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SCP-5482 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5482
Expected annual
$16.6M
One-time setup
$32.5M
Annual recurring
$16.4M
Personnel
29
Initial program start-up and contingency/reserve funding dominate one-time costs (~$31.3M), while ongoing medical maintenance (IV/TPN supplies), dedicated medical staff and housing/relocation support drive recurring costs (~$16.44M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $32.5M
Cover Story Contingency Seed $10.0M
[#12] Initial contingency/cover-story fund seed to handle potential public exposures and settlements.
Catastrophic Response Reserve One Time $10.0M
[#24] Standing catastrophic-response reserve fund (initial seed) for rapid large-scale containment, relocation or mass disposal.
Site Relocation $5.0M
[#17] Partial site relocation or major move for any field or containment assets falling within 7 km of qualifying water sources (conservative mid-range estimate).
Facilities $2.0M
[#4] Mid-range estimate for construction/retrofit of dry living/working facilities (site reconfiguration, plumbing changes, sealed food prep) for a medium-sized operation; does not include full site relocations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#13] Initial biomedical/epidemiological research program start-up including BSL lab time, sequencing setup and startup costs.
Equipment $1.4M
[#9, #10, #14] One-time purchases: emergency vehicle fleet (ambulances), initial PPE/first-response kits, and IT/EHR system setup.
Relocation One Time $600K
[#3] One-time relocation/real estate allowances for initial cohort (example: relocating 20 staff at ~$30k average each).
Initial Medical Devices $600K
[#5] One-time cost for implantable ports/PICC placement and ambulatory infusion pumps for baseline caseload (50 patients assumed).
Emergency Vehicle Fleet $600K
[#9] Purchase of dedicated inland-route ambulances (e.g., 3 vehicles @ ~$200k each).
Tissue Bank Startup One Time $300K
[#22] Secure tissue bank start-up and autopsy special-biosafety setup.
Legal Hr Restructuring One Time $150K
[#11] One-time legal and HR consultancy to redraft duty assignments, contracts and disability/termination policies.
Security Installation One Time $150K
[#18] One-time installation of perimeter systems, fences and electronic monitoring tied to internal non-exposure enforcement.
Gps Geofencing Setup $100K
[#2] One-time implementation of GPS/geofencing and badge integration to enforce 7 km exclusion zones.
Training Sop Dev $100K
[#15] Development of SOPs, curricula and initial course production for managers, med staff, security and affected employees.
Ppe Kits Initial $30K
[#10] Initial procurement of 50 first-response PPE/medication kits.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.4M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $5.2M/yr
[#5, #10, #25] Recurring IV/TPN fluids and disposables, infusion tubing/dressings, ongoing PPE replacement, and increased utilities/consumables for affected-person care (assumes ~50 active patients).
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#8, #18] Salaries for medical team (physician oversight, infusion nurses), security officers, admin and maintenance staff required to run the program (modelled for the caseload and facility assumptions).
Palliative And Hospice Care $1.5M/yr
[#7] Long-term palliative/hospice care budget for affected personnel (assumes a portion of caseload receives palliative care annually).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#1, #13] Ongoing epidemiological surveillance, cohort studies, sequencing, biomarker work and medical surveillance program costs (screening, lab testing, program management).
Cover Story And Legal $1.2M/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing legal/dispute budget, PR/cover-story maintenance, small settlements and reserve replenishment.
Contingency Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment target for the catastrophic-response reserve fund and general contingency.
Logistics And Transport $850K/yr
[#9, #19] Operations/maintenance for dedicated inland transport fleet, medevac charters, and logistics overhead plus route-planning costs to avoid water-crossing travel.
Replacement Staffing And Productivity Loss $650K/yr
[#21] Recruiting/training for replacements, temporary contractors and measured productivity losses from losing field-capable personnel.
Complication Management $500K/yr
[#6] Contingency for catheter-related complications, hospitalizations and interventional procedures (assumes modest per-patient event rate across caseload).
Housing Supplements $480K/yr
[#3] Ongoing inland housing differentials and stipends for relocated staff (example: 20relocated staff @ ~$2k/mo differential).
Insurance And Compliance $300K/yr
[#23] Increased premiums, compliance costs and regulatory buffers for altered medical/waste operations.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#4] Ongoing maintenance and biosecurity upkeep for retrofitted 'dry' living/working facilities.
Psychological Support $200K/yr
[#20] Counseling, social work and isolation support for affected employees and their families.
Autopsy And Tissue Bank Maintenance $150K/yr
[#22] Annual maintenance of secure tissue banks, autopsy workflows and pathology services.
Waste Disposal $80K/yr
[#16] Regulated medical waste removal and incineration costs associated with IV/port maintenance and special toilet waste.
Training And Sops Refresher $60K/yr
[#15] Annual refresher training and SOP updates for med staff, managers and security.
Gps Geofencing Subscription $42K/yr
[#2] Active subscription/licensing and per-user tracking service costs for ~1,000 tracked users.
It Systems Maintenance $40K/yr
[#14] EHR/segregated record and analytics maintenance, licensing and per-user overhead.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.4M/yr
96.5% probability / year
Normal year with program operating as intended and no large-scale incidents.
no large outbreaks stable caseload routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $17.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized outbreak or small public leak requiring targeted response, additional medical surge and limited settlements.
small cluster of new cases limited public exposure extra medevac / overtime
🚨 Major Breach $26.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or multi-site exposure requiring relocation, large settlements and major operational disruption.
multi-site exposure large public disclosure facility relocation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $66.4M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Widespread exposure or public catastrophe requiring full activation of catastrophic response fund, mass quarantine and long-term program scale-up.
widespread transmission major media/political exposure national-level response required
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#13, #1] Lead investigators for epidemiology/biomedical research and study design.
Research Technician / Lab 4 [#13, #14] Lab technicians for sequencing, sample processing and secured EHR handling.
Medical Officer 2 [#5, #8, #6] Physicians providing oversight for IV/TPN regimens, complication management and palliative care.
Nurse / Infusion Nurse 8 [#5, #8] Infusion nurses and line-care staff for ambulatory infusion and home oversight (round-the-clock coverage modelled).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#18, #9] On-site security/perimeter enforcement and inland-only transport escorts.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#4, #17] Facility engineers for retrofits, plumbing reconfiguration and maintenance of dry facilities.
Administrative Staff 3 [#11, #12, #15] HR, legal liaison and program administrators managing surveillance, relocations and cover-story coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Mid confidence: the article and analyst notes provide good qualitative guidance and ranges, but many variables (prevalence, caseload, geography, fraction requiring TPN, and frequency of complications/breaches) are uncertain leading to range-based estimates.
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