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SCP-5569 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5569
Expected annual
$19.2M
One-time setup
$10.3M
Annual recurring
$18.5M
Personnel
302
Estimated one-time setup and capital costs are approximately $10.32M driven by contingency seed funding, vehicles/equipment, sensor installation and lab buildouts. Annual recurring costs are approximately $18.52M/yr driven primarily by regulated coroner/undertaker payroll, on-site security wages, Tell Basta program staffing, and ongoing amnestic production/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.3M
Contingency Seed $5.0M
[#19] Initial contingency/reserve seed fund (recommended minimum to cover catastrophic breach / diplomatic remediation).
Equipment $2.1M
[#2, #4, #10, #18, #22, #23] Rapid-response vehicles/kit, surveillance/sensor installation, IT/archive server setup, generators/fuel storage hardware, secure comms kit, and mobile incinerator unit.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M
[#7, #8, #16] Secure occult/thaumaturgic lab setup, amnestic R&D/validation lab setup, and secure bio/sample lab setup.
Facilities $1.4M
[#5, #14] Perimeter hardening and minor construction (fencing, guardhouses, erosion control) and housing/lab fit-out modular setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $18.5M/yr
Staff Wages $11.8M/yr
[#1, #6, #9, #10, #15, #21, #8] 24/7 perimeter security payroll (48 guards), Tell Basta archaeological program staffing, government-regulated coroner/undertaker payroll and oversight staff, records/legal staff wages, medical/psych support staff, conservators, and amnestic administration nursing payroll.
Cover Story And Legal $1.9M/yr
[#12, #13] Public relations / information operations budget plus legal/political retainers and covert payments to maintain government cooperation.
Civilian Incident Concealment $1.3M/yr
[#11] Annual expected cost for civilian discovery responses (evidence destruction, amnestic administration, transport, burial/incineration logistics) based on baseline incident frequency.
Insurance And Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#19] Annual allocation to contingency/reserve to cover escalation and rapid large expenditures.
Facilities Maintenance $702K/yr
[#4, #5, #14, #18] Recurring sensor/bandwidth/maintenance, site repairs and erosion control, housing/utilities/ops, and fuel/power operations.
Supplies And Consumables $557K/yr
[#8, #10] Ongoing amnestic production/distribution costs (monthly doses for coroners/undertakers) and occasional forensic destruction/archive project consumables.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#7, #16, #17] Thaumaturgic/occult monitoring contracts and ritual materials, per-sample limited analysis budget, and long-term translation/storage contractor fees.
Logistics And Transport $250K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance, fuel, and equipment refresh for rapid-response tactical unit vehicles and staging kit.
Training And Exercises $250K/yr
[#20] Regular drills for concealment teams, MTF exercises, medical/amnestic training, and cultural-sensitivity training.
Cultural And Religious Liaison $150K/yr
[#24] Recurring funds for engagement with local religious leaders and community mitigation programs.
Oversight Committee $95K/yr
[#25] Honoraria, travel, and administration for long-term archival and ethical oversight committee.
Communications And Counter Surveillance $80K/yr
[#22] Recurring telecom fees, secure comms support, and counter-surveillance operations.
Mtf Activation Expected $65K/yr
[#3] Expected annualized cost of intermittent MTF activations averaged from per-activation estimates ($150k–$500k) at a low annual activation rate.
Disposal Ops $20K/yr
[#23] Recurring maintenance/permits/consumables for disposal and incineration capability.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $18.5M/yr
65.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard operations, scheduled research, and routine concealment responses only.
no_major_breach routine_civilian_discoveries stable_political_relations
🚨 Minor Incident $19.5M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Year with a cluster of civilian discoveries or localized exposure requiring increased concealment, PR, and a few small deployments.
multiple_civilian_discoveries localized_media_coverage small_mtf_deployment
🚨 Major Breach $26.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$7.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or prolonged incident requiring full MTF deployment, large medical/PR/legal remediation, and major contingency drawdown.
sustained_breach_of_SCP-5569-1a international_diplomatic_exposure large_casualties_or_mass_media_leak
👥 Personnel 302 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 48 [#1] 24/7 perimeter security detail (3 shifts + relief and supervisors) per analyst note.
Research Scientist / Archaeologist 30 [#6] Tell Basta project archaeological, conservator, and technical staff (part of Tell Basta program payroll).
Coroner / Undertaker / Morgue Technician 200 [#9] Government-regulated coroners and undertakers appointed within Sharqia Governorate (estimated 150–250; midpoint used).
Administrative Staff / Records & Legal Tech 8 [#10] Records technicians and legal/IT staff for death-record alteration and archival maintenance.
Medical Officer / Nurse 6 [#8, #15] Medical and amnestic administration staff for coroners/undertakers, basic clinic and medevac support.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#5, #18] Facility, generator, and equipment maintenance staff.
Thaumaturgic Specialist / Occult Researcher 3 [#7] Specialist thaumaturgic researchers and contractors for seal monitoring and ritual maintenance.
Conservation Technician 3 [#21] Conservators and climate-control technicians for artifact and feline/mummified material preservation.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst line items and midpoints of provided ranges, but many items are range-based, politically contingent, and scenario-dependent (e.g., frequency of civilian discoveries, scope of diplomatic payments, and potential large breaches), producing moderate uncertainty.
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