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SCP-5031 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5031
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$1.9M
Personnel
20
Initial capital/setup costs are approximately $1.07M, driven by construction of an airtight iron cell, specialized sensors/cameras, robotics and research instrumentation. Annual recurring costs are approximately $1.90M/yr, dominated by security staffing, specialist staffing/training, research/forensic budgets, insurance and legal/cover-story retainer.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Equipment $426K
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #12, #17, #18] Dedicated HVAC installation (#4), redundant UPS/generator purchase & installation (#5), specialized directional lighting/shadow rig (#6), high-resolution cameras and shadow-recording equipment (#7), non-visual sensing suite (LIDAR/pressure/IR/etc.) (#8), rapid-response/armored transport & comms equipment buy-in (#12 one-time equipment), robotics/remote manipulators (#17 one-time), and IT/server hardware for secure storage (#18 initial).
Facilities $308K
[#1, #2, #3, #23] Fabrication/installation of airtight iron cell and structural reinforcement (#1), airtight double-airlock and door seals (#2), initial corrosion protection/coating (#3 initial), and initial spare seals/gaskets kit (#23 initial). Includes site prep, rigging, welding and pressure testing.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#13, #24] Forensic lab and initial analysis instrumentation/setup for DNA/sequencing/pathology & specialist research instrumentation procurement for long-term study.
Legal And Cover Setup $50K
[#19] Initial legal/PR retainer and cover-story setup to support site-level contingency planning and external coordination.
Training And Sop Development $30K
[#16] Initial SOP development and training program setup (simulator/drill design, specialist trainer fees).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr
Staff Wages $966K/yr
[#9, #11, #12] Ongoing wages and benefits: 12on-site guards (3 shifts) (~$660,000/yr), rapid-response team staffing/training (~$300,000/yr), and bi-weekly inspection labor (two inspectors, ~ $6,200/yr).
Research And Monitoring $322K/yr
[#13, #24] Forensic sample analysis recurring budget (#13 recurring) and specialist research program funding for long-term study (#24 recurring).
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal counsel, PR retainer, settlements contingency and coordination with local authorities / cover-story maintenance.
Insurance $200K/yr
[#20] Facility insurance, environmental liability and workers' compensation estimated annually.
Logistics And Transport $75K/yr
[#21] Annual mobilization/transport contingency reserve to cover emergency mobilizations, heavy transport, crane hire and contractor mobilization (incident-based reserve allocation).
Facilities Maintenance $58K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #10, #17, #23, #25] Annual corrosion recoating and spot repairs (#3 recurring), HVAC filters & minor maintenance (#4 recurring), backup generator fuel & maintenance (#5 recurring), sensor calibration & repairs (#8 recurring), ongoing airtightness welding/gasket repairs contingency (#10), robotics maintenance (#17 recurring), consumable seals/gasket replenishment (#23 recurring), and containment audits/third-party inspections (#25).
Training And Drills $28K/yr
[#16] Recurring refresher training, SOP drills and specialist trainer fees.
It And Data Ops $20K/yr
[#7, #18] Secure data storage, CCTV network ops and cybersecurity (camera storage & maintenance + IT operations/security).
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#14, #15] Biohazard cleanup & waste incineration contracts (#14) and PPE/decontamination supplies (#15).
Annual Energy $8K/yr
[#22] Electricity for continuous operation of shadow lights, HVAC, sensors and data storage.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, inspections, scheduled maintenance and no major incidents.
routine_inspections scheduled_maintenance normal_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Limited containment incident requiring cleanup, extra forensic analyses and localized repairs; no full breach or relocation.
minor_seal_failure localized_contamination sensor_alerts
🚨 Major Breach $3.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.1M vs baseline
Significant containment failure requiring full mobilization, potential relocation, extensive repairs, emergency legal/PR response and higher staffing/overtime costs.
full_seal_failure escape_of_SCP multiple_injuries_or_casualties
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#11] 12 guards (3 shifts) included in security staffing wages (~$55k each fully-burdened).
Site Rapid-Response Team 6 [#12] 4–8 personnel recommended; modeled as 6 full-time equivalent rapid-response staff covered in recurring staffing/training budget.
Maintenance Inspector 2 [#9] Two trained maintenance inspectors performing bi-weekly inspections (combined ~104 hrs/yr), labor cost included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many items use ranges and incident-driven costs are uncertain; estimates use midpoints and conservative reserves. Keter-class containment also carries latent tail risks not fully quantifiable from the notes.
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