k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations and no major incidents.
routine_operations daily_teatime_and_monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $1.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
A single personnel injury or small civilian exposure requiring medevac, limited repairs, amnestic use, and minor legal/cover response.
personnel_injury single_civilian_incident small_equipment_damage
🚨 Major Breach $2.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$800K vs baseline
Significant containment breach or infrastructure failure (bridge collapse, mass exposure) requiring major repairs, legal settlements, emergency response, and temporary scale-up of staff.
bridge_collapses mass_exposure major_property_damage
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts to provide 24/7 manning.
Site Manager / Administrative Staff 1 [#4] On-site manager to coordinate operations and local liaison.
Medical Officer 1 [#4, #6] Medic/first responder on rotation; coordinates with medevac contracts.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#4, #7, #8] Maintenance/driver for site upkeep, generator/solar upkeep and vehicle/boat maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and typical Foundation unit costs; many line items have rough ranges and contingency choices (e.g., long-term reserve) so totals have moderate uncertainty.
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