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SCP-5354 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5354
Expected annual
$539K
One-time setup
$360K
Annual recurring
$520K
Personnel
6
One-time setup of fences, research trailer, surveillance, and legal/archaeological compliance drives initial costs (~$360k); recurring costs (~$520k/yr) are dominated by on-foot patrol wages, research support, community relations, and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $360K
Equipment $86K
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #16] Vehicles (4x4/utility) $40k, remote surveillance/CCTV $20k, off-grid power (solar+battery) $14k, communications/base station $2.5k, one-time IT/data-management hardware $10k.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $85K
[#14] Research trailer and instruments (EEG, HR monitors, field lab equipment) and initial research consumables/equipment purchases estimated at midpoint.
Facilities $75K
[#3, #15, #4] Perimeter fencing (installation) and small field shelter/outpost buildout; includes initial signage placement as site works. Estimates: fencing $50k, field shelter $25k, signage/placement integrated into site works.
Archaeological Survey $50K
[#2] Specialist heritage/archaeological compliance surveys and watching briefs required before any groundworks or installations.
Legal And Permitting $20K
[#1] One-time legal/setup: title searches, leases, easements, negotiation costs and initial permitting paperwork.
Community Relations Investment $15K
[#19] Optional one-time community investment/compensation to offset loss of access and build local cooperation.
Archaeological Conservation $6K
[#23] Contingency budget for conservation/recording of artifacts uncovered during works.
Security Training And Equipment $5K
[#5] One-time training, uniforms, and basic equipment for on-foot patrol staff.
Crisis Communications Plan $5K
[#11] One-time crisis communications and PR plan development to support the cover story.
Sop Development $5K
[#22] One-time development of containment SOPs and initial staff training rollout.
Emergency Response Setup $4K
[#12] One-time first-aid kits, stretcher, initial emergency-response training and protocols setup.
Signage And Pathworks $3K
[#4] Manufacture/placement of multilingual safety/hazard signs and durable footpath diversion signage (one-time install/re-routing costs).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $520K/yr
Staff Wages $260K/yr
[#5, #10, #14] On-foot patrol salaries (4 FTE @ ~$35k = $140k), one research scientist ($100k), part-time social media/communications analyst (~$20k).
Incident Contingency Reserve $87K/yr
[#20] Rapid escalation/reserve fund for large breaches, vandalism repair, legal settlements, or emergency retrieval (set at ~20% of baseline operating budget).
Research And Monitoring $35K/yr
[#2, #7, #13, #14, #16, #25] Archaeological monitoring inspections (~$4k), CCTV/cloud storage & maintenance (~$4k), on-call psychological/medical contracts (~$10k), research consumables/participant payments (~$10k), recurring IT/data hosting (~$4k), external compliance/inspection fees (~$3k).
Community Relations And Compensation $30K/yr
[#19] Annual community relations payments or local projects to offset tourist access loss and reduce intentional breaches.
Cover Story And Legal $26K/yr
[#10, #11] Ongoing PR/legal retainer (~$20k) plus social media monitoring tools (~$3k) and content/rapid updates (~$3k).
Leases And Permits $25K/yr
[#1] Recurring compensation/lease/permit payments and ongoing permission conditions to landowner(s), council and heritage authorities.
Logistics And Transport $19K/yr
[#6, #9, #24] Vehicle fuel/insurance/maintenance (~$7k), telecom/data plans and radios (~$2k), travel & accommodation for visiting specialists (~$10k).
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#3, #8, #15, #17] Fence maintenance/repairs (~$3k), off-grid power maintenance (~$600), field shelter utilities/maintenance (~$2k), environmental/trail repair (~$9k).
Insurance And Liability $9K/yr
[#18] Site liability and third-party insurance coverage.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#21, #26] Routine consumables and replacement batteries/PPE/fuel (~$5k) plus small-scale signage replacement/vandalism response (~$1.5k).
Emergency Response Liaison $6K/yr
[#12] Annual liaison/incentive payments to local ambulance/police and paid agreements for priority response.
Training And Audits $2K/yr
[#22] Annual SOP refreshes, staff retraining, and periodic internal audits.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $520K/yr
83.2% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with scheduled operations, maintenance, research, and contingency reserve.
routine_operations scheduled_research minor_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $560K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$40K vs baseline
Small-scale visitor surge, minor encampment or vandalism requiring targeted repairs, extra patrol days, short-term PR/legal actions, and modest amnestic/medical deployments.
social_media_post small_encampment vandalism
🚨 Major Breach $770K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Large, sustained breach or high-profile exposure causing significant site damage, lengthy repairs, major PR/legal response, large contingency drawdown, and expanded research/containment mobilization.
viral_media_exposure large_unauthorised_camp significant_site_damage
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#5] On-foot patrols for continuous daytime coverage (4 FTE used for baseline staffing estimate).
Research Scientist 1 [#14] One research lead responsible for controlled entry studies and field research.
Social Media / Communications Analyst 1 [#10] Part-time analyst for social media monitoring and public communications (counted as one headcount for staffing/wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid-level confidence: containment and staffing needs are well-described but many line items have wide ranges and local heritage constraints (Caer Bran) add site-specific uncertainty to installation and permitting costs.
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