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SCP-5115 Thaumiel ? low confidence
SCP-5115
Expected annual
$30.7M
One-time setup
$75.6M
Annual recurring
$30.2M
Personnel
95
One-time capital to stand up containment and HYPOSTAT-2 R&D is ~ $75.6M driven by lab buildout, retrofitting and capital reserves; annual recurring operations run ~ $30.2M driven by staff wages, facility maintenance, security, and consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $75.6M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20.6M
[#3, #9, #25, #13] R&D lab buildout and scientific tooling: shielded labs/cryogenics/EM systems (#3), prototype manufacturing tooling and microfabrication setup (#9), initial memetic/psychological countermeasure development (#25), human-testing program protocol setup and approvals (#13).
Facilities $20.1M
[#4, #5, #12, #21] Structural and site work: containment/test chambers (#4), power infrastructure/substation and generators (#5), initial medical/isolation ward buildout (#12), initial integration/retrofitting pilot costs for other sites (#21).
Equipment $17.2M
[#1, #2, #6, #7, #8, #20, #26] Capital hardware: secure SOUL DB hardware and HSMs (#1), classified compute/simulation cluster (#2), sensor suite (#6), remote handling/robotics (#7), specialized containment hardware/lockers (#8), IT/crypto HSMs and key-escrow setup (#20), field deployment kit program initial hardware (#26).
Catastrophic Reserve $10.0M
[#17] One-time insurance-equivalent internal reserve for catastrophic containment failure / cover-up operations.
Project Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#28] One-time program contingency for unexpected physics/secondary anomalies and unknowns.
Archival Setup $1.1M
[#22] Secure archival and geographically distributed air-gapped storage initial setup and dead-man triggers.
Incident Response Reserve $1.0M
[#16] One-time contingency fund / equipment purchase to seed dedicated incident response and cleanup capability.
Cover Story Setup $300K
[#14] One-time establishment of cover infrastructure, front company setup and initial legal/OPSEC arrangements.
Monitoring Setup $250K
[#23] Initial monitoring, immutable logging and forensics infrastructure (tamper-evident physical logs, offline copies).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $30.2M/yr
Staff Wages $10.9M/yr
[#10, #11, #12] Salaries and benefits for core R&D staff, engineers/technicians, security wages and on-site medical staffing (specialized/hazard pay included).
Facilities Maintenance $4.9M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #21] Ongoing maintenance and facility ops: lab systems maintenance (cryogenics, cleanrooms) (#3), containment chamber upkeep (#4), fuel/UPS/generator maintenance (#5), containment hardware servicing (#8), retrofitting program/site-level upkeep (#21).
Research And Monitoring $2.9M/yr
[#2, #1, #23, #25, #13] Recurring research, simulations and monitoring: compute cluster ops and admins (#2), secure storage integrity audits and SOUL maintenance (#1), ongoing logging/forensics operations (#23), memetic countermeasure research & monitoring (#25), human testing program recurring costs (#13).
Replacement Cycle $2.8M/yr
[#27] Technology refresh and lifecycle upgrades (~10–20% of installed capital per year).
Incident Response Replenish $2.0M/yr
[#16] Annual replenishment and readiness budget for containment/spill response and repair equipment replenishment.
Cover Story And Legal $1.7M/yr
[#14, #24] Ongoing legal cover, front-company operations, lobbying/payoffs, and PR/disinformation preparedness and rapid-response media management.
Supplies And Consumables $1.4M/yr
[#9, #7, #6] Consumables and spare parts: prototyping consumables and cryogens (#9), robotic spare parts and tethering maintenance (#7), sensor calibration and replacement parts (#6).
Project Contingency Topup $1.0M/yr
[#28] Ongoing contingency top-ups for new unknowns and escalating anomalies.
Logistics And Transport $900K/yr
[#15] Secure transport, armored movements, airlift contracts and covert logistics for equipment and anomalous transfers.
Red Team And Security Testing $600K/yr
[#18] Pen-testing, insider-threat simulations, clandestine exfiltration exercises and audits.
Field Deployment Maintenance $500K/yr
[#26] Maintenance and sustainment for deployed portable intangibility kits and tactical units.
Security Training And Equipment $300K/yr
[#11] Specialized training, equipment, and exercises for armed response and QRF teams.
Training Drills $175K/yr
[#19] Regular staff training, emergency drills and SOP development.
It Security And Audits $125K/yr
[#20] Recurring cryptographic audits, key-escrow maintenance and IT security updates.
Archival Rotation $112K/yr
[#22] Ongoing archival storage costs, geographic rotation and media replacement.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $30.2M/yr
87.8% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, maintenance, audits and scheduled R&D; no major incidents.
routine operations scheduled maintenance no containment or public incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $31.7M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized containment/test chamber malfunction or small-scale breach requiring cleanup and minor repairs.
chamber failure localized equipment damage minor exposure requiring remediation
🚨 Major Breach $40.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or program-level accident requiring major repairs, extended response, legal/cover operations and replacement of major assets.
major containment breach loss of key equipment extended operational downtime
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $80.2M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Systemic metaphysical/containment collapse or wide-scale incident requiring catastrophic response and major reserve drawdown.
systemic containment failure existential/metaphysical cascade large-scale cover-up operations
🚨 Research Scaleup $35.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Accelerated program expansion following a research breakthrough that requires rapid capital deployment and scaling of deployment/retrofitting.
successful breakthrough decision to deploy foundation-wide programmatic scale-up
👥 Personnel 95 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Engineer 28 [#10] Experimental physicists, control/software engineers, and senior researchers forming the core HYPOSTAT-2 team.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 45 [#11] 24/7 armed/site security and quick reaction force for containment incidents; includes benefits and hazard pay reflected in staff_wages.
Technician 8 [#7, #9] Skilled technicians for robotics, prototyping, and day-to-day lab support; recurring spares/maintenance budget accounts for their work.
Engineer / Maintenance 6 [#5, #3] Facilities, power, cryogenics and structural maintenance engineers.
Medical Officer 4 [#12] On-site medical team for trauma, quarantine, and pathology support.
Administrative Staff 3 [#14, #10] Administrative, OPSEC, and program management support (includes ops manager duties).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10] Program director / executive oversight for HYPOSTAT-2 and SCP-5115 operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Costs are based on wide analyst ranges and qualitative/ambiguous anomaly requirements; SCP-5115's metaphysical effects and programmatic scale (Thaumiel application) create high uncertainty in capital/reserve sizing and incident likelihoods.
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