SCP-4941 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4941
Expected annual
$353K
One-time setup
$273K
Annual recurring
$349K
Personnel
3
One-time setup and capital costs are approximately $273,100, driven by boat purchase, shelter refurbishment, power/sensor installs, and legal/setup. Annual operations are about $348,900, dominated by dedicated staff wages, an incident contingency reserve, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $273K
Equipment $159K
[#1, #6, #11, #12, #13, #14, #22, #23] Boat purchase and outfitting (#1), power generation hardware (solar/battery/generator) one-time portion (#6), surveillance/recording hardware (#11), music-box conservation and duplicates (#12), secure off-island storage setup (#13), communications hardware (#14), drones (#22), and backup instruments/spares (#23).
Facilities $69K
[#4, #5, #15] Mooring/pier/landing improvements (#4), on-island shelter refurbishment (#5), and buoys/markers/signage sets (#15) combined as physical site work and fixed installations.
Legal And Cover Setup $20K
[#16] One-time legal/permits and cover-story setup costs, including initial counsel and permit work or cover-story establishment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $10K
[#21] Initial secure server / data archive setup and related IT provisioning for secure data handling (#21).
Training Initial $9K
[#9] Initial training and certifications (sea survival, small-boat handling, cliff rescue, first-aid, evidence handling) estimated for initial staff onboard.
Personal Protective Equipment $5K
[#10] Initial PPE and cliff-safety gear purchase (harnesses, ropes, helmets, immersion suits, clothing) for staff.
Medical Supplies One Time $700
[#19] Initial medical and first-aid supplies kit purchase and hypothermia kit for on-island stays.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $349K/yr
Staff Wages $180K/yr
[#7, #8] Dedicated personnel wages: one containment officer (#7) and two security/boat-operator staff (#8), salaries + benefits estimated.
Incident Response Reserve $50K/yr
[#26] Annual reserved fund contribution to cover unexpected escalation, media response, large-scale cover-up actions or public-relations costs.
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#11, #20, #27] Ongoing research program funding (audio/behavioural analysis) and periodic audits/reviews (#20, #27) plus routine data processing work related to surveillance (#11).
Logistics And Transport $19K/yr
[#2, #3] Boat charter alternative per-activation totals if used (#2) and boat fuel & routine operational maintenance if a purchased craft is used (#3).
Cover Story And Legal $19K/yr
[#16, #17, #18] Ongoing legal retainer/liaison (#16), witness management and local goodwill payments (#17), and insurance/liability premiums or reserve contributions (#18).
Long Term Replacement $15K/yr
[#28] Sinking fund / depreciation set-aside for long-term replacement of boats, electronics, and shelter upgrades.
Medevac Contingency Fund $5K/yr
[#19] Maintained contingency fund for emergency medevac availability and related rapid-response costs.
Audit And Compliance $5K/yr
[#27] Annual security/audit/compliance reviews and tabletop exercises.
Data Archiving And Secure It $4K/yr
[#11, #21] Recurring secure hosting, backups, and storage/processing for audio/video logs and dataloggers (#11, #21).
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#6, #14, #15] Recurring power system maintenance and fuel (#6), communications airtime/service (#14), and upkeep for buoys/signage (#15).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#19, #24] Recurring replenishment of medical consumables and on-island stay consumables (food, water, fuel, toiletries) (#19, #24).
Training Refresher $2K/yr
[#9] Annual refresher training and recertification costs per staff.
Psychological Support $2K/yr
[#25] Annual counselling and debriefing services for staff exposed to anomalous events.
Personal Protective Equipment $1K/yr
[#10] Annual replacement/consumables for PPE and cliff safety gear.
Drone Maintenance $1K/yr
[#22] Consumables, spare batteries, and routine maintenance for VTOL drones.
Artifact Storage $800/yr
[#13] Off-island secure climate-controlled artifact storage recurring costs.
Equipment Spares $800/yr
[#23] Recurring small replacements for spare microphones, cameras, and related sensor spares.
Artifact Maintenance $200/yr
[#12] Minimal recurring care and environmental monitoring for the original music box and on-site copies.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $349K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with dedicated staff, purchased boat and equipment, routine maintenance, and no public incident.
routine_activations no_public_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $374K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Localized audible activation results in noise complaints, small local media attention and additional legal/PR/witness payments.
audible_activation_reports local_complaints small_media_coverage
🚨 Major Incident $599K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Widespread media exposure or large public attention requiring large-scale cover-up, emergency response, and extensive legal/operational actions.
widespread_media_attention multiple_witness_reports public_breach
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Officer 1 [#7] Dedicated containment officer present for activations; salary included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / Boat Operator 2 [#8] Two security/boat-operator staff to maintain exclusion zone and operate vessel; salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasoned midpoint estimate, but many items (staffing model, boat purchase vs charter, incident frequency/severity) remain variable; therefore confidence is medium.
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