SCP-5111 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-5111
Expected annual
$5.3M
One-time setup
$60.7M
Annual recurring
$5.0M
Personnel
13
One-time capital and mission costs (facility construction, high-end instrumentation, and possible space-mission expenditures) dominate the program budget (~$60.7M). Recurring annual costs (~$4.95M/yr) are driven by staff wages, continuous monitoring/processing, data storage, cybersecurity, and contingency overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $60.7M
Actual Space Mission Costs $50.0M
[#23] Representative budget for possible small survey satellite / flagship mission; included for completeness though such missions are likely infeasible for containment budgets.
Facilities $5.5M
[#4, #25] Construction of a dedicated receiving station (site prep, dishes, RFI mitigation) and site purchase/long-term lease costs (chosen midpoint: small facility + land).
Space Mission Concept Studies $2.0M
[#22] Multi-institution feasibility/architecture studies for any active mission concepts (no construction/launch).
Equipment $1.0M
[#5, #6] High-speed digitizers/backend hardware and on-site storage array/tape/archive hardware purchase.
Software Development $600K
[#7] One-time custom detection pipeline and ML/tooling development costs.
Personnel Turnover Severance $300K
[#27] Severance and contract buyouts if program is wound down (one-time reserve).
Classified Archive Setup $200K
[#17] Secure long-term archival infrastructure initial setup and off-site vaulting.
Decommissioning And Neutralization Confirmation $200K
[#18] Costs to verify neutralization, dismantle equipment, sanitize networks, and severance for temporary staff if required.
Archive Suppression Legal Settlements $200K
[#29] Contingent one-time legal settlements/takedown/remediation budget in case of leaks.
Cover Program Setup $200K
[#15] One-time costs for initiating active cover programs / legal containment of leaks.
Cybersecurity Hardening $175K
[#11] Initial network hardening, encrypted archives setup, and penetration testing.
Initial Verification Followup $150K
[#1] Rapid-response telescope time, staff overtime, and travel for immediate verification (24–72 hr observation blocks).
Physical Security Installation $100K
[#10] One-time fencing/access control/CCTV/secure-room installation costs.
Legal Initial Setup $75K
[#16] Initial legal retainer/setup fees separate from recurring legal costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#8, #9] Salaries for scientific staff (astronomers, cryptographers), signal analysts, data scientists, RF engineers, sysadmin and project leads (permanent + contracted personnel).
Contingency Overhead $646K/yr
[#19] Program management overhead and contingency (estimated at 15% of annual operating costs).
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#3, #21] Ongoing scheduled telescope time (intermittent to full coverage) and long-range research/theory grants and modeling programs.
Facilities Maintenance $350K/yr
[#10, #12, #25] Guard contracts/upkeep, power/cooling/utilities for dishes and racks, and lease/onsite facility maintenance.
Emergency Response Fund $300K/yr
[#20] Reserve fund for rapid telescope allocation, external consulting, and surge operations if transmissions change character.
Short Term Emergency Operations $250K/yr
[#2] Temporary surge staffing, extra data capture, and near-term analysis during post-discovery activity (weeks-long surges averaged annually).
Cover Story And Legal $225K/yr
[#15, #16] PR contractor, cover-story coordination and recurring legal retainer/insurance premiums.
Data Storage Maintenance $200K/yr
[#6] Recurring storage/hosting, backups, and network bandwidth costs for high-rate radio data retention.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#13] Replacement receivers, low-noise amplifiers, cabling, lubricants, spares and preventive maintenance consumables.
Cybersecurity Operations $150K/yr
[#11] Ongoing SOC services, licensing, intrusion detection, audits and periodic penetration testing.
Collaborations And Cost Sharing $150K/yr
[#24] Payments/funding to partner observatories for prioritized time, secondments, and data rights.
Software Maintenance $75K/yr
[#7] Ongoing updates, bug fixes and third-party license fees for detection pipelines and analysis tools.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#26] Travel for interagency meetings, on-site maintenance crews, instrument shipping, and urgent specialist dispatch.
Classified Archive Maintenance $50K/yr
[#17] Ongoing secure archival operations and integrity checks.
Personnel Hiring And Training $50K/yr
[#27] Annual hiring, retraining and professional development costs.
International Coordination $50K/yr
[#14] ITU filings, frequency coordination, export controls and liaison travel/legal compliance.
Ethical Oversight $30K/yr
[#28] Independent review boards, external consultants, and public safety assessments.
Public Data Release Management $25K/yr
[#30] Staff time and curation costs to prepare sanitized public releases if appropriate.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, staff salaries, storage, cybersecurity, and contingency; no major incidents or capital projects.
routine_monitoring no_major_incident
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized event (e.g., regional EMP-like pulse or sudden transmission change) requiring emergency response, additional telescope time and external consultants.
localized_emp_event unexpected_transmission_character_change
🚨 Research Scale Up $13.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$8.5M vs baseline
Decision to build/activate a dedicated receiving facility and undertake major mission studies/launch prep in response to new evidence (capital-intensive year).
sustained_high_priority_transmissions policy_directive_for_active_investigation
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Senior/junior astronomers/cryptographers responsible for analysis and oversight.
Signal Analyst / Data Scientist 4 [#8] Data scientists and signal analysts for pipeline review and vetting.
System Administrator / IT Specialist 1 [#8, #11] Manages compute, storage, and classified networks.
RF Engineer / Technician 3 [#9] Telescope operators, RF engineers and electronics technicians for uptime and repairs.
Project Manager / Program Administrator 1 [#19] Administrative oversight, program management and liaison duties.
Contract Researchers / Short-term Contractors 2 [#8, #21] Visiting scientists and contract specialists supporting research and surge analyses.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range point selections from wide analyst ranges; many costs (facility scale, mission choices, frequency of surges) are uncertain, but the recurring operational elements are reasonably well-understood.
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