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SCP-5435 Presumed ~ medium confidence
SCP-5435
Expected annual
$853K
One-time setup
$665K
Annual recurring
$840K
Personnel
5
One-time setup and contingency costs are moderate (~$665k) driven by contingency reserve and initial R&D; annual recurring costs are dominated by embedded personnel wages and ongoing cover/cleanup/legal costs, totaling ~$840k/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $665K
Contingency Reserve $300K
[#25] Contingency / escalation reserve for emergency rapid response, temporary relocations, mass screening, or political/legal fallout.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#12] In-house research program to characterize unknown compound: concentrated R&D project including chemists, instrument time, standards, and reagents (one-time project budget).
Equipment $71K
[#5, #7, #13, #14, #15, #16] Unmarked vehicle purchase & covert outfitting; portable first-response/medical kit; sample cold-chain and secure transport equipment (capital); surveillance & recording equipment; initial secure server/cloud setup; secure communications hardware.
Hospital Cooperation Retainer $50K
[#10] One-time retainer/stipend to local hospital or specialist for expedited imaging, sample retention, and discreet handling.
Facilities $20K
[#3] Safe house/setup deposit and covert renovations: lease deposit and minor buildout to remove overt signs and secure locks.
Training Initial $12K
[#20] Initial training and program setup: per-agent initial training plus program setup (hazmat, evidence collection, emergency medicine).
Legal Retainer Setup $10K
[#19] Initial legal retainer/setup for local attorneys and document work (one-time).
Occupational Health Baseline Exams $2K
[#22] Baseline occupational medical examinations (MRI baseline, screens) for embedded agents (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $840K/yr
Staff Wages $500K/yr
[#1, #2] Embedded field agent salaries/benefits for continuous watch (3–4 agents; modeled as 4 agents at loaded ~$105k each) plus a part-time local on-call analyst/handler (~$80k/year).
Cover Story And Legal $85K/yr
[#18, #19] Public relations / cover community management (fake business front, NDAs, stipends) plus annual legal counsel fees and document manipulation costs.
Forensic Cleanup And Cover $75K/yr
[#17] Forensic cleanup, property repair, insurance/advance payments, and cover costs allocated as an ongoing contingency fund for vandalism/arson incidents.
Administrative Overhead $60K/yr
[#26] Program management, accounting, procurement burden allocated to the project (HQ overhead share).
Hospital And Er Processing $30K/yr
[#9] Per-incident hospital/ER processing and imaging aggregated (assumes a small number of incidents per year at mid-range per-victim costs).
Research And Monitoring $20K/yr
[#11] Advanced analytical testing per sample (regular forensic/TOX lab suites aggregated annually).
It Analysis Contractor $20K/yr
[#24] IT/analysis contractor time for data analysis, GIS mapping, and timeline reconstruction.
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#4] Safe house rent (monthly), utilities and minor upkeep for one covert billet.
Occupational Health And Counseling $8K/yr
[#22] Annual counseling, monitoring, and medical follow-ups for embedded agents.
Travel Specialists $8K/yr
[#23] Travel, lodging, and per-diem for outside specialists called in on incidents (toxicologists, chemists, behavioral analysts).
Logistics And Transport $6K/yr
[#6] Vehicle operating costs (fuel, maintenance, insurance, registration) for unmarked vehicle(s).
Refresher Training $4K/yr
[#21] Annual refresher training and certification renewals for agents (hazmat, medical recertifications).
It Hosting And Maintenance $3K/yr
[#15] Ongoing secure hosting, maintenance, and cloud costs for encrypted case files and comms archiving.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#8, #13] Medical consumables and PPE restock; cold-chain consumable supplies.
Secure Comms Service $1K/yr
[#16] Recurring service/subscription fees for encrypted phones/radios and messaging services.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $840K/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with monitoring posture maintained and occasional low-level activity managed without major incidents.
no major incidents routine monitoring and minor events only
🚨 Minor Incident $890K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
One or two localized SCP-5435 events causing limited property damage and 1–2 ER visits requiring imaging and sample analysis.
isolated arson/vandalism 1–2 victims requiring ER/imaging localized cleanup and PR/payoffs
🚨 Major Incident $1.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Significant re-activation with multiple arsons/personal injuries, large-scale hospital involvement, extensive forensic cleanup, and substantial PR/legal fallout requiring contingency funds.
multiple simultaneous arsons mass casualties or high-profile exposure political/media attention requiring escalation
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Embedded Field Agent / Cover Operative 4 [#1] Four full-time embedded agents modeled for continuous watch and response; salaries and benefits included in staff_wages.
Local Analyst / Handler 1 [#2] One part-time medical/toxicology liaison and incident coordinator included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasoned estimate, but per-incident variability and contingency sizing carry significant uncertainty so confidence is medium.
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