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SCP-5200 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5200
Expected annual
$19.3M
One-time setup
$519.9M
Annual recurring
$18.6M
Personnel
104
Initial capital and specialized setup costs are dominated by containment construction, dedicated observatory/lab capability and a large mission contingency; one-time capital is roughly $520M driven mainly by a precautionary interplanetary mission contingency. Recurring annual costs are dominated by staffing, intelligence/infiltration operations, and Arcadian reverse-engineering, totaling roughly $18.6M/yr under baseline operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $519.9M
Mission Large Capability Contingency $500.0M
[#24] Large contingency reserve representing the approximate lower bound for actual mission capability (interplanetary mission capital, per analyst note).
Facilities $6.0M
[#1, #11, #15] Containment chamber construction, dedicated small observatory facility construction, and hardened archive room (sums of midrange estimates).
Legal Incident Contingency $5.0M
[#17] One‑time contingency reserve for major settlements / buyouts / litigation if a large exposure event occurs.
Mission Optioning $3.0M
[#24] Preliminary mission studies / optioning for possible astronautic/deflection mission planning.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.0M
[#9, #10] Arcadian technology specialist lab setup and high‑precision timing instrumentation (atomic clock and associated instruments).
Equipment $2.9M
[#2, #3, #7, #19, #20, #13] Dedicated power transformer/UPS/generator initial hardware, telemetry/signal isolation cabling and test bench, life‑support hardware, emergency airlift capability (one‑time capability), rapid response team gear, and per‑site archaeological recovery equipment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.6M/yr
Intelligence Operations $5.0M/yr
[#12] Long‑term infiltration, cover companies, deep‑cover salaries, handler support and influence operations to protect positional information (midrange estimate).
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#5, #6, #8] 24/7 attending researchers (8), armed security pool (16), and full‑time biomedical staff (clinicians/engineers/nurses) — salaries, benefits and rotation overhead (midrange).
Arcadian Reverse Engineering $3.0M/yr
[#9] Recurring staff, experiments, materials procurement, and classified subcontracting for reverse engineering exotic Arcadian technology (midrange).
Asset Liquidation Program $2.0M/yr
[#14] Monitoring formerly influenced manufacturers, forensic teardown, legal work, and secure disposal on an ongoing program basis.
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#3, #10, #11, #23] Telemetry/instrument calibration, timing instrumentation maintenance, outsourced or dedicated astronomical observation operations, and scientific modeling/trajectory simulation costs.
Cybersecurity And Counter Leak $1.0M/yr
[#16] Continuous cyber defense, takedown operations, active monitoring and counter‑disinformation operations.
Rapid Response Training $600K/yr
[#20] Ongoing training, exercises, and readiness costs for breach/rapid response teams.
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#17] Ongoing legal support, maintenance of cover entities, PR/settlements baseline budget.
Archaeological Monitoring $500K/yr
[#13] Ongoing monitoring of relevant archaeological sites and periodic covert recovery operations budget.
Supplies And Consumables $280K/yr
[#4, #7, #18] NTSC replacement units and spares/testing, life‑support consumables/sterilization, and hazardous/electronic waste disposal.
Background And Clearance $250K/yr
[#22] Background checks, polygraphing, continuous monitoring and clearance maintenance for all personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#1, #15, #25] Ongoing building/HVAC/EMP shielding maintenance, archive media refresh, utilities (excluding independent generator fuel contract which is separate).
Logistics And Transport $200K/yr
[#19] Armored transport, secure shipping and routine secure logistics budgets (does not include one‑time emergency airlift capability).
Psychological Support $125K/yr
[#21] Staff rotation training, counseling, and anti‑complacency programs for attending personnel.
Power Infrastructure Maintenance $75K/yr
[#2] UPS/generator fuel contracts, periodic load tests, generator maintenance and related service contracts (recurring portion).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.6M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, and planned research; no major incidents or exposures.
routine_operations scheduled_research regular_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $19.3M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small containment incident requiring repair, emergency response, and limited forensic work.
equipment_failure short_term_power_loss small breach or contamination event
🚨 Major Breach $28.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or loss of SCP-5200-A requiring large‑scale recontainment, major forensic analysis, and expanded operations.
containment_breach loss_of_subject extended_recontainment_ops
🚨 Political Exposure $68.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Major public exposure or diplomatic/legal crisis requiring heavy settlements, global infiltration scaleups, and wide‑ranging cover operations.
major_leak public_disclosure international_response
👥 Personnel 104 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Attending Researcher 8 [#5] 24/7 attending researchers (8) per staffing model; rotation pool included.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#6] Armed on‑site guard pool (16) to provide continuous two‑guard shifts and rotation.
Medical Officer / Biomedical Engineer / Nurses 6 [#7, #8] Full‑time biomedical staff and critical care nurses for life‑support monitoring and on‑call specialists.
Research Scientist (Arcadian Team) 20 [#9] Scientists/engineers engaged in reverse‑engineering and exotic materials analysis (staffing implied by recurring R&D budget).
Intelligence Agents / Deep Cover Operatives 25 [#12] Deep‑cover agents, handlers and support staff required for aeronautics/space infiltration operations.
Cybersecurity / IT Staff 8 [#16, #15] Continuous cyber defense, data handling, and archive sysadmin duties.
Administrative Staff 4 [#17] Legal, cover entity management, PR and administrative support.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#2, #15] Facilities and power systems engineers for independent power infrastructure and general maintenance.
Astronomer / Astrophysicist 5 [#11, #23] Telescope operations, orbital modeling and astronomical analysis staff.
Rapid Response Team 8 [#20] Tactical rapid‑response personnel and specialists for breach containment and recontainment operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide specific line items and ranges for most categories allowing midrange estimates, but many items (intelligence budgets, Arcadian R&D scale, and mission contingencies) have very wide ranges and contingent large‑scale costs, lowering overall confidence.
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