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SCP-5051 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5051
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$2.4M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
5
Initial setup (remote mobilization, perimeter/shelter refurbishment, robotics and lab setup) drives one-time costs (~$2.37M); ongoing annual operations (staff wages, specialized teams, medevac, research, fuel, communications) drive recurring costs (~$2.76M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M
Incident Reserve $600K
[#27] Incident/contingency fund (one-time reserve to cover unanticipated escalation, equipment replacement, emergency evacuations).
Decommissioning And Site Closure $600K
[#29] Decommissioning and site closure (demolition, hazardous material removal, environmental restoration if chosen).
Equipment $384K
[#4, #6, #10, #11, #12, #25] Backup diesel generator purchase/installation, satellite/V SAT install, initial PPE setup, remote inspection hardware purchase, robotic manipulator purchase, cybersecurity setup (hardware/Faraday enclosure).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $245K
[#14, #15, #17] Digital forensics / air-gapped analysis lab setup, portable EEG and associated research equipment, initial materials/metallurgical contract testing.
Facilities $235K
[#2, #3] Secure-perimeter installation and on-site shelter/refurbishment (chain-link fencing, signage, converting/repairing building spaces).
Environmental Remediation Reserve $175K
[#24] Remediation contingency reserve for site closure or contamination remediation (one-time reserve).
Initial Reconnaissance $105K
[#1] Initial reconnaissance and site survey (helicopter charter, team of 6, remote-sensing, initial samples, cold-weather specialists).
Initial Training And Sop $25K
[#21] Initial SOP creation and training/drill development and initial training delivery.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $530K/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #17, #18, #21, #24] Ongoing analyst contracts, EEG/testing per-subject costs, clinical imaging referrals, materials follow-up testing, longitudinal health monitoring, annual training refresh, environmental monitoring.
Long Term Research Program $500K/yr
[#28] Multi-year research program funding (annualized budget for staff, experiments, subject recruitment and labs).
Staff Wages $370K/yr
[#7, #9] On-site security staff rotational wages (4 guards, remote/hazard pay) and on-site paramedic salary (wages, travel, benefits).
Specialist Consulting $300K/yr
[#26] Specialist consulting contracts (neurologists, anomalous researchers, metallurgists) billed annually.
Logistics And Transport $285K/yr
[#5, #9, #13] Fuel contract / winter heating deliveries, medevac contract costs, secure artifact transfer operations (annualized transfers).
Specialized Response Team $275K/yr
[#8] Specialized containment/security rapid-response team (standby, training, rotations) — not full-time on-site but budgeted annually.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#22, #23] Legal/cover-story development and local liaison costs plus covert PR/records management and FOIA defense.
Supplies And Consumables $158K/yr
[#10, #19] PPE consumables and field consumables/logistical supplies (food, spare parts, bulk fuel handling, small tools).
Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr
[#20] Regular inspection & maintenance visits (transport + workforce) and upkeep of fences/generator/comm systems.
Communications And Monitoring $54K/yr
[#6, #11] Satellite bandwidth/service and remote-inspection camera maintenance/telemetry service (ongoing costs for persistent encrypted comms and camera feeds).
Equipment Maintenance $10K/yr
[#12] Maintenance and consumables for remote manipulator/robotic arm and bespoke tooling for confined-space operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled inspections, routine research, and no major incidents.
routine_operations periodic_inspections
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized containment/structure incident requiring repairs, equipment replacement and one or two medevacs.
localized_damage medical_evacuations equipment_replacement
🚨 Major Breach $4.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or destructive event requiring evacuation, environmental remediation, heavy repairs and legal/PR response.
structural_damage multiple_casualties environmental_contamination
🚨 Research Scale Up $3.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Foundation elects to accelerate research (expanded human studies, additional hires, specialized experiments) leading to temporary surge in spend.
multi-year_study additional_staffing expanded_experiments
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#7] Four guards in rotation to provide continuous on-site coverage (remote/hazard pay reflected in staff wages).
Paramedic / Medical Officer 1 [#9] One on-site paramedic/EMT for immediate response; medevac contract budgeted separately.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasoned midpoint-based estimate; however wide cost ranges, uncertain incident frequency, and variable transfer counts reduce precision.
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