SCP-5464 — SCP-5464 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-5464 Unknown ? low confidence

SCP-5464

Expected annual

$3.0M

One-time setup

$3.2M

Annual recurring

$2.9M

Personnel

One-time setup costs are moderate (primarily enclosure, sensors, research and stockpiles) totaling a few million USD; recurring annual costs are driven by staff wages, MTF readiness, research, legal/PR retainers and amnestic stock replenishment, leading to high ongoing yearly expenses.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2M

Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K

[#16] Initial memetic research program funding (program setup, lab instruments and initial studies) estimated between $200k–$1M; midpoint used.

Equipment $569K

[#5, #7, #17, #18, #19, #20, #21] GPS implant hardware & surgery (#5), initial monitoring hardware/server/cameras (#7 initial), specialized sensor upgrades (#17 initial), drone fleet and support (#18 initial), non-lethal crowd control equipment (#19 initial), sedation/containment kit + heavy crate (#20 initial), secure communications & archival hardware (#21 initial).

Legal And Diplomatic Reserve One Time $500K

[#22] One-time reserve for diplomatic/legal contingencies (per-incident reserve); selected conservative mid-range of $100k–$2M.

Insurance Reserve One Time $500K

[#24] One-time insurance/indemnity reserve to cover accidental disclosure or settlements; chosen midpoint of $50k–$1M.

High Profile Political Incident Reserve One Time $500K

[#27] Contingency reserve for a single high-profile political incident (covert payouts/reparations/evacuations); conservative mid-range reserve selected.

Amnestics Stockpile Initial $275K

[#23] Initial amnestic/pharmaceutical stockpile and cold-chain logistics setup; midpoint of $50k–$500k used.

Facilities $150K

[#1] Outdoor heavy-duty bear enclosure construction (fenced pen, den/shelter, double-door access, signage, camera mounts); mid-range estimate chosen between $75k–$250k.

Staff Training Initial $60K

[#25] Initial specialized training program (non-interference doctrine, memetic hygiene, cross-cultural protocols); midpoint of $20k–$100k used.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.9M/yr

Staff Wages $1.8M/yr

[#8, #9, #10] Monitoring personnel (3–4 FTEs) + site security staff (6–8 guards) + MTF Omega-6 core team maintenance (8–12 operators). Mid-range fully loaded salaries used: monitoring ~$235k, security ~$360k, MTF ~$1,200k (total = $1,795,000).

Research And Monitoring $330K/yr

[#7, #16, #17] Ongoing monitoring hosting/maintenance ($5k–$20k), ongoing memetic research ($100k–$500k), sensor maintenance ($5k–$30k); combined midpoint estimate used.

Cover Story And Legal $318K/yr

[#15, #22, #24] Baseline media/PR cover ($10k–$50k/year), legal counsel retainer ($50k–$300k/year) and annual insurance premium ($25k–$200k/year) combined; midpoints used for an ongoing cover/legal budget.

Administrative Overhead $150K/yr

[#29] Program management, procurement, accounting, clearances and audits; estimated ongoing overhead.

Amnestics Replenishment $112K/yr

[#23] Annual replenishment and storage costs for amnestics/pharmaceutical stockpile; midpoint of $25k–$200k/year used.

Supplies And Consumables $32K/yr

[#3, #4] Animal care (food & enrichment) and routine veterinary care; midpoints used ($16,500 food + $15,000 veterinary = $31,500/year).

Staff Training Recurring $30K/yr

[#25] Refresher courses and recurring drills; midpoint of $10k–$50k/year used.

Psych And Clearance $28K/yr

[#26] Psychological support, vetting and periodic psych evals for personnel; midpoint of $5k–$50k/year used.

Miscellaneous Consumables $18K/yr

[#30] Small consumables, fuel, overtime, petty cash; midpoint of $5k–$30k/year used.

Crowd Control Maintenance $18K/yr

[#19] Replacement/consumables for crowd-control equipment; midpoint of $5k–$30k/year used.

Secure Comms Maintenance $18K/yr

[#21] Hosting, backups and comms maintenance; midpoint of $5k–$30k/year used.

Drones Maintenance $14K/yr

[#18] Drone consumables, maintenance and per-mission costs; midpoint of $2k–$25k/year used.

Sedation Training Recurring $12K/yr

[#20] Annual training/re-certification for sedation/containment kit; midpoint of $5k–$20k/year used.

Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr

[#2] Enclosure maintenance, repairs and groundskeeping; midpoint of $5k–$15k/year used.

Logistics And Transport $1K/yr

[#6] GPS tracking subscription and basic redundancy (satellite/GSM/SIM); baseline subscription midpoint ($500–$2,000) used. (Per-activation travel costs are modeled in scenarios / separate per-activation entries.)

Per Activation Deployment Cost $0/yr

[#11] Per-activation deployment travel/vehicles/lodging/per diem costs; per-activation amounts modeled in scenarios (unit estimate provided in note but baseline annual = $0).

Rapid Airlift Cost $0/yr

[#12] Cost of chartered aircraft / immediate airlift per emergent mission; per-activation amounts modeled in scenarios (baseline annual = $0).

Local Logistics Per Activation $0/yr

[#13] Local cover teams, fixers, safehouses and local contracting per activation; per-activation amounts modeled in scenarios (baseline annual = $0).

Witness Management Per Activation $0/yr

[#14] Per-event witness management and amnestic application costs; per-event amounts modeled in scenarios (baseline annual = $0).

Media Per Activation $0/yr

[#15] Per-significant-event PR & staged operations beyond baseline cover; modeled in scenarios (baseline annual = $0).

Satellite Tasking Per Use $0/yr

[#28] Commercial satellite tasking / imagery-on-demand costs per use; modeled per-event in scenarios (baseline annual = $0).

Political Incident Reserve Per Incident $0/yr

[#27] Per-incident contingency reserve for high-profile political incidents; funded per-event in scenarios (baseline annual = $0).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.9M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with ongoing staffing, monitoring, research, legal retainers and stockpile replenishment but no major activations requiring significant overseas operations or payouts.

no_activations_or_only_minimal_local_activity routine_maintenance_and_research no_public_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$265K vs baseline

Single moderate activation at a public/historical site requiring an 8-person rapid deployment, local logistics, modest witness management, and targeted PR.

single_activation_at_public_event limited_media_attention small_number_of_witnesses

🚨 Major Political Incident $4.4M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Activation that causes widespread civilian exposure, substantial media attention and diplomatic fallout requiring large legal/diplomatic payouts, extended deployments and intensive witness remediation.

mass_civilian_exposure large_media_attention_or_diplomatic_incident requirement_for_covert_payments_and_extended_MT F_ops

👥 Personnel 20 total

Role	Count	Notes
Monitoring Personnel / Operators	4	[#8] 24/7 monitoring operators (3–4 FTEs); cost included in staff_wages estimate (~$235k total).
Site Security / Guards	6	[#9] On-site guards for enclosure and park liaison (6–8 guards); cost included in staff_wages estimate (~$360k total).
Security Officer / MTF Agent (Omega-6)	10	[#10] MTF Omega-6 core team (8–12 operators) maintained on payroll/readiness; cost included in staff_wages estimate (~$1,200k total).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates use midpoints of wide ranges provided in analyst notes; largest uncertainties are activation frequency, scale of witness/diplomatic fallout and ad-hoc emergency spending. The anomalous perception effect and international legal variables increase unpredictability.

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