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SCP-5078 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5078
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$1.7M
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
10
One-time setup and hardening costs are approximately $1,725,000 driven primarily by property purchase, subsurface containment, and a large contingency reserve; recurring annual costs are about $1,220,000 driven mainly by staff wages (researchers and security) and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.7M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#24] Containment-breach contingency and emergency relocation reserve (~$1,000,000 one-time reserve).
Facilities $400K
[#1, #3, #4] Property purchase (~$200,000), renovation/hardening (~$50,000), and subsurface containment/liner/grout (~$150,000).
Equipment $120K
[#5, #6, #15, #19] Radiation shielding & initial radiological survey (~$30,000), continuous monitoring system setup (~$55,000), initial PPE/decon equipment (~$25,000), and data/server setup (~$10,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $80K
[#7] Secure onsite lab/field-analysis equipment (biosafety cabinet, freezers, centrifuges, basic radiological prep) estimated at ~$80,000.
Amnestics Stock $60K
[#14] Initial amnestics stockpile and training (~$60,000 initial).
Vehicle And Containers $35K
[#18] Secure vehicle purchase (~$30,000) and secure sample containers (~$5,000).
Front Company Setup $15K
[#2] Formation of front company, legal fees, initial bookkeeping and incorporation (~$15,000).
Cover Story Setup $15K
[#13] Initial cover identity fabrication and background records (~$15,000 one-time).
Data Management Setup $10K
[#19] Servers, encrypted backups and initial secure storage setup (~$10,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $855K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12] Onsite principal researchers/cover family salaries (~$300,000/yr), security staff (~$200,000/yr) plus training (~$5,000/yr), rotating research/specialists (~$250,000/yr), and administrative/site management (~$100,000/yr) = ~$855,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $246K/yr
[#8, #19, #21, #25] Offsite advanced analyses / iterative major tests (~$100,000/yr first years), ongoing research budget (~$100,000/yr), data storage/IT maintenance (~$6,000/yr), and long-term periodic in-depth environmental monitoring (~$40,000/yr) = ~$246,000/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $34K/yr
[#6, #17, #27] Monitoring system maintenance (~$6,500/yr), utilities & HVAC/internet/power (~$20,000/yr), and miscellaneous small repairs/spares (~$7,500/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#14, #15] PPE consumables and decon consumables (~$10,000/yr), small lab consumables (~$5,000/yr) and amnestic replenishment (~$5,000/yr).
Waste Handling Disposal $15K/yr
[#16] Licensed radioactive/biohazard waste handling and disposal contracts (~$15,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $14K/yr
[#13, #22] Ongoing cover identity maintenance/social engineering (~$7,500/yr) and property taxes/insurance (~$7,000/yr) = ~$14,500/yr.
Medical And Psychiatric Support $12K/yr
[#20] Medical screening, on-call medics and psychiatric support contracts (~$12,500/yr).
Ethical Oversight And Review $10K/yr
[#26] Ongoing ethics committee reviews, IRB/admin compliance and recordkeeping (~$10,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#18] Fuel, vehicle maintenance and secure sample transport (~$8,000/yr).
Community Relations $5K/yr
[#23] Discretionary community mitigation / local engagement (~$5,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, research, and personnel operations and no containment incidents.
normal_operations no_incident_response
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
Localized containment anomaly or minor exposure requiring emergency sampling, overtime, temporary containment rental and additional analyses/amnestics.
localized_leak minor_exposure expanded_testing
🚨 Major Breach $2.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or discovery that requires emergency relocation, large‑scale remediation, mobilization of mobile containment units and major decontamination.
full_extraction radiological_remediation large_scale_decontamination
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / PI 2 [#9] Two onsite principal researchers (cover family) living on-site; salaries and benefits included in recurring staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#10] Four full-time guards (day and night coverage), includes training and benefits.
Contract Specialists / Research Rotation 3 [#11] Rotating linguists, microbiologists, materials scientists and health physicists; staffing represented as ~3 FTE equivalents or contractors.
Site Director / Administrative Staff 1 [#12] One full-time manager / administrative lead handling scheduling, compliance, and front-company paperwork.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst midpoints and typical Foundation practices; many items (novel microbes, radiological remediation needs) carry substantial uncertainty, but salary and routine monitoring costs are well-bounded.
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