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SCP-5511 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-5511
Expected annual
$23.1M
One-time setup
$30.8M
Annual recurring
$21.1M
Personnel
64
One-time startup costs for secure lab, monitoring infrastructure, and initial cover-up/compensation are roughly $30M; annual operations driven by staff, monitoring, amnesticization, and ongoing cover/story maintenance are roughly $21M/yr. Largest cost drivers are public compensation/hush payments and contingency for emergency response or procurement of space assets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $30.8M
Public Compensation One Time $10.0M
[#25] Lump-sum settlements/hush payments to victim families (one-time buyouts for immediate closure to prevent litigation/publicity).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.5M
[#11, #12, #9, #14, #2] Laboratory buildout and purchase of scientific instrumentation (SEM, mass-spec, CT, high-speed cameras), initial blast-testing rig and partial dedicated ground monitoring network/HPC/data ingestion pipelines.
Facilities $6.0M
[#11] Structural construction/retrofit of blast-rated, restricted-access research facility (blast containment, HVAC, Faraday shielding).
Equipment $1.0M
[#16, #26] Site hardware purchase (access control, CCTV, perimeter systems) and initial secure-transport equipment purchases.
Pr Initial Campaign $1.0M
[#7] Initial global disinformation/PR campaign (professional PR firm, assets, seeded stories to frame event as a marketing stunt).
Field Equipment Purchase $1.0M
[#26] Purchase of secure vans, refrigerated trucks, mobile comms kits and field drones for evidence collection and scene control.
Experimental Prevention R And D $1.0M
[#28] R&D funds and initial prototype production for experimental protective countermeasures (helmets/field devices).
Witness Relocation Setup $1.0M
[#20] One-time costs to manufacture new identities, relocation logistics, and initial placement/secure housing for relocated witnesses.
Local Coverup Initial $500K
[#6] Initial bribery/records alteration and coordination with local officials, mortuaries and hospitals for immediate cleanup in multiple jurisdictions.
Evidence Storage One Time $500K
[#17] Hardened vaults and destruction/incineration capability procurement (hazardous-waste compliant incinerator setup).
Amnestic Stockpile Development $500K
[#21] Initial R&D/procurement and secure storage setup for amnestic compounds sufficient for dozens–hundreds of administrations.
Cremation And Disposal $340K
[#3] One-time cremation and initial cross-border disposal logistics for initial event cluster (cremation fees + international paperwork/logistics).
Public Health Reimbursements $300K
[#22] Lump-sum payments to hospitals and public health entities for altered records and to avoid investigations.
Emergency Morgue Purchase $200K
[#18] Mobile refrigerated trailers and temporary mortuary procurement for mass-casualty handling capacity.
Satellite Assets One Time $0
[#10] Dedicated smallsat/satellite procurement not funded in baseline one-time budget (option retained for scenario use).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.1M/yr
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#13, #15, #27] Payroll, benefits, training and overhead for multidisciplinary team (researchers, engineers, watch officers, support staff).
Research And Monitoring $2.5M/yr
[#9, #12, #14, #2] Ongoing monitoring operations, telescope lease/analytics ops, lab testing throughput, HPC processing and memetic analysis programs.
Amnesticization Ops Recurring $1.5M/yr
[#4, #21] Sedation/amnestic administration campaigns, medical monitoring, travel and secure surveillance for witness cohorts.
Security And Site Protection $1.2M/yr
[#16] Armed guards, vetting, access control staffing and physical site security for labs, evidence stores and morgues.
Emergency Response Ops $1.0M/yr
[#1] Rapid-deployment containment/collection teams, overtime for agents, mobile comms and per-incident response costs (avg. annualized).
Medical Care And Compensation Recurring $1.0M/yr
[#5] Emergency treatment, rehabilitation, surgery costs and discretionary compensation payments for injured survivors.
Contingency Fund Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#23] Annual replenishment for crisis contingency reserve used for emergency bribery, charters and diplomatic pressure.
Operations Center $800K/yr
[#15] 24/7 watch staffing, comms, incident coordination and rapid-response coordination center operating costs.
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#6, #19, #7] Legal retainers, records management, cover-story drafting and coordination with external counsel and local liaisons.
Autopsies Recurring $600K/yr
[#2] Forensic autopsies, specialized blast pathology, radiological testing and contracted forensic pathologist fees per-year.
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#11] Annual maintenance for secure lab infrastructure, HVAC, blast containment systems and permits.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#1, #26, #3] Vehicle operation, charters, refrigerated transport, and routine travel for field teams.
Local Coverup Maintenance $500K/yr
[#6] Ongoing small-scale bribery, records upkeep, false coroners' reports and local liaison fees across jurisdictions.
Lunar Monitoring Ops $500K/yr
[#9] Ops for dedicated ground optical network, automated analytics and alerting for lunar projection recurrence.
Witness Relocation Stipends $500K/yr
[#20] Ongoing stipends and housing support for relocated witnesses and costs associated with identity maintenance.
Epidemiology Monitoring $350K/yr
[#24] Long-term memetic/behavioral surveillance and population-level analysis to detect societal effects and panic.
Media Monitoring Ops $300K/yr
[#8] Continuous social/media/news monitoring, takedown operations and in-house moderation/analysis.
Miscellaneous Contingencies $300K/yr
[#30] Utilities, insurance premiums where usable, energy costs, fuel and miscellaneous escalation supplies.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#30, #17] PPE, consumables, hazardous-waste disposal consumables, energy/utilities and routine supplies.
Pr Campaign Maintenance $200K/yr
[#7] Ongoing narrative management, influencer coordination and ad buys for disinformation campaign sustainment.
Instruments Maintenance $200K/yr
[#12] Calibration, service contracts and spare parts for scientific instruments and high-speed imaging rigs.
Data Ops $200K/yr
[#14] Encrypted data storage, backups, HPC ops, pipeline maintenance and air-gapped archive upkeep.
Evidence Storage Ops $150K/yr
[#17] Vault operations, hazardous-waste handling, routine destruction runs and permits.
Red Team And Audits $150K/yr
[#29] Independent audits, red-team exercises and legal/compliance reviews of containment and cover-up robustness.
Psychological Support $150K/yr
[#27] PTSD mitigation, counseling and cognitive screening programs for exposed operational staff.
Satellite Ops $100K/yr
[#10] Occasional tasking of commercial satellite imagery or minimal ops budget for contracted tasking (baseline minimal use).
Morgue Ops $100K/yr
[#18] Maintenance/standby costs for mobile morgue trailers and temporary mortuary teams.
Amnestic Maintenance $50K/yr
[#21] Cold-chain upkeep, inventory control and regulatory compliance for amnestic stockpile.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.1M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Typical uneventful year: ongoing monitoring, staff payroll, routine amnesticization campaigns, maintenance of cover story and legal retainer.
no major public incident routine monitoring detects nothing requiring large response
🚨 Minor Incident $24.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Localized recurrence or public exposure requiring expanded emergency response, additional autopsies, witness amnesticization and targeted hush payments.
new cluster of deaths / local media exposure need for rapid deployment of containment teams
🚨 Major Breach $51.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Large-scale exposure or repeat event leading to mass litigation risk, large-scale hush payments and procurement of dedicated space assets and emergency legal/diplomatic action.
widespread public/political exposure decision to procure dedicated satellite/space asset and execute mass settlements
👥 Personnel 64 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 10 [#13] Astrophysicists, neurologists, forensic scientists and memetics researchers assigned to SCP-5511 research and analysis.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#16] Armed guards and rapid-response field teams for site protection, evidence custody and field operations.
Operations Analyst / Watch Officer 8 [#15] 24/7 operations center staff who monitor lunar alerts, coordinate field teams and manage messaging.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#11, #12] Facility and instrument maintenance, HVAC, blast-containment upkeep and technical support.
Medical Officer 3 [#4, #5] Medical staff for amnestic administration, monitoring, and emergency treatment coordination.
Administrative Staff 6 [#19, #6] Admins and liaison officers handling records alteration, logistics and coordination with local officials.
Research Support / Lab Technician 8 [#12, #2] Lab techs for autopsies, sample prep, high-speed imaging and routine instrument operation.
Legal / PR Staff 4 [#19, #7] In-house legal and communications staff supporting cover stories, takedowns and PR coordination.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#13] Program lead and executive oversight for containment, budgets and international coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed ranges for most line items but key variables (scale of hush payments, choice to procure satellite assets, frequency of recurring incidents) create wide tails. Estimates choose mid-to-conservative values; uncertainty remains significant for extreme scenarios.
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