SCP-5266 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5266
Expected annual
$7.0M
One-time setup
$10.5M
Annual recurring
$6.7M
Personnel
46
Estimated one-time setup costs are ~ $10.5M driven by lab upgrades, toxicology program startup, vault installations and an initial reserve; recurring annual costs are ~ $6.7M driven by staff wages, active research, platform takedowns, and legal/PR.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.5M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.0M
[#14, #15, #16, #17] Includes biofreezers and containment boxes (#14, $100k), BSL-2/3 laboratory upgrades and instruments (#15, $1,750,000), toxicology program setup / initial multi-year program funding (#16, $4,000,000), and forensic genetics pipeline setup (#17, $125,000).
Reserve Fund Seed $2.0M
[#29] Seed reserve/contingency fund for public exposure, whistleblower payouts or large legal settlements.
Facilities $600K
[#13] Two soundproof/tamper-proof vault installations (anechoic modifications, HVAC isolation, sensors, locks and alarms).
Response Vehicle Outfitting $500K
[#7] Vehicle hardening/outfitting for regional rapid-response vehicles (2 vehicles x 4 regions approximate cost).
Acoustic R&D One Time $300K
[#19] One-time R&D and prototype devices for acoustic suppression/neutralization research.
Webcrawler Development $275K
[#1] Initial custom webcrawler development, QA, integration and initial server deployment (3–6 month engineering engagement).
Comms Hardware One Time $187K
[#24] Hardened comms hardware (satcom units, encrypted radios, redundant telemetry hardware) purchase.
Medical Kits One Time $140K
[#8] UAD-1 kits, AEDs, portable ICU supplies and PPE kits for response vehicles (8 vehicles).
Deletion Automation Tooling $137K
[#5] One-time build of real-time deletion/forensic workflow tooling and write-once archival hooks.
Training Development $125K
[#22] One-time curriculum and material development for C-32 updates, exercises and drills.
Ppe Decon One Time $100K
[#9] Field PPE, portable decon tents, waste containers, initial BSL-2/3 consumable kit stock.
Breaching Tools One Time $87K
[#23] One-time purchase of breaching/hardware override toolkits, hydraulic spreaders, non-destructive bypass equipment.
Retrieval Toolkit $75K
[#12] Specialized long-handled manipulators, non-sparking tools, containment bags and retrieval equipment across regions.
Archive Hardware One Time $15K
[#18] Write-once archival hardware and air-gapped storage hardware for post-event safe copies.
Equipment $0
[]
Helicopter Purchase $0
[#25] Dedicated helicopter asset purchase not budgeted (using charter contingency instead).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.7M/yr
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#2, #6, #7, #15, #28] Engineering (webcrawler) staff, content-moderation FTEs, regional rapid-response agents/MTF, research lab staff, and vault security staffing (loaded salaries and benefits).
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#16, #17, #19] Annual toxicology research spend (assumed active program ~$1M/yr), forensic genetics operations (~$50k/yr), and acoustic deployment/maintenance (~$60k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $900K/yr
[#4, #20, #27, #29] Platform takedown/partnership retainer, legal & PR operations, contracted digital-forensics/forensic takedown vendors, and reserve top-up planning (top-up itself not committed).
Supplies And Consumables $388K/yr
[#8, #9, #26, #30] Medical consumables restock for vehicles, PPE replenishment, biohazard disposal per-regulation, and miscellaneous small consumables/admin overhead.
Logistics And Transport $345K/yr
[#3, #24, #25] Hosting/bandwidth and cloud costs for crawlers/tests, comms airtime/licenses, and helicopter charter contingency for rapid airlift.
Amnestic Production $300K/yr
[#11] Production, administration and medical monitoring costs for amnestic dosing for victims and witnesses.
Medical Treatment $300K/yr
[#10] Hospitalization, ICU and long-term care costs for incident victims (conservative annual planning figure).
Amnestic Followup $100K/yr
[#21] Long-term side-effect care, follow-up monitoring and additional medical services for amnestic recipients.
Facilities Maintenance $86K/yr
[#13, #14, #18] Vault HVAC/sensor maintenance and monitoring, biofreezer power/maintenance and archive redundancy upkeep.
Training Recurring $75K/yr
[#22] Recurring training delivery, exercises and tabletop updates for staff.
Breaching Tools Maintenance $50K/yr
[#23] Maintenance, replacement parts and locksmith services for breaching equipment.
Deletion Automation Ops $40K/yr
[#5] Ongoing ops and maintenance for deletion automation and forensic workflow tooling.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.7M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with expected incident frequency and standard monitoring/response; no major, system-wide breaches.
expected incident frequency (10–15 field responses) ongoing active research steady platform takedown operations
🚨 Incident Spike $7.2M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Above-normal cluster of field incidents (e.g., higher-than-expected number of SCP-5266-1 events) requiring extra overtime, charters, medical/amnestic loads and legal work.
clustered uploads / multiple simultaneous events increased med/amnestic demand additional charters/rapid deployments
🚨 Major Breach $9.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
A major containment/PR/legal incident (e.g., public exposure, widespread spread, or large multi-site incidents) requiring emergency procurement, legal settlements, accelerated research and large-scale PR operations.
public exposure / media outbreak simultaneous multi-site incidents large legal actions or whistleblower events
👥 Personnel 46 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#7] Regional rapid-response agents/field teams (approx. 24 agents across regions; staffing for shifts included in wages).
Research Scientist 4 [#15, #16] Laboratory scientific staff for toxicology and genomics work (BSL lab staffing included in recurring research/staff wages).
Security Guard 8 [#28] Vault guards and security personnel for specimen vaults (24/7 coverage distributed among sites).
Software Engineer / DevOps 2 [#1, #2] Webcrawler development and ongoing ops engineers (2 FTEs referenced in analyst notes).
Content Moderator 8 [#6] Human reviewers for flagged videos (6–10 FTEs; conservative estimate used).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst notes but many costs (toxicology R&D, legal exposure, incident frequency) have high variance; item-level granularity is reasonable but overall program risk and research duration reduce confidence to medium.
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