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SCP-5226 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-5226
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$3.4M
Annual recurring
$2.7M
Personnel
15
Estimated one-time containment and R&D setup is approximately $3,375,000 driven mainly by lab buildout and R&D contingency; recurring annual operations are approximately $2,668,000 driven by personnel (security + research + technicians), ongoing R&D/monitoring and repair/replacement budgets for modernization-induced damage.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.4M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#10, #11] Laboratory instrumentation and bench equipment for characterization plus initial R&D/mitigation development budget (prototyping, third-party contracts) allocated as initial program funding.
Facilities $625K
[#1, #2, #3, #4] Secure humanoid containment chamber construction, EM shielding/Faraday installation, dedicated HVAC/isolation and redundant power/subpanel/generator installation (materials + installation and facility tie‑ins).
Catastrophic Tail Risk Fund One Time $500K
[#24] Initial contingency planning/rapid escalation fund for catastrophic tail-risk (planning, interagency engagement, initial remediation staging). Large-scale response costs would be additional and scenario-dependent.
Equipment $375K
[#5, #6, #14, #15, #18] Environmental/behavioral sensor suite initial purchase, medical equipment/clinic setup, secure transport vehicle modifications, on-site contingency kits/equipment setup, and initial data-security server/hardware costs.
Legal Compensation Reserve One Time $250K
[#22] Initial contingent legal/compensation reserve set aside for potential lawsuits, buyouts or remedial payments (one-time portion of item #22).
Cover Story $100K
[#13] Initial cover story/public-relations setup costs (studies, materials, press handling, NDAs) to establish plausible non-anomalous explanations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.2M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #25] Dedicated security staff (6–8 guards incl. supervisor), full-time containment technician salary, research team salaries (lead + scientists + techs + computational analyst), and project/administrative staff salaries (aggregated).
Research And Monitoring $553K/yr
[#5, #10, #11] Ongoing data storage & logging, laboratory consumables & external testing, and ongoing R&D/mitigation program funding (annual portion).
Replacement Repair Budget $200K/yr
[#19] Annual budget for repair/replacement of equipment and room surfaces damaged or altered by the 'modernization' effect (highly uncertain).
Cover Story And Legal $175K/yr
[#12, #13] Ongoing legal counsel, ethics/oversight costs and recurring cover-story/public-relations / information management costs.
Contingent Legal Reserve Recurring $150K/yr
[#22] Recurring reserve contribution for legal contingencies, insurance and compensation set-aside (ongoing portion of item #22).
Facilities Maintenance $140K/yr
[#8, #15, #20] Periodic contractors/heavy maintenance, on-site contingency readiness upkeep and equipment maintenance, plus incremental energy/utilities and generator/HVAC maintenance.
Psychological Care $80K/yr
[#17] Ongoing psychological care, counseling for the subject and staff, and social-management programs.
Catastrophic Tail Risk Contingency Recurring $50K/yr
[#24] Annual contingency/reserve for catastrophic tail-risk planning and interagency coordination (baseline planning funds). Major incident costs would be additional and scenario-driven.
Supplies And Consumables $45K/yr
[#6, #16] Medical supplies/clinic consumables and detainee welfare consumables (food, hygiene, personal items).
Training And Drills $25K/yr
[#21] Regular training, drills, containment protocol refreshers and cross-training for staff.
Data Security Maintenance $20K/yr
[#18] Recurring maintenance, encrypted backups, and server upkeep for classified data systems.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#14] Annual secure transport operations, vehicle upkeep, and transfer protocol costs.
Surveillance Monitoring Alternative $0/yr
[#23] Conditional alternative cost if incarceration is disallowed (monitoring + response). Not included in baseline recurring; handled as a scenario-specific cost.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.7M/yr
84.5% probability / year
Normal year with stable containment and no major incidents; routine maintenance, research, staffing and R&D continue as budgeted.
no breach standard research activity routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized modernization event damages chamber or instruments requiring emergency repairs, extra contractor work and increased legal/PR expenditure.
localized modernization event equipment/surface damage small-scale legal/repair costs
🚨 Ethics Monitoring Instead Of Detention $2.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
ExaRD/Ethics prohibits detention; operations shift to continuous surveillance/remote monitoring with higher legal/monitoring costs and altered staffing.
policy/ethical prohibition remote monitoring enforced increased legal/PR engagement
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $22.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Major modernization event impacts external infrastructure (telecom/power/medical devices) requiring large-scale remediation, multi-agency response and compensation.
modernization affects critical infrastructure widespread equipment/system upgrades/damage multi-agency remediation
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#7] 24/7 armed guard coverage (2 per shift, 3 shifts) plus supervisor; included in staff wages.
Research Scientist / PI 6 [#9] Lead researcher, 2 research scientists, 2 lab techs/assistants, computational analyst; included in staff wages.
Containment Technician 1 [#8] Full-time systems maintenance technician (HVAC, shielding, doors, electronics); salary included in staff wages.
Administrative Staff / Project Manager 1 [#25] Administrative/project management and procurement support; included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to the poorly specified and potentially non-deterministic 'modernization' effect, ethical/policy uncertainty (ExaRD), and large tail risks (items #19 and #24). Wide ranges in analyst notes drive uncertainty.
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