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SCP-5294 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5294
Expected annual
$4.0M
One-time setup
$11.4M
Annual recurring
$3.8M
Personnel
18
Initial one-time setup including property, retrofits and surge planning is estimated at roughly $11.36M (driven primarily by optional multi-site acquisition and surge planning); annual operations are estimated at about $3.80M/yr driven by staff wages, long-term care operations, and research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.4M
Site Portfolio Acquisition $7.5M
[#3] Optional buyout/acquisition of multiple fast-food sites (30 sites × ~$250k).
Surge Planning One Time $1.5M
[#27] One-time contingency planning and stockpiles for large-scale incidence scenarios.
Facilities $1.4M
[#1, #2, #11] Property acquisition, site-hardening one-time setup and retrofit of provisional containment beds (10-bed retrofit midpoint).
Equipment $250K
[#4, #5, #7] Rapid-response equipment, mobile medical unit equipment, secure destruction equipment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#6, #14] Development/qualification of amnestic/memetic countermeasures and initial research capital (outsourced imaging assumed where possible).
Demobilization $175K
[#26] Costs to remediate and return a fast-food site to public use / pay damages.
Population Monitoring System $125K
[#8] One-time build of covert registry / systems for monitoring male parents nearing 45.
Communication Infrastructure $80K
[#24] One-time purchase/installation of encrypted comms and secure server hardware.
Secure Evidence Storage $60K
[#15] One-time secure storage construction / lockers for biological samples and invitations.
Legal Setup $30K
[#10] Initial legal filings, guardianship setup, and local counsel onboarding.
Cover Story One Time $30K
[#9] One-time cover operation costs (signage, permits, local liaison payments) for initial setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.8M/yr
Staff Wages $800K/yr
[#4, #19] Salaries for site manager, clinicians, caregivers, security and core operational staff (baseline payroll for a modest containment team).
Long Term Care Operations $800K/yr
[#12] Non-payroll operational costs of long-term care per patient (food, therapy programs, specialized 24/7 care overhead for ~10 patients; scales with incidence).
Research And Monitoring $700K/yr
[#14, #16] Neuropsychology and memetics research program, imaging/trials outsourcing and small specialist analysis team.
Local Population Monitoring $300K/yr
[#8] Staffing and covert surveillance/datamining to maintain a registry of male parents approaching 45 in Falkirk.
Supplies And Consumables $250K/yr
[#5, #13, #17, #18] Medical restocking for mobile unit, adult incontinence/feeding supplies, rehab consumables, psychometric test kits and laundering/linen replacement.
Cover Story And Legal $230K/yr
[#9, #10, #23] Ongoing cover-story expenditures, counsel and paralegal costs, and informal/local authority payments.
Contingency Fund $200K/yr
[#22] Reserve for unexpected spikes, overtime and temporary surge capacity (10–30% recommended buffer).
Amnestic Supplies $150K/yr
[#5, #6] Recurring procurement and manufacturing of amnestic/memetic counteragents and per-treatment supplies.
Invitation Interception Program $125K/yr
[#7] Personnel, forensic testing and secure destruction/incineration of manifested invitations.
Logistics And Transport $80K/yr
[#21] Vans, fuel, insurance, maintenance and secure transfer logistics.
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#2, #15, #24] Ongoing site maintenance, fencing/CCTV upkeep, evidence storage climate control, comms maintenance.
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#20] Regular memetic-safety training, amnestic administration drills and team exercises.
Ethical Oversight $50K/yr
[#25] Internal review board, staff support and ethical oversight costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.8M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with steady containment, small caseload and no major incidents.
steady caseload no breaches routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $4.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring overtime, extra amnestic treatments, limited litigation and extra short-term care.
small outbreak (several additional SCP-5294-1 cases) overtime and additional amnestic doses limited legal fees
🚨 Mass Conversion $13.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large-scale simultaneous manifestations resulting in a surge of SCP-5294-1 cases requiring mass sheltering and extended operations.
many 45th birthdays clustered multiple concurrent manifestations mass sheltering and extended medical care
🚨 Purchase Multiple Sites $11.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.5M vs baseline
Policy decision / operational move to acquire control of multiple high-risk fast-food lots in Falkirk.
decision to secure replacement manifestation sites procurement/real-estate market action
👥 Personnel 18 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#19] Overall site management and liaison.
Research Scientist 2 [#14, #16] Neuropsychology / memetics research staff.
Medical Officer / Nurse 2 [#12, #5] Clinicians for acute care and oversight of amnestic administration.
Caregiver 6 [#12, #13] 24/7 care staff for provision of high-supervision care to SCP-5294-1 individuals.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4, #19] Rapid-response and site security staff.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison 1 [#10, #9] Admin, legal coordination and cover-story management.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide granular line items and sensible ranges, but many costs depend on unknown incidence rates, treatment regimens, and policy choices (e.g., multi-site acquisition). Ranges are therefore broad and contingency is recommended.
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