SCP-5127 — SCP-5127 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-5127 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-5127

Expected annual

$396K

One-time setup

$174K

Annual recurring

$394K

Personnel

Initial one-time setup is moderate (~$174k) driven by room upgrades, instrumentation, and a contingency reserve; recurring annual costs (~$394k/yr) are dominated by research program salaries and allocated custodial/security staffing with additional recurring medical, vetting, and storage expenses.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $174K

Contingency Reserve $50K

[#19] Reserve fund for anomalous/extended events (medical care, housing, recovery operations).

Facilities $44K

[#2, #13] Dedicated locked room and access-control upgrades (#2) and optional controlled test chamber construction (#13). Estimate covers door/interlock hardware, wiring, installation and chamber buildout.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $36K

[#9, #10] High-speed/high-sensitivity temporal observation instrumentation (#9) and physiological monitoring kit for wearers (#10).

Equipment $26K

[#1, #3, #18, #21, #14] Secure containment locker/inner lockbox (#1), redundant CCTV hardware (#3), server/cloud setup for data (#18), transport kit/evidence seals (#21), and handling tooling (#14).

Amnestic Stock $6K

[#15] Initial stock of approved amnestic agents and memetic containment supplies.

Sop Development $6K

[#16] One-time SOP documentation development and initial training material creation.

Decommissioning Fund $5K

[#25] One-time fund for eventual decommissioning, archiving, or destruction protocols.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $394K/yr

Research And Monitoring $183K/yr

[#12, #9] Modest active research program budget including 1 postdoc + 1 technician and experiment consumables (#12); instrument calibration/consumables for temporal equipment (#9).

Staff Wages $97K/yr

[#4, #5, #6] Custodian allocation (Dr. Newman partial FTE assumed) and fractional Level-3 escort/oversight time, plus apportioned armed security transport standby.

Space Opportunity Cost $25K/yr

[#24] Notional annual opportunity cost allocation for dedicating secured lab space at Site-19.

Psych Evaluations $22K/yr

[#7] Psychological evaluations for entry/exit (estimated ~48 evaluations/year at ~$300–$600 each).

Incident Response Team $20K/yr

[#20] Retention stipends, specialized gear, and recurring training for a small cross-disciplinary response team.

Psychiatric Care $12K/yr

[#8] Baseline and ongoing psychiatric care for test subjects (screening, counseling, follow-ups).

Medical Standby $10K/yr

[#11] On-call medics, response premiums and emergency intervention readiness for tests.

Cover Story And Legal $5K/yr

[#23] Ongoing legal/admin retainer for redaction, cover story generation and coordination with local authorities.

Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr

[#10, #14] Physiological consumables (electrodes, batteries) (#10) and PPE/training consumables replacement (#14).

Amnestic Replenishment $4K/yr

[#15] Annual replenishment of amnestic agents and memetic countermeasure supplies.

Training And Drills $3K/yr

[#16] Recurring staff training, tabletop drills and refresher SOP trainings.

Background Vetting $2K/yr

[#17] Annualized background checks and periodic re-vetting costs for authorized personnel.

Data Storage And Compute $2K/yr

[#18] Recurring cloud/storage costs and compute time for analysis of high-rate video and instrument data.

Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr

[#22] Replacement of tamper seals, batteries, lock maintenance and basic camera upkeep.

Logistics And Transport $2K/yr

[#21] Recurring courier / secure transport vehicle costs apportioned for movement between locker and lab.

Cctv Storage And Maintenance $1K/yr

[#3] Encrypted recording storage retention and camera maintenance/monitoring costs.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $394K/yr

93.0% probability / year

Normal, uneventful year with routine supervision, occasional testing within current constraints and no major incidents.

routine_supervision scheduled_testing normal_maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $418K/yr

6.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline

Accidental or brief anomalous event (e.g., inadvertent wearing or short uncontrolled subjective extension) requiring medical intervention, additional amnestics, and limited recovery operations.

accidental_wearing short_subjective_extension limited_medical_intervention

🚨 Major Incident $544K/yr

1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline

Severe anomalous event such as prolonged subjective extension, fatality or large-scale medical/recovery operation and extended containment efforts.

prolonged_subjective_extension mass_casualty_during_test extended_medical_and_recovery

👥 Personnel 7 total

Role	Count	Notes
Custodian / Researcher (Dr. Newman)	1	[#4] Dedicated custodian allocation (partial FTE assumed and budgeted as a salary allocation).
Level-3 Personnel (escorts / oversight)	2	[#5] Two Level-3 staff assigned as escorts/oversight (fractional FTE each for supervision and paperwork).
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#6] Two armed guards allocated for transport/handling missions (apportioned salary/standby costs).
Research Scientist	1	[#12] Postdoctoral-level research staff included in the research program budget.
Technician	1	[#12] Laboratory technician included in the research program budget to run instrumentation and experiments.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide explicit line-item ranges and containment procedures, enabling a reasoned midpoint estimate; however several items depend on site policy, chosen instrumentation precision, and whether the Foundation pursues active research, so uncertainty remains.

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