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SCP-5215 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-5215
Expected annual
$592K
One-time setup
$562K
Annual recurring
$573K
Personnel
5
One-time setup is estimated at $562,000 driven by land acquisition, monitoring hardware, and research setup; ongoing annual operations are estimated at $572,750/year driven primarily by staff wages, legal/cover costs, and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $562K
Facilities $165K
[#1, #3] Land purchase and structural perimeter installation (fence/gate). Includes purchase of 0.5–2 acre parcel (chosen mid-range) and fence/gate installation.
Equipment $148K
[#4, #5, #6, #9, #12, #26] Decoy generator procurement & install, monitoring/surveillance hardware, UPS/backup battery bank, field vehicle purchase, communications installation, and airspace/detection sensors.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $145K
[#10, #11] Scientific instrumentation (photometers, spectrometers, telescopes) and secure data/storage/analysis infrastructure (secure server & vaulting, initial compute and archival setup).
Legal And Cover Initial $50K
[#15] Initial retainer and setup for legal counsel, cover-story crafting, easement negotiation and permits.
Initial Program Setup $40K
[#28] Initial program set-up project management: contracting, procurement, site prep, SOP drafting and coordination.
Personnel Training Initial $8K
[#18] Background checks and initial specialized training for inspectors, security staff, and researchers.
Public Cover Initial $6K
[#24] Initial public-facing cover materials (signage, props, brochures, staged vehicle/placards).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $573K/yr
Staff Wages $268K/yr
[#7, #13, #14, #8] Weekly inspection labor (two technicians), professional scientific staff (selected mid-range), program/site management, and contracted security/patrols.
Cover Story And Legal $97K/yr
[#15, #16, #17, #24] Ongoing legal retainer, PR/cover maintenance, witness-management contingency (small cases), and coordination with local law enforcement / FAA / municipal agencies.
Contingency Reserve $75K/yr
[#27] General contingency/reserve for unforeseen anomaly-driven costs (10–30% guidance applied; chosen mid-range absolute amount).
Disclosure Contingency Fund $50K/yr
[#25] Annual reserve for legal NDAs, witness relocation/compensation, and privacy/record-sealing actions (archive-destruction equivalent fund).
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#5, #10, #11, #12, #23, #26] Cloud/hosted monitoring replication, instrumentation calibration/consumables, ongoing data storage/compute, communications service, secure archival compliance/audit costs, and airspace monitoring subscriptions.
Contingency Response Team $20K/yr
[#22] On-call rapid-response team retainer and emergency overtime for containment incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#2, #3, #6, #19, #20] Property taxes/municipal fees, perimeter maintenance/repairs, UPS/battery replacement maintenance, routine site maintenance, and annual environmental/structural inspections.
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#7, #9] Travel/mileage for weekly inspections and vehicle fuel & insurance for field/response vehicle.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#4, #21] Decoy generator fuel/periodic run cycles and routine consumables/PPE, batteries, optics cleaning kits.
Recurring Training $3K/yr
[#18] Refresher training and periodic personnel security renewals.
Land Lease Or Easement $0/yr
[#1] Lease/easement option (set to $0 in baseline because purchase option was chosen in one-time costs).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $573K/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with purchased land, standard staffing, routine monitoring, and no major incidents.
routine inspections scheduled maintenance standard legal/cover operations
🚨 Minor Incident $613K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Minor compromise or equipment failure (vandalism, sensor failure, trespass) requiring emergency repairs, overtime, and small witness payments.
equipment vandalism localized breach/trespass sensor failure
🚨 Major Breach $823K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Significant exposure or coordinated observation event requiring heavy legal action, large witness compensation/relocation, PR response, temporary flight restrictions and accelerated research response.
public exposure coordinated unauthorized observation major equipment loss
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $873K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Discovery/research opportunity mandates rapid scale-up: additional instrumentation, temporary staff hires, and expanded secure data handling.
approved escalation of research external scientific interest policy decision to increase study
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Field Technician (inspection) 2 [#7] Two technicians (or equivalent contractor hours) performing weekly inspections, travel, and reporting.
Research Scientist 1 [#13, #10, #11] Scientific/optics expert to interpret data and maintain restricted-observation protocols (mid-range FTE represented in staff wages).
Site Manager / Program Manager 1 [#14] Administrative/security-cleared manager responsible for coordination, oversight, and liaison with RAISA and local authorities.
Security Officer / Contracted Patrol 1 [#8] Contracted security/patrol coverage to discourage casual observers and trespassers; staffed as a patrol/guard equivalent represented in wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a mid-confidence estimate; uncertainty remains due to option choices (purchase vs lease), broad cost ranges for instrumentation, and contingency items tied to unpredictable anomalous behavior.
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