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SCP-5202 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5202
Expected annual
$3.8M
One-time setup
$8.8M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
15
Initial one-time capital and reserve requirements are estimated at $8,830,000, driven primarily by the Lexon-Anderson Vacuum Array (LAVA) procurement/installation, redundant vacuum and power systems, structural reinforcement, and large contingency/reserve funds for insurance and catastrophic breach mitigation. Annual recurring baseline operations are estimated at $3,717,000/year, dominated by staff wages, MTF/logistics operations, ongoing research and monitoring, and preventative maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.8M
Catastrophic Breach Reserve $3.0M
[#25] Rapid-response catastrophe fund for large-scale mass amnesticization, townwide mitigation, emergency medical response and structural repairs (contingent worst-case reserve).
Equipment $2.9M
[#1, #3, #4, #6, #7, #16, #17] LAVA purchase & custom installation; redundant vacuum pumping hardware; UPS/generator/ATS/initial fuel tank installation; initial HVAC hardware; initial monitoring/telemetry systems; specialized instrumentation for safe observation; mobile vacuum transport container and reinforced transport equipment (initial purchase).
Insurance Reserve $1.0M
[#20] One-time reserve for property damage, litigation and large claims related to acoustic incidents.
Facilities $625K
[#2] Reinforce Vault-3 and underground structure, blast doors, pressure-relief and vibration isolation; civil work, concrete, steel framing and sealing penetrations.
Decommissioning Reserve $500K
[#23] Reserve fund for eventual decommissioning, specialized demolition and hazardous waste handling.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#15] Initial research lab buildout and research-specific equipment purchases for acoustics, materials science and non-destructive test rigs.
Legal Memetic Initial $300K
[#19] Initial legal/PR/amnestic response and immediate cover-story operations for civilian reports and initial settlements.
Emergency Response Equipment $100K
[#12] One-time purchase of rapid-deployment equipment (blast blankets, transport containers, vehicles/equipment staging).
Personnel Training Initial $100K
[#22] Initial specialized training and certification costs for vacuum technicians, acoustic engineers, security and contractors.
Hearing Protection Ppe $30K
[#13] Initial procurement of Class-2a auditory protection headsets and visitor kits (estimated for ~300 personnel).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#10] Salaries and benefits for 24/7 on-site security, vacuum operations technicians, on-call acoustic engineer and site support staff (guards, techs, engineer).
Logistics And Transport $1.0M/yr
[#11, #12] Mobile Task Force Mu-24 operational costs (salaries, vehicles, surveillance, deployments, safehouses) and on-site emergency response team operations and rapid-deployment readiness expenses.
Research And Monitoring $560K/yr
[#7, #15, #16] Ongoing research & analysis budget (acoustics/materials science), continuous monitoring/telemetry costs, and maintenance of specialized instruments and remote sensors.
Facilities Maintenance $225K/yr
[#4, #6, #8, #24] Annual service contracts and maintenance for UPS/generator fuel & maintenance, HVAC maintenance, preventative maintenance for pumps/seals/HVAC, and general site overhead/repairs.
Supplies And Consumables $112K/yr
[#5, #9] Continuous electrical consumption (power for pumps, HVAC, control systems) and consumables (pump oil, filters, seals, gaskets, spare small parts).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal, memetic and public-relations cover-up operations, monitoring civilian reports, settlements and memetic-safety follow-ups.
Medical Reserve $100K/yr
[#14] Annual medical staffing costs and a reserve for tinnitus/hearing-loss treatment, hearing aids, worker compensation and long-term care scaling with incidents.
Documentation And Certification $60K/yr
[#21] Annual internal audit, certification, external consultant fees and safety validations for vacuum and containment equipment.
Containment Drills $50K/yr
[#18] Annual containment-failure scenario planning, evacuation drills, external coordination and exercise design.
Hearing Protection Program $45K/yr
[#13] Annual audiometry/testing (~$80–150/test/person/year for ~300 personnel), fit-testing, program administration and PPE replenishment.
Personnel Training Refresh $40K/yr
[#22] Ongoing refresher training, contractor call-outs and specialist certifications.
Vacuum Spares Replacement $25K/yr
[#3] Recurring replacement parts, spare motors, valves and hot-swap spares provisioning for N+1 vacuum redundancy.
Relocation Per Move Costs $0/yr
[#17] Per-move operational costs (estimated $50,000–$300,000 each) are contingent and applied only in relocation/emergency-move scenarios; not included in baseline recurring.
Insurance Replenishment $0/yr
[#20] Insurance/contingency reserve is held as a one-time reserve and replenished as needed; no fixed annual replenishment in baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine maintenance, staffing, research and cover-up operations only.
normal_operations scheduled_maintenance routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or short-term LAVA outage requiring emergency response, overtime repairs and short-term PR/legal actions.
temporary_vacuum_loss minor_containment_alarm short-term_medical_treatment
🚨 Major Breach $5.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant LAVA/mechanical failure leading to audible emission within site or limited civilian exposure; requires large repairs, MTF deployment, medical treatment and legal/PR actions.
extended_vacuum_failure on-site_auditory_injuries large_repair_and_relocation_ops
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $13.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Full containment failure with audible 170–190 dB emission affecting public areas, mass casualties/exposures requiring mass amnesticization, litigation, infrastructure repair and large-scale emergency response.
full_lava_loss townwide_exposure mass_medical_and_amnestic_operations
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer 8 24/7 armed site security for sublevels (example staffing from notes). Salaries included in staff_wages.
Vacuum Operations Technician 2 Operate and maintain LAVA and vacuum systems; salaries included in staff_wages.
Acoustic Engineer 1 On-call acoustic specialist for monitoring, incident response and research; salary included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 1 On-site medic to triage auditory injuries; salary reflected in staff_wages and medical_reserve.
Administrative Staff 2 Site admin, access control and logistics support; salaries included in staff_wages.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Site-level management and oversight; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item cost ranges were provided for most items, enabling midpoint estimates; uncertainty remains for breach probabilities, contingency payouts and reserve sizing, so overall confidence is medium.
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