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SCP-5138 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5138
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$2.9M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
13
One-time setup costs are approximately $2.89M driven by stasis chambers, containment build-out and digital misinformation development; recurring annual costs are about $2.223M dominated by personnel, AI cover maintenance, energy, and site overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.9M
Equipment $1.1M
[#1, #3, #5, #13, #15, #21] Stasis chambers, backup power/UPS & generator, initial security equipment & training, on-site surveillance hardware, field equipment (boats/kits), hardware security modules.
Digital Misinformation Development $1.0M
[#17] Frederick.aic one-time development, model training, infrastructure and initial content seeding.
Facilities $500K
[#2] Containment suite build-out / BSL-grade modifications.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $230K
[#8, #9, #10] Forensic & laboratory capital equipment (imaging, necropsy, cryo-freezers), initial forensic testing budget, freezer purchase / cryo equipment.
Contingency Prepositioning $50K
[#22] One-time contingency / pre-positioning of emergency supplies for breach scenarios.
Disposal Decommissioning $50K
[#26] One-time secure disposal / decommissioning planning and execution.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.3M/yr
[#4, #6, #7] Physical security staffing (6 guards salaries+benefits), scientific personnel salaries (head researcher, pathologist, 2 RAs + benefits/hazard), containment technicians / maintenance staff salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#18, #19, #25] Frederick.aic ongoing maintenance & moderation, legal/cover-up & local liaison budget, long-term academic shell funding to sustain cover narratives.
Site Overhead Allocation $200K/yr
[#20] Pro-rated Site-93 overhead: admin, HR, janitorial, base IT, waste contracts, security central command allocation.
Energy Costs $80K/yr
[#12] Energy for stasis chambers, HVAC, servers and monitoring equipment.
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#14, #15] Secure transport & field recovery operations (per-recovery ops budget) and ongoing field recovery refresher training.
Containment Drills Emergency Fund $50K/yr
[#22] Annual containment drills, tabletop exercises, rapid response on-call premiums and emergency fund replenishment.
Amnestic And Witness Management $50K/yr
[#16] Amnestic pharmaceuticals, mobile administration teams, witness follow-up and related memetic countermeasures budget.
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#10, #11, #23] Cryogenic consumables / LN2/electric servicing, medical consumables and PPE, contracted hazardous waste disposal.
Research And Monitoring $18K/yr
[#9, #13] Ongoing forensic testing budget (sequencing, radiocarbon, isotopes) and surveillance/environmental monitoring maintenance.
Psychological Support And Vetting $15K/yr
[#24] Counseling services, psychological evaluations and personnel vetting.
Record Security And Audit $5K/yr
[#21] Recurring auditing, key rotation, secure archive maintenance.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled recoveries and routine maintenance; no major breaches or public exposure.
routine recoveries scheduled maintenance normal research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment event (equipment failure, brief power outage, small transport accident) requiring repairs, overtime, minor replacements and limited amnestic operations.
temporary power loss transport damage localized containment breach
🚨 Major Breach $4.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public exposure requiring full MTF deployment, facility repairs/upgrades, large-scale amnestics, legal/PR operations and possible replacement of capital equipment.
full containment failure public exposure / media leak large-scale recovery / replacement operations
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4] 24/7 armed security assigned to the containment wing (three shifts).
Research Scientist (Head) 1 [#6] Head researcher salary included in scientific personnel.
Pathologist / Forensic Specialist 1 [#6] Pathologist/forensic specialist on the research team.
Research Technician 2 [#6] Two research assistants/technicians included in scientific personnel.
Containment Technician / Maintenance 3 [#7] Technicians to monitor chambers, HVAC, sensors and perform day-to-day maintenance (estimate reflects 2–4 techs; mid-point used).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range and based on provided analyst breakdowns; many line items (site allocations, AI development scope, and staffing configurations) are approximated, so uncertainty remains in exact totals and incident frequencies.
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