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SCP-5189 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5189
Expected annual
$9.1M
One-time setup
$51.9M
Annual recurring
$9.0M
Personnel
71
Initial capital for a regional containment program is large due to vessels, specialized facility build-out and marine equipment (~$52M one-time). Main recurring drivers are personnel (MTF, divers, guards) and ongoing vessel/monitoring operations (~$9.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $51.9M
Equipment $36.7M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #8, #9, #19, #22, #23] Purchase of 3 medium research vessels, small boat fleet and helicopters, ROV/AUV units and towable hydrophones, buoy nodes, diving/decompression hardware, cranes/winches/cages, secure servers, freezers and cameras/alarms.
Facilities $9.0M
[#1] Mid-sized coastal containment & research facility build-out (tanks, HVAC, life-support, cranage, quarantine/wet labs, autopsy/forensics suite).
Scaling Reserve One Time $5.0M
[#25] Capital reserve for potential near-term scaling if SCP proves more widespread (contingency toward larger national program).
Legal Incident Reserve One Time $500K
[#24] Legal contingency / incident reserve for settlements or rapid legal action.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#13] Initial specialized laboratory equipment for neutralization/removal research (molecular/field trial equipment, reagents setup).
Incident Pr One Time $200K
[#12] One-time incident PR / major media campaign reserve for large incidents (fake causes, media management).
Environmental Study One Time $100K
[#14] Initial environmental impact studies and permitting for planned containment/eradication trials.
Protocols And Docs One Time $30K
[#28] Containment protocol documentation, SOP printing/translations and initial dissemination materials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.0M/yr
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#7, #8, #23] Salaries and operational allowances for MTF detachment and rotating teams, specialized divers and facility security staff (guards).
Research And Monitoring $1.8M/yr
[#13, #6, #19] Salaries for research team (6–10 researchers), consumables/trials, buoy data analysis, satellite/coastal monitoring subscriptions and secure data storage maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $850K/yr
[#3, #4, #5] Ongoing vessel/small-boat/helicopter operations, fuel, crew, maintenance and ROV operational costs (baseline operations, excluding per-incident mobilization).
Miscellaneous Contingency $820K/yr
[#29] Annual contingency to cover unexpected equipment replacements, weather damage and saltwater corrosion (10% reserve of recurring budget).
Facilities Maintenance $710K/yr
[#2, #6, #9, #22] Utilities (pumps, life‑support, HVAC), buoy/node maintenance, containment/transplantation hardware upkeep, freezers/monitoring power.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#12, #24, #27] Baseline public-safety/cover-story program, media monitoring, legal retainer and liaison/outreach baseline costs.
Per Incident Capture Transport $200K/yr
[#10] Expected annual budget for specimen/cluster capture & transport operations (mobilization costs averaged across expected incidents).
Large Scale Eradication Reserve $200K/yr
[#15] Annualized contingency reserve for potential large-scale eradication / remediation efforts.
Psychological Care $200K/yr
[#17] Survivor and responder psychological care program baseline.
Emergency Demolition Reserve $200K/yr
[#26] Annualized reserve for specialist contractors / ordnance staging for extreme emergency demolition/salvage operations.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#20] Specialized medical consumables, PPE, disinfectants, antibiotics and routine field supplies.
Training And Drills $150K/yr
[#21] Regular exercises for containment/transplantation, dive safety, corpse handling, and cordon enforcement.
Hazardous Waste Treatment $125K/yr
[#18] Annual program for hazardous biological waste disposal and contaminated water treatment.
Mortuary And Forensic $100K/yr
[#16] Autopsy, victim emergency care allowances, forensic pathology and evidence handling baseline budget.
Cordon Enforcement $50K/yr
[#11] Annualized cost for maritime cordons, signage and liaison for small local closures averaged across expected incidents.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Routine year with planned operations, scheduled research, regular monitoring and no major incidents.
no large clusters detected scheduled research and maintenance only
🚨 Minor Incident $9.2M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Single small cluster or specimen requires rapid-response capture and localized cordon with limited casualties.
isolated SCP-5189 capture small local cordon and specimen transfer limited medical/forensic workload
🚨 Major Breach $12.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Large SCP-5189-1 infestation requiring multi-day cordons, mass transplantation or eradication, significant remediation and legal/PR expenses.
SCP-5189-1 formation (>50 specimens) multiple casualties and public exposure need for large-scale eradication/remediation
👥 Personnel 71 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#7] Rotating MTF Gamma-6a personnel and deployment teams included in MTF operational budget.
Diver / Specialized Diver 10 [#8] Specialized diving team (closed-circuit rebreather-qualified) used for close work and transplantation.
Research Scientist 8 [#13] Marine biologists/molecular biologists/chemists conducting neutralization and removal research.
Security Guard 6 [#23] Site guards for facility perimeter and specimen protection.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#2, #9] Facilities and equipment maintenance staff for pumps, life-support, cranes and buoys.
Vessel Crew 5 [#3, #4] Crew for research vessels and response boats.
Medical Officer 2 [#16] Medical staff for emergency care and casualty stabilization.
Forensic Technician 2 [#16, #22] Forensic/mortuary technicians for autopsies, specimen preservation and chain-of-custody.
Administrative Staff 3 [#12] Administrative and legal liaison staff for permits, PR and coordination with local authorities.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1] Senior management overseeing the containment facility and operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing mid-range estimates, but major uncertainties remain around incident frequency, scale of infestations (potential national spread) and choice of purchased vs chartered assets, so confidence is medium.
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