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SCP-502 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-502
Expected annual
$77K
One-time setup
$221K
Annual recurring
$73K
Personnel
2
Initial one-time setup primarily driven by medical research and secure IT/hardware (~$221k). Annual baseline operations are modest (~$73k/yr) driven by ongoing research, facility overhead, and maintenance; episodic surgical activations and cover-ups can add $10k–$100k+ per event.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $221K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#16] Initial program to develop protocols, perform validation tests, imaging, and pay for initial medical researcher time and lab setup.
Clearance Processing Initial $9K
[#4] Initial background/clearance processing for ~6 personnel (median of $1,000–$2,000 range).
Equipment $8K
[#2, #6, #10, #23] Rugged keypad/tamper hardware (one-time), CCTV camera + sensor + integration, handheld humidity/temp monitor device, and secure records hardware/encryption appliance (hardware portion).
Facilities $2K
[#1] Purchase and installation of a boltable, fire-rated secure steel cabinet placed in the medical suite (median of provided range + install).
Training Initial $2K
[#5] Initial access-control training, SOP familiarization and trainer/staff time (one-time session costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $73K/yr
Research And Monitoring $40K/yr
[#17] Ongoing research, QA, periodic validation tests, and limited medical research staffing (mid-range of provided $20k–$100k/yr).
Contingency Reserve $9K/yr
[#25] Recommended contingency reserve (15% of baseline pre-contingency recurring budget) to cover escalations, hot transfers, or larger cover-ups.
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#7, #8] Surveillance/alarm monitoring & maintenance contract and opportunity cost/overhead for securing medical-suite real estate (mid-range).
Incident Response And Drills $6K/yr
[#19] Tabletop exercises and emergency call-out drills for medical and security staff (mid-range of $2k–$10k).
Cover Story And Legal $3K/yr
[#26] Annual executive/legal briefings and O5/Director review meeting time (routine, not per-incident cover-ups).
Secure Records Maintenance $2K/yr
[#23] Recurring maintenance, secure backups and encryption service costs for audit logs and secure records.
Staff Wages $2K/yr
[#3, #9, #10] Labor for bi-weekly code changes and administration (~0.5 hr every 2 weeks), routine inventory inspections (~0.5 hr/week), and periodic physical inspection labor.
Clearance Rechecks $1K/yr
[#4] Annual background rechecks for authorized personnel (median of $150–$300/person for ~6 people).
Supplies And Consumables $900/yr
[#2, #5, #24] Replacement batteries for keypad (~$50/yr), annual training refreshers/materials (~$300–$800 range, median used), and small consumables (gloves, seals, labels).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Emergency Surgical Activation Per Use $0/yr
[#11] Per-activation OR setup/staff/OR time: estimated $5,000–$15,000 per activation (costs accounted as episodic in scenarios).
Surgical Consumables Per Use $0/yr
[#12] Per-surgery sterile supplies and disposables: $1,000–$5,000 per surgery (episodic).
Blood Products Per Use $0/yr
[#13] Per-incident blood product costs + processing: typical $600–$3,600 plus ~$500 bank fees (episodic).
Icu And Inpatient Per Use $0/yr
[#14] ICU and short-term inpatient care per incident: $3,000–$24,000 depending on LOS (episodic).
Longer Term Medical Followup $0/yr
[#15] If Foundation elects long-term care for a retained subject (e.g., a Director) costs could be $10k–$100k+/yr; modeled as scenario-driven, not baseline.
Secure Transport Per Transfer $0/yr
[#18] Per-transfer secure ground courier ($500–$2,000) or medevac ($10k–$30k) — episodic, included in scenarios when needed.
Coverup Per Incident $0/yr
[#20] Per-incident cover-up/legal/liaison costs typically $5k–$20k for small incidents, $50k+ for larger ones (episodic).
Termination Body Disposal Per Incident $0/yr
[#21] Per-incident mortuary/disposal/cover-story costs ~$1,000–$10,000 (episodic).
Psychological Services Per Incident $0/yr
[#22] Per-incident counseling/staff aftercare ~$500–$5,000 (episodic).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $73K/yr
87.0% probability / year
Routine year with no emergency activations or major incidents; normal monitoring, research, training, and overhead only.
no_implantations routine_maintenance regular_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $88K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Single emergency implantation or short-term urgent use with minimal complications and limited cover-up needs.
single_implantation minor_complications local_transport_or_ground_courier
🚨 Major Incident $181K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$108K vs baseline
Complicated implantation requiring medevac, multi-day ICU, significant cover-up/legal action and extended follow-up.
medevac multi-day_icu large_coverup
🚨 Director Retention $153K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
Foundation elects to retain and provide long-term medical/security support for a Director sustained by SCP-502.
long_term_care enhanced_security round_the_clock_medical_support
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Administrator / MTF Agent 1 [#3] Responsible for bi-weekly code changes, access administration and occasional audits (part-time allocation reflected in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff (Medical Suite) 1 [#9, #10] Performs routine inventory inspections, logging, and periodic physical inspections (part-time allocation reflected in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and one-time costs are well-specified in analyst notes; per-event costs are provided as ranges. Major uncertainty remains around incident frequencies and Foundation policy-driven decisions (e.g., Director retention), so confidence is medium.
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