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SCP-5439 Pending ~ medium confidence
SCP-5439
Expected annual
$1.9M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
13
Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $1.59M, driven mainly by containment hardening, escalation reserves, and optional long-term research setup; annual recurring costs are approximately $1.84M/yr, driven primarily by personnel salaries, contingency reserves, and ongoing research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Containment Escalation Reserve $625K
[#24] One-time contingency reserve for rapid containment escalation, specialized isolation equipment, and rapid recruitment.
Long Term Research Setup $300K
[#19] Conditional animal-model / long-term research facility setup (optional, included as a one-time contingent setup).
Facilities $225K
[#1] Containment cell upgrade (padded/safe interior, anti-ligature fixtures, HVAC isolation, fireproofing, tamper-proof doors/windows, O2/CO2 monitoring).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $205K
[#8, #9, #12] Initial neuroimaging campaign costs, genomics/molecular assay initial budget, and infectious-disease / lab adjustments (BSL-2 / sterile upgrades).
Equipment $138K
[#2, #3, #4] Physiological monitoring suite, high-resolution video/thermal/motion sensors and secure recording, and high-security IT/hardware purchase (encrypted servers, SAN/NAS, networking, access control).
Transport Vehicle Purchase $60K
[#16] Purchase of a dedicated secure transport van for transfers and imaging transport.
Legal Initial Cover $20K
[#15] Initial legal/cover paperwork and ethical approval setup, cover documentation preparation.
Background Checks Initial $12K
[#17] Initial background checks and vetting for access team (team-wide; cost estimated using 20-person example).
Sop Development $10K
[#14] One-time development of SOPs, curriculum, and initial specialized training materials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #13] Ongoing personnel costs: 3RNs (~$312k), 6 security guards (~$312k), medical research team (lead + 2 techs ~ $415k), 1 clinical psychologist (pt/pro-rated ~ $70k). Benefits included in estimates.
Emergency Contingency Fund $150K/yr
[#11] Annual reserved contingency for emergency surgical/trauma interventions, OR time, ICU costs if subject sustains severe unnoticed injuries.
Long Term Research Maintenance $125K/yr
[#19] Recurring maintenance and operational costs if long-term animal model program is initiated (conditional).
Research And Monitoring $120K/yr
[#18, #23] External consulting/data analysis and annual advanced testing & follow-up program (specialist consults, bioinformatics, periodic advanced testing).
Cover Story And Legal $90K/yr
[#15, #22] Annual legal retainers, compliance, cover/deniability costs and public relations/misinformation management.
Insurance And Worker Compensation $62K/yr
[#20] Annual insurance/indemnity and worker compensation reserve for staff injuries/exposure.
Neuroimaging Followups $50K/yr
[#8] Ongoing follow-up imaging (MRI/fMRI/PET) and analysis costs.
Facilities Maintenance $40K/yr
[#21] Pro-rated utilities, site security maintenance, janitorial, medical waste disposal, site-level upkeep.
Genomics Followup $20K/yr
[#9] Follow-up genomics/molecular assay work and vendor/sample costs.
Supplies And Consumables $18K/yr
[#10, #13] Medical consumables and clinical supplies (dressings, IV supplies, PPE) and therapy materials.
It Hosting And Cybersecurity $12K/yr
[#4] Hosting, cybersecurity, admin, and audit logging for secure medical/research IT infrastructure.
Infectious Disease Testing $12K/yr
[#12] Recurring infectious disease screening, wound cultures, and sterile-procedure supplies.
Personnel Vetting $12K/yr
[#17] Ongoing monitoring, background update checks, and periodic polygraphs for access personnel.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#16] Recurring transport costs for transfers, vehicle maintenance, per-transfer logistics if contracting out some moves.
Video Storage And Backup $6K/yr
[#3] Storage, air-gapped backups, and maintenance for continuous high-resolution video/thermal recording.
Monitoring Maintenance $4K/yr
[#2] Maintenance/calibration for bedside/room physiological monitoring equipment.
Staff Training $4K/yr
[#14] Annual refresher training, drills, and SOP upkeep for medical and security staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, research follow-ups, and ongoing staffing and maintenance.
stable_subject_medically no major injuries normal research cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $2.1M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Unnoticed injury or acute medical event requiring emergency surgery/ICU care and additional imaging.
unnoticed fracture/burn emergency OR/ICU admission
🚨 Public Exposure $2.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Leak or credible external exposure requiring intensive legal response, PR campaigns, and incident management.
media leak civilian hospital involvement external disclosure of anomalous findings
🚨 Containment Escalation $2.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$925K vs baseline
Anomalous behavior changes or secondary effects force rapid containment upgrade and emergency procurement/staffing.
anomaly spreads/changes secondary effects observed need for isolation pods / expanded containment
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Registered Nurse 3 [#5] 24/7 nursing coverage via rotating 12-hour shifts (3 RNs to provide continuous coverage plus relief).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] Dedicated security staffing for 24/7 coverage across three shifts; higher vetting/hazard pay assumed.
Research Scientist 1 [#7] Lead physician/researcher (MD/PhD) overseeing protocols and interpretation.
Research Technician / Lab Tech 2 [#7] Two lab/tech personnel for assays, sampling, and protocol administration.
Clinical Psychologist 1 [#13] Part-time or pro-rated clinical psychologist for therapy and crisis intervention (0.5 FTE equivalent represented as single role).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many items are conditional (research scale-up, animal work, escalation) and have wide ranges; staff costs are better defined while contingency and one-time escalation figures retain uncertainty.
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