SCP-5168 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-5168
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$6.1M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
14
Up-front capital expenditures are dominated by property acquisition, lab upgrades, geophysical survey work and contingency reserves (~$6.07M one-time). Ongoing yearly costs are driven by personnel (security, site director, medics, research staff) and remediation/monitoring programs (~$2.33M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.1M
Contingency Reserve One Time $1.5M
[#24] Long-term contingency reserve for escalation (recommended $500k–$5M). Mid-range reserve selected to allow rapid scale-up.
Relocation Costs One Time $1.2M
[#9] Capital/subsidy for relocating child-bearing families. Analyst notes example for 10 families ranges $500k–$2M; this line assumes funding for a 10-family relocation program (mid-range ~$1.25M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#14, #15, #18, #19] Initial geophysical survey/seismic imaging (~$300k), BSL-2 lab suite buildout (~$150k), initial mycological research project seed funding (~$400k), and sample storage / secure specimen infrastructure and instruments (~$275k).
Escalation Allowance One Time $1.1M
[#30] Unexpected environmental/legal escalation allowance (one-time buffer). Midpoint of $250k–$2M applied as an additional escalation buffer.
Facilities $330K
[#1, #2, #21] Property purchase and title/closing plus immediate physical hardening (fencing, gates, locks, signage, anti-dig skirts) and HVAC retrofit for environmental control. Estimate uses mid-range values from notes for rural property purchase (~$250k + $10k closing), hardening (~$40k) and HVAC (~$30k).
Equipment $295K
[#5, #12, #14, #16] Vehicle purchase/retrofit for MTF response (~$90k), initial household surveillance installs for 20 households (~$40k), monitoring array hardware install (~$150k), and initial PPE stock (~$15k).
Community Compensation One Time $255K
[#23] One-time community compensation / goodwill / hush payments. Midpoint of $10k–$500k used for planning.
School District Manipulation One Time $138K
[#11] One-time costs to engineer school district closure or similar political/financial actions. Midpoint of $25k–$250k.
Initial Cover Story One Time $50K
[#8] Initial cover-story establishment, PR buys, and legal preparations to seed the delinquent-gang/burglary narrative ($10k–$100k).
Corporate Registration One Time $3K
[#22] Front company setup/corporate registration and initial legal/title fees ($1k–$5k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#3, #4, #6, #27, #18] On-site security (6 guards, ~6 FTE equivalent), site director and administrative staff, medics (1–2 FTE), community/regional analyst (0.5–1 FTE), and research scientist salaries (allocated staff portion of ongoing mycology program). Numbers reflect salaries + ~25% benefits where noted.
Temporary Housing And Services $300K/yr
[#10] Short-term lodging, social worker case management, and school placement support for displaced families. For planning, assumes extended support for multiple families (per-family $18k–$60k/yr aggregated).
Remediation Program $200K/yr
[#17] Biohazard waste removal, soil remediation, fungicidal treatments, and incident remediation; programmatic budget covering recurring incidents ($50k–$500k/yr range).
Supplies And Consumables $128K/yr
[#6, #16, #19, #20] PPE and decontamination restock (~$2k–$10k/yr), medic kits/drugs (~$5k–$20k/yr), sample consumables and maintenance (~$20k–$100k/yr), and standing ammunition/incineration fuel/chemical agents budget (~$20k–$100k/yr).
Psychological Counseling $100K/yr
[#28] Counseling and long-term monitoring for affected children and families. Range in notes is wide; planning uses a conservative mid-range annual program budget.
Cover Story And Legal $90K/yr
[#8, #11, #22] Ongoing legal retainer, PR and cover-story maintenance (~$10k–$50k/yr), and legal defense/liability insurance for front companies (~$20k–$200k/yr).
Amnestic Program $85K/yr
[#7] Pharmacological/psychological administration and follow-up for witnesses. Estimated for ~10 treated individuals/year at midpoint ($2k–$15k/person → ~ $85k).
Logistics And Transport $65K/yr
[#5, #26, #27] Vehicle readiness reserve and per-deployment operational budget (~$50k/yr reserve), transport and long-distance logistics for family moves and sample transfers (~$5k–$30k/yr), and data/coordination costs associated with permit monitoring.
Research And Monitoring $60K/yr
[#14, #18, #19] Ongoing geophysical data analysis and monitoring (~$20k–$100k/yr) and non-personnel research costs (sequencing consumables, data analysis) after staff salary allocation.
Digging Monitoring $60K/yr
[#13] Permit/legal monitoring, ground sensor upkeep, and patrols to deter civilian excavation (~$20k–$50k + $10k–$50k/yr components).
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#2, #15, #21, #25] Annual maintenance for fencing/gates/tamper alarms (~$1k–3k), BSL validation/maintenance (~$10k–$100k), HVAC energy and maintenance (~$1k–$5k), plus routine property taxes/utilities/landscaping (~$5k–$20k).
Surveillance Operations $25K/yr
[#12] Annual costs for CCTV/audio data, storage, and periodic undercover welfare checks for ~20 households (~$500–$2,000/household/yr → ~$25k).
School District Cover $25K/yr
[#11] Ongoing small payments/consulting to maintain school-closure cover and related political costs (~$5k–$50k/yr).
Training And Drills $15K/yr
[#29] Regular biohazard response and child-interaction protocol refreshers for staff, medics, and MTF on-call teams (~$5k–$25k/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
64.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, staffing, research, and small remediation tasks; no major incidents or exposures.
no major manifestations beyond typical patterns routine maintenance and scheduled research activities
🚨 Minor Incident $2.4M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
Localized manifestation event requiring targeted MTF response, multiple amnestic administrations, and property-level remediation.
single-house manifestation with casualty or allergic event several witnesses requiring amnestics and localized remediation
🚨 Major Breach $3.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Widespread manifestations affecting multiple residences requiring large-scale remediation, emergency relocations, and extended MTF deployments.
simultaneous multiple-house events large-scale fungal contamination or mass casualties
🚨 Political Exposure $4.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Public/political exposure or investigation forcing extensive legal defense, large payouts, expanded relocations, and major PR response.
FOIA/legal exposure investigative journalism or municipal discovery
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer 6 [#3] Six on-site guards to cover three shifts (2 guards/shift), corresponding to the $270k base + benefits estimate in the notes.
Site Director / Containment Specialist 1 [#4] One full-time site director/coordinator to manage containment operations.
Administrative Staff 1 [#4] One admin/cover-company accountant handling filings, cover stories, and front-company administration.
Medical Officer / Paramedic 2 [#6] One-to-two medics on-call/part-time coverage; staffing budget allocated for ~2 medics in recurring costs.
Community/Regional Analyst 1 [#27] 0.5–1 FTE region analyst for permit and social monitoring; planned as 1 FTE for staffing estimates.
Research Scientist 3 [#18] Mycological/research staff positions funded via recurring research salary allocation (allocated ~$300k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide numeric ranges for most line items but many items (manifestation frequency, number of relocations, research scope, contingency usage) are uncertain. Mid-range estimates were used and several escalation buffers included; meaningful uncertainty remains.
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