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SCP-5399 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5399
Expected annual
$305K
One-time setup
$101K
Annual recurring
$288K
Personnel
4.44
Initial capital costs are moderate (~$100k) driven by airlock/sensors/integration and a contingency reserve; ongoing annual costs are personnel‑heavy (wages, hazard pay, medical/training) totaling roughly $288k/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $101K
Contingency Reserve $50K
[#12] Initial contingency reserve for rapid relocations/breach response; recommended replenishment as needed.
Equipment $24K
[#4, #5, #15, #16] One-time integration/software + sensor/microphone hardware + experimental equipment + communications setup.
Facilities $18K
[#3] Controlled-access airlock, door/frame refit, interlock hardware and contractor labor.
Initial Training $8K
[#7] Initial memetic-safety and containment training materials and instructor time for the wing cohort.
Signage And Sop $600
[#17] One-time printing/lamination of SOPs, checklists, and signage.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $288K/yr
Staff Wages $200K/yr
[#1, #2, #6, #14] 3.0 FTE containment coverage + ~0.67 FTE rapid-response security + 0.33 FTE compliance/recordkeeping + ~0.44 FTE research scientist salary component.
Insurance And Hazard Pay $24K/yr
[#9] Hazard pay (~10% of affected workers' salaries) plus a worker's-compensation reserve.
Research And Monitoring $15K/yr
[#14, #19, #22] Consumables and small‑scale research budget, drills/tabletop exercises, and long-term cataloguing/archival support for studies.
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#13, #20] Legal hours, monitoring tools, and public-facing cover costs to maintain plausible explanations for external encounters.
Medical And Psychological $14K/yr
[#8] Annual mental-health screenings, counseling, and medical monitoring for containment personnel (~40 people screenings).
Retraining And Onboarding $6K/yr
[#21] Replacement/retraining budget to cover wing turnover and onboarding of new residents.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#4, #11, #16] Annual maintenance/calibration of interlock/software, routine room/airlock/sensor maintenance, communications upkeep.
It Security And Data Archival $4K/yr
[#5, #18] Secure storage, encrypted backups, access controls, and periodic review of audio/presence logs.
Training And Memetic Safety $2K/yr
[#7] Annual refresher training and memetic-safety briefings.
Supplies And Consumables $1K/yr
[#10] Bedding, toiletries, PPE, replacement badges, logging notebooks and disposable items.
Signage And Updates $350/yr
[#17] Annual updates/printing for SOP changes and administrative paperwork.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $288K/yr
87.5% probability / year
Typical uneventful year with normal staffing, maintenance, training, and research activity.
normal operations no breaches routine maintenance and training
🚨 Minor Incident $303K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Short demanifestation, missed relief, or localized noncompliance requiring overtime, temporary containment measures, and small repairs.
missed relief / short demanifestation staff refusal requiring overtime localized relocation/temporary quarantine
🚨 Major Breach $438K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Violent or destructive breach targeting the containment cell (arson, attempted destruction) causing significant repairs, investigation, and medical/legal costs.
arson or deliberate destruction violent extraction attempts major property damage to cell or adjacent areas
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Site‑level catastrophic event initiated or exacerbated by containment failure (large fire, mass damage) requiring major reconstruction, site evacuation, and long-term recovery.
site-wide fire or major destructive event mass-casualty incident loss of containment cameras/systems enabling escalation
👥 Personnel 4.44 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#1] Three FTEs providing continuous 24/7 containment coverage (three 8-hour shifts).
Rapid Response Security (on-call) 0.67 [#2] 0.5–1.0 FTE equivalent for monitoring and incident response.
Compliance / Administrative Staff 0.33 [#6] 0.25–0.5 FTE for log review, scheduling, and recordkeeping.
Research Scientist 0.44 [#14] 0.2–0.5 FTE allocated for basic study and mitigation experiments (salary portion included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and standard Foundation staffing/equipment assumptions; core labor needs are well-defined but contingency and breach costs are highly uncertain, producing moderate confidence.
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