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SCP-4961 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-4961
Expected annual
$174K
One-time setup
$374K
Annual recurring
$169K
Personnel
2
One-time setup and right-sizing capital costs are moderate (~$374k) driven by equipment (ground tractors/UTV, vehicle, surveillance, solar) and a contingency reserve; annual recurring costs are modest-to-moderate (~$169k/yr), dominated by two on-site staff wages and ongoing legal/cover-story, facilities upkeep, and monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $374K
Equipment $176K
[#4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #16] One-time purchases: staff housing furnishings (~$8,500), solar/battery/inverter install (~$11,500), surveillance hardware & install (~$14,000), grounds equipment purchase (tractor/UTV, mid ~$85,000), vehicle purchase (~$40,000), emergency response kit (~$16,500).
Contingency Reserve $100K
[#17] Liquid contingency reserve for rapid recontainment or surge response (mid-range ~$100,000 set aside).
Decommissioning Reserve $55K
[#24] Contingent future decommissioning / remediation reserve (mid-range ~$55,000).
Facilities $38K
[#6, #18] One-time perimeter fencing install and grave-site stabilization costs (fencing install mid-range $35,000; grave stabilization ~$3,000).
Company Setup $3K
[#13] One-time shell company / legal formation and initial title paperwork setup (~$3,000 mid-range).
Administrative Closure $3K
[#22] One-time administrative closure / record updates and liaison (~$3,000 mid-range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[] No laboratory or initial research buildout required under current neutralized status.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $169K/yr
Staff Wages $90K/yr
[#3] Two on-site groundskeepers with salaries, payroll taxes, benefits and on-call duties (total mid-range ~$90,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $27K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #8, #11, #18, #23] Recurring facilities and site maintenance: staff housing upkeep/utilities (~$5,000), basic utilities & communications (~$2,750), fence maintenance (~$3,000), grounds-equipment maintenance/fuel (~$5,500), septic/trash (~$1,250), grave inspections (~$600), long-term land management/wildfire mitigation (~$8,500).
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#1, #2, #12, #13, #19, #20] Property taxes (~$4,500), property insurance & specialty riders (~$3,500), signage/local relations (~$2,750), recurring legal/accounting retainer (~$6,500), umbrella/visiting-animal insurance (~$6,000), and staff training/compliance/background checks (~$1,750).
Research And Monitoring $15K/yr
[#7, #14, #15] Surveillance data/monitoring and IT backups (~$1,750), recordkeeping/IT security (~$3,000), periodic specialist inspections and monitoring visits (~$10,000).
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#10, #16, #21] Veterinary care and animal supplies (~$2,600), emergency kit consumables & refresher consumables (~$2,000), miscellaneous consumables & small repairs (~$3,500).
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#9] Vehicle fuel, registration and maintenance for response and travel (~$4,500/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $169K/yr
94.4% probability / year
Normal year with no significant incidents; routine operations, maintenance, wages, and monitoring only.
no incidents routine maintenance scheduled inspections
🚨 Minor Incident $199K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Limited unexpected event (e.g., localized equipment failure, transient anomalous activity) requiring emergency response, additional vet care, and repairs.
equipment failure temporary animal-health event small trespass / vandalism
🚨 Major Recontainment $569K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant anomaly resurgence or difficult-to-manage exposure requiring on-site recontainment, temporary surge staffing, field containment infrastructure, and extended specialist work.
anomalous resurgence large-scale recontainment operation extended specialist deployment
🚨 Catastrophic Breach Exposure $1.7M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Major breach or public exposure resulting in multi-agency response, litigation, long-term remediation, and large-scale research programs.
public exposure multi-site response prolonged remediation and litigation
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Groundskeeper / Maintenance 2 [#3] Two on-site personnel required to remain as groundskeepers/maintenance; salaries/benefits included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide itemized categories and ranges for most costs, allowing mid-range point estimates, but uncertainty remains around contingency sizing, frequency of adverse scenarios, and choices between contracting vs. capital purchase, so confidence is medium.
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