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SCP-5488 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5488
Expected annual
$611K
One-time setup
$76K
Annual recurring
$608K
Personnel
4
One-time startup costs are modest (~$76k) driven by safe, access hardware, CCTV and a small fit‑out; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages (authorized Level‑2 team) and a baseline research program (~$608k/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $76K
Equipment $38K
[#1, #2, #5, #6, #14, #17, #22] Purchase of fire‑proof safe, programmable lock, CCTV/camera+recorder+sensors, access control hardware, initial records system setup, secondary safe, and high‑res scanner/workstation. Midpoint estimates applied (total $38,000).
Facilities $19K
[#1, #4, #15, #21] Safe anchoring/installation, archive fit‑out/buildout, fire suppression inspection/certification, and minor privacy fit‑out. Estimates use midpoints of provided ranges ($1,250 + $15,000 + $350 + $2,750).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $12K
[#12] Initial human‑subjects oversight/setup costs (IRB/equivalent, consent templates, admin) estimated at midpoint of $5k–$20k.
Disposal And Suppression $5K
[#25] Contingency one‑time cost for secure destruction/long‑term suppression planning; discretionary contingency within stated range.
Background Checks $1K
[#19] Initial background checks for authorized personnel (analyst note example: small team of 4). Midpoint used for initial checks.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $608K/yr
Staff Wages $320K/yr
[#3, #7, #19] Salaries for the authorized Level‑2 team responsible for custody and routine administration. Assumes a small authorized team (4 personnel) @ ~$80,000/yr each (analyst baseline for Level‑2).
Administrative Overhead $101K/yr
[#24] Administrative/site overhead applied at 20% of direct recurring costs (analyst recommended 15–30%; 20% used for baseline).
Research And Monitoring $100K/yr
[#11] Baseline research & experimentation program budget (protocols, instrumentation, subject compensation, analysis); analyst recommended baseline ~$100,000/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#13] Legal counsel, classification maintenance and cover story/retainer costs; midpoint of recommended retainer/annual ranges used.
Human Subjects Oversight $20K/yr
[#12] Ongoing IRB/ethics review, counseling oversight and monitoring for human subjects research; midpoint of provided recurring range.
Facilities Maintenance $18K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #15] Ongoing proportional archive facility costs (HVAC/amortization), CCTV monitoring/storage, access control software/license/maintenance, and fire suppression maintenance. Midpoint values applied.
Incident Response Fund $10K/yr
[#18] Contingency fund for breach response, overtime, forensic analysis, PR/legal response; conservative midpoint chosen.
Records Management $3K/yr
[#14] Ongoing hosting/backup/encryption for secure records and offsite backups; midpoint used.
Mental Health Services $3K/yr
[#20] Employee assistance and counseling access for staff exposed to sensitive content; conservative midpoint chosen.
Logistics And Transport $2K/yr
[#8] Secure transport/transfer costs per move. Assumed ~3 transfers/yr at a midpoint per transfer cost (~$625) -> ~$1,875/yr.
Background Checks Maintenance $2K/yr
[#19] Periodic reinvestigations and recurring training costs for authorized personnel; estimate based on analyst ranges for a small team.
Forensic Scanning Services $1K/yr
[#22] Per‑task forensic imaging/scanning services (assumed ~2 tasks/yr at ~$600 each).
Archive Preservation $1K/yr
[#23] Professional conservation/preservation supplies and services; midpoint of range used.
Supplies And Consumables $900/yr
[#9, #10] Archival sleeves, gloves, disposable tools, and PPE consumables for handlers. Combined midpoint estimates.
Safe Maintenance $600/yr
[#16] Periodic maintenance/inspection and minor repairs for the safe/lock mechanism; midpoint used.
Offsite Storage $600/yr
[#17] Offsite redundancy/storage fees for secondary containment or backups; midpoint used.
Combination Rotation $260/yr
[#3] Administrative cost to rotate safe combination internally (~$10/change × 26 changes = $260/yr).
Privacy Accommodations $200/yr
[#21] Ongoing minimal costs for scheduling/privacy accommodations after minor fit‑out.
Dedicated Security $0/yr
[#7] Optional dedicated security officer cost. Baseline assumes existing site security covers the item; optional dedicated coverage noted but not budgeted here.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $608K/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine maintenance, scheduled transfers and research activity; no significant incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_transfers planned_research
🚨 Minor Incident $623K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Limited unauthorized access attempt or handling incident requiring forensic analysis, overtime, and short‑term mitigation.
unauthorized_access_attempt limited_breach forensic_investigation
🚨 Major Exposure $758K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Significant public/legal exposure or complex incident requiring extended legal defense, public relations, and containment scale‑up.
public_exposure legal_investigation classification_challenge
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Authorized Level-2 Personnel (includes project lead) 4 [#3, #7, #19] Small authorized team responsible for custody, combo changes, handling and routine administration; wages included in staff_wages estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and explicit assumptions (team size of 4 Level‑2 authorized personnel, 3 transfers/yr, 20% overhead). Line items and ranges were well documented but research/human‑subjects, legal exposure and staffing choices introduce uncertainty.
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