SCP-5307 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5307
Expected annual
$4.0M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$3.9M
Personnel
22
Initial capital and retrofit work (~$0.7M) plus a substantial contingency for large-scale remediation; largest recurring costs are MTF operations and dedicated research/monitoring staffing (~$3.9M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Contingency Scaleup $2.0M
[#25] Standby contingency fund reserved for mass-exposure / market-wide remediation (temporary facilities, surge MTF deployments, large-scale buyouts/disposal).
Facilities $330K
[#1, #2, #3, #20] Retrofit of Safe Storage Locker 14 (airtight secondary containment), construction of negative-pressure testing chamber, building-level filtration installation, and one-time site security hardware upgrades.
Equipment $280K
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #14, #21, #24] Purchase and installation of continuous VOC/ion sensors, sealed transport containers fleet, initial PPE/PAPR units, two secure vans (upfit), webcrawler servers/software (one-time portion), encrypted comms hardware, and hotline setup equipment.
Legal Reserve One Time $150K
[#18] One-time legal liability reserve / settlement fund to quietly resolve discovered civil claims or reimburse affected parties.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $110K
[#11] GC-MS benchtop and initial laboratory setup for forensic chemical analysis (one-time equipment and lab buildout).
Nationwide Buyout And Retail Removal $110K
[#15] Baseline covert retail buyout / compensation and initial remediation purchases (baseline estimate with contingency for larger operations).
Investigative Initial Push $100K
[#16] Initial covert legal/investigative operations to trace Western Wilds, LLC (private investigators, subpoenas, record searches).
Public Cover Story One Time $60K
[#17] One-time cost to craft and run a false recall/PR operation (press planting, initial outreach, actors/firm fees).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.9M/yr
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#8, #12, #13, #14, #24] Fully burdened annual costs for MTF Epsilon-17 roster and operations, neuroscience/clinical specialists, dedicated research team overhead, webcrawler analysts, and hotline/liaison staffing.
Research And Monitoring $110K/yr
[#4, #12, #14] Sensor network maintenance/calibration, ongoing subject testing and monitoring budgets, and webcrawler data licensing/cloud compute fees.
Cover Story And Legal $95K/yr
[#16, #17] Ongoing covert legal support and PR/false-recall maintenance budget (monitoring, legal retainer, periodic media work).
Supplies And Consumables $50K/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #9, #11] Replacement activated-carbon/HEPA cartridges, expendable sample vials and packaging, PPE filter cartridges, field consumables (tamper seals, evidence bags), and GC-MS reagents/consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#2, #3, #20] Ongoing maintenance for negative-pressure chamber, HVAC/scrubber servicing, and periodic site security hardware maintenance.
Market Recon $40K/yr
[#23] Ongoing undercover purchases, store incentives, and maintaining retail cooperation for immediate turnover of supply.
Training And Drills $25K/yr
[#19] Annual training, simulated seizure drills, and SOP refresher courses for MTF and site staff.
Logistics And Transport $22K/yr
[#7] Fuel, maintenance, insurance, and routine operating costs for two secure transport vehicles.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $20K/yr
[#10] Baseline annual budget for secure disposal/incineration of seized stock and contaminated materials.
Medical Surveillance $15K/yr
[#22] Routine occupational health screenings and periodic neurocognitive/baseline testing for exposed staff.
Background Checks $10K/yr
[#20] Recurring background investigations and periodic screenings for personnel with access.
Communications Licensing $10K/yr
[#21] Recurring licensing, maintenance, and subscription fees for encrypted communications and secure archival services.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.9M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, MTF readiness, and periodic small seizures; no major outbreak or market-wide remediation.
routine seizures no large-scale spread regular monitoring
🚨 Minor Incident $4.0M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
One or several localized seizures/sweeps requiring additional deployments, overtime, disposal, and limited PR/legal action.
localized retail cluster multiple small seizures overtime deployments
🚨 Market Wide Remediation $6.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Discovery of widespread distribution requiring major buyout/recall, mass disposal, surge MTF deployment, and expanded legal/PR operations.
nationwide distribution multiple large sweeps public exposure requiring recall
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8] Mobile Task Force Epsilon-17 regional on-call roster (fully burdened costs captured in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 2 [#13] Principal investigators overseeing containment and testing (part of dedicated research team).
Lab Technician 2 [#13] Laboratory technicians for sample prep, GC-MS operation, and assay support.
Administrative Staff 1 [#13] Admin support / security liaison included in research team overhead.
Neuroscientist / Clinical Specialist 2 [#12] Specialists for neuroscience/psych testing and clinical monitoring.
Webcrawler Analyst 2 [#14] Analysts operating and monitoring automated webcrawler and incoming alerts.
Hotline / Medical Liaison 1 [#24] Staffed hotline liaison for healthcare providers and incident triage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide concrete ranges for most line items (capital, staffing, recurring consumables) allowing mid-range estimates; uncertainty remains due to unknown distribution scale and frequency of large remediation events, so confidence is medium.
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