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SCP-5381 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5381
Expected annual
$9.8M
One-time setup
$30.2M
Annual recurring
$9.4M
Personnel
182
Initial capital requirements are dominated by large contingency reserves and one-time facility/equipment buys (~$30.2M). Ongoing annual costs are driven primarily by staffing (MTF + local guards + specialists) and operational support (~$9.38M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $30.2M
Catastrophic Evacuations Reserve $20.0M
[#22] Large capital reserve for mass evacuation/relocation in catastrophic failure scenarios (recommended $10M–$30M; midpoint used).
Legal Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#15] One-time covert legal/settlement reserve to cover large damages, hush settlements or relocation costs (recommendation: $1M–$10M range; midpoint used).
Equipment $2.9M
[#5, #7, #8, #16, #19, #20] Per-site non-optical sensor suites (LIDAR/IR/GPR/etc.), UAV fleet & spares, secure communications hardware, vehicle purchases, power infrastructure installs, and one-time data/system build costs.
Facilities $800K
[#1, #4] Cemetery acquisition/long-term lease costs for 14 sites and regional base purchase/retrofit estimates (land access/title work, lease/purchase, renovations and secure perimeter work).
Community Relations Initial Fund $500K
[#14] Initial community outreach, cemetery restoration/repair seed funds and cultural-sensitivity program start-up reserve.
Mass Casualty Reserve $500K
[#17] Dedicated one-time contingency reserve for large-event mortuary/mass-casualty handling and covert reinterment operations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $475K
[#10] Mobile field laboratory outfitting and secure evidence storage vault (van fit-out, analytical instruments, chain-of-custody storage).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.4M/yr
Staff Wages $6.1M/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #11, #20, #23] Salaries and benefits for local guards/supervisors, deployed MTF personnel, medical staff for amnestic/clinical follow-up, research staff and core data/analysis personnel.
Research And Monitoring $700K/yr
[#6, #10, #11, #20, #23] Satellite/SAR tasking retainer and analysis, laboratory analysis budgets, researcher fieldwork travel and ongoing anthropological/archival cover project funding.
Logistics And Transport $550K/yr
[#7, #10, #17, #16] Helicopter/air support contract hours, medevac contracts, sample shipping and additional transport/fuel costs for field operations.
Cover Story And Legal $480K/yr
[#8, #12, #13] PR/cover-story retainer and crisis communications, legal retainer for permits/liaison and satellite phone/data airtime; negotiation/diplomatic engagement budgets (operational/retainer costs).
Supplies And Consumables $400K/yr
[#5, #7, #10, #21] Sensor calibration/repair (≈10%/yr), UAV maintenance, laboratory consumables, PPE, sampling kits, batteries and field consumables.
Local Government Compensation Pool $300K/yr
[#13] Annual contingency pool for payments/compensation to local authorities, permits facilitation and liaison-related payments.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#1, #4, #16, #19] Annual property taxes, utilities, generator/fuel and battery replacements, site repairs and vehicle maintenance attributable to facilities.
Amnestic And Medical Followup $200K/yr
[#9] Costs for medical/psychiatric administration, pharmaceuticals, observation and follow-up per-witness handling (practical substitute for fictional 'Class-A amnestics').
Insurance And Legal Reserve Premiums $150K/yr
[#15] Ongoing insurance premiums and maintenance of legal/indemnity programs (annual premium estimate).
Community Relations Programs $150K/yr
[#14] Ongoing community outreach, cultural liaison staff and maintenance of cover-community projects for cemetery relations.
Training And Exercises $125K/yr
[#18] Regular joint exercises, simulation/trainer contracts and SOP maintenance for MTF, guards, medical and PR teams.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.4M/yr
64.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine sensor maintenance, scheduled training, periodic manifestations handled without major damage or large public exposure.
routine manifestations managed no major property damage no large-scale evacuations
🚨 Minor Incident $9.8M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
One or more manageable manifestations requiring extra MTF overtime, targeted PR campaigns, additional satellite tasking and increased medical follow-up.
multiple witness events localized media attention extra satellite/SAR tasking
🚨 Major Incident $11.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or public incident with property damage, multiple casualties/witnesses, large legal/PR response and extended MTF deployment.
widespread public exposure property damage multiple casualties / mass-casualty response
🚨 Catastrophic Event $34.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Multi-site or large-scale activation requiring mass evacuation/relocation, full use of emergency reserves, international legal/diplomatic interventions and major reconstruction.
simultaneous multi-site activations mass evacuations international diplomatic emergency
👥 Personnel 182 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Local Guard 126 [#2] Local perimeter security staffing: 9guards per site (3 per shift × 3 shifts) across 14 sites.
Security Supervisor / Local Site Supervisor 14 [#2] One supervisor per site for oversight and reporting.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#3] Deployed Mobile Task Force Omega-41 regional rotation (roughly 16–24 operators).
Research Scientist 4 [#11] Anthropology/folklore/anatomy/physics researchers (3–6 estimated; midpoint used).
Medical Officer 6 [#9, #17] Medical staff for witness care, amnestic-equivalent administration and mass-casualty coordination.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#16, #19] Vehicle, sensor and power infrastructure maintenance staff.
Administrative Staff 4 [#4, #13] Site administration, logistics coordination and liaison support.
Data Analyst / Cybersecurity 3 [#20] Analysts and cybersecurity staff managing secure storage, sensor feeds and analysis pipelines.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#4] Overall site/regional program leadership.
📋 Confidence Notes
Medium confidence: analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most items, but many estimates are wide-ranging and contingent on policy choices (buy vs lease, local cooperation level). Fictional elements (Class-A amnestics) and variable diplomatic/bribe pools increase uncertainty.
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