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SCP-5221 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-5221
Expected annual
$12.6M
One-time setup
$18.0M
Annual recurring
$12.0M
Personnel
54
One-time startup and contingency reserves dominate capital needs (~$18.0M) driven by facility hardening, relocation contingencies, and large contingency reserves; annual operations are driven by round-the-clock security, specialist research staff, and program overhead (~$12.0M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.0M
Contingency Reserves $8.0M
[#19, #27, #28] Initial contingency reserves / litigation / emergency reserve recommendations (2M reserve + 1M privacy litigation + 5M escalation/quarantine standby).
Resident Relocation Buyouts $3.8M
[#14] Contingent buyout of ~50 households at $75k each (planning capitalization).
Facilities $3.4M
[#3, #23, #25] Hardened on-site compound ($3.0M), initial town infrastructure upgrades ($150k), vault/archival upgrades ($200k).
Equipment $1.4M
[#2, #5, #6, #7, #12, #18, #20] Armored vehicle ($400k), town surveillance install ($140k), resident wearables procurement ($37,500), on-prem compute/storage cluster ($350k), vehicle purchases (6×$60k = $360k), secure comms hardware ($150k), media/forensics tools setup ($100k) — aggregated.
Cover Story And Legal Setup $1.0M
[#13] One-time setup/startup legal and PR costs, negotiation startup and false-front establishment.
Backup Power Systems $300K
[#4] Diesel generators/UPS/transfer switches/fuel storage installation one-time cost.
Public Health Stockpile $150K
[#26] Initial pharmaceuticals and emergency clinic stockpile.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.0M/yr
Staff Wages $5.8M/yr
[#1, #2, #8, #9, #21, #22] On-site security force (28 FTEs) and rapid-reaction operators (8), data analysts (6), clinical/research staff (~7 FTE), education support (3), ethics/compliance staff (2) — salaries + overhead included in analyst estimates.
Program Overhead $2.0M/yr
[#30] HQ/admin overhead (estimated at 20% of direct recurring costs).
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#7, #10, #17, #25] On-going compute/storage/cloud replication ($150k), contracted imaging budget (~$1.0M/yr), amnestic/protocol research fund ($500k/yr), archival verification ($30k/yr).
Relocation Transition Support $750K/yr
[#14] Temporary housing, aid, and transition support funding while relocations are executed.
Supplies And Consumables $525K/yr
[#6, #11, #15] Wearable spares/ingestion ($25k), clinical consumables ($200k/yr), resident compensation/social-support programs (~$300k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#13] Ongoing legal/PR, local government liaisons, payments and cover-story upkeep.
Psych Emergency Services $200K/yr
[#16] On-call crisis intervention team, medication caches, hotline.
Facilities Maintenance $140K/yr
[#4, #23] Generator/fuel maintenance and general facility utilities & maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $140K/yr
[#12, #18] Vehicle operations/fuel/insurance ($80k/yr) and comms bandwidth/line leases ($60k/yr).
Media Monitoring $100K/yr
[#20] Continuous monitoring and mitigation contracts for social media/press.
Training And Clearance $100K/yr
[#24] Ongoing training, scenario rehearsals, background checks and clearances.
Public Health Resupply $100K/yr
[#26] Annual resupply and clinic staffing related to public-health surge capacity.
Audit And Reporting $100K/yr
[#29] Annual audit, executive reporting, classified documentation management.
Surveillance Operations $50K/yr
[#5] Video/sensor archival maintenance and tamper checks.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.0M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; ongoing containment and research continue as budgeted.
no breaches stable community cooperation routine research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $12.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized escalation requiring emergency response, temporary increased security, legal fees, and short-term relocation support.
localized breach/altercation media attention or small-scale litigation
🚨 Major Breach $22.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or exposure forcing large-scale evacuation, federal involvement, major litigation, and use of contingency funds.
major containment breach mass exposure/leak forced quarantine/relocation
👥 Personnel 54 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 28 [#1] 24 guards + 4 supervisors for 24/7 perimeter and force protection.
Rapid-Reaction Team Operator 8 [#2] Specialized armed extraction/response operators.
Research Scientist / Data Analyst 6 [#8] Data retention and forensic review analysts (video analysts, data scientists).
Clinical Research Team 7 [#9] Neurology/psychiatry/cognitive science staff (PIs, techs, nurses).
Educational Support Staff 3 [#21] Additional teachers/support staff for adolescents.
Ethics / Compliance Officer 2 [#22] Oversight unit staff (legal/ethics/auditor).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from high-level analyst notes with many option-driven choices (e.g., MRI purchase vs. contract, scale of reserves) and a highly anomalous Keter object with uncertain event frequency and escalation costs; therefore overall confidence is low.
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