SCP-5594 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5594
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$8.5M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
20
Initial capital to establish perimeter, monitoring, equipment, and resettlement is dominated by land acquisition, mine stabilization, and optional full fire remediation; recurring costs are driven by security staffing, ongoing monitoring, and long-term stewardship.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.5M
Full Underground Fire Remediation $5.0M
[#10] Optional/contingent full underground fire remediation (range $5M–$50M+); included here at lower-end as a recognized potential capital liability.
Facilities $1.9M
[#1, #9, #11, #12] Perimeter fencing (#1), mine-opening stabilization/capping (#9), structural assessment/demolition (#11), and land acquisition/easements/compensation (#12). Estimates are midpoints of provided ranges and reflect site preparation and physical access controls.
Equipment $860K
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #17, #18, #20] Patrol vehicles purchase (#4), remote surveillance setup (#5), drones (#6), environmental monitoring installation (#7), thermal/seismic installation (#8), specialized sensing initial purchases (#17), initial medical/HazMat gear (#18), and initial IT/data infrastructure (#20).
Relocation Resettlement Initial $330K
[#15] One-time relocation/resettlement costs for 11 displaced residents (midpoint of $10k–$50k/person).
Legal Admin Cover Initial $238K
[#13] Initial legal, administrative, and cover-story setup costs (lawyers, PR, records work).
Incident Response Seed Fund $125K
[#24] Initial seed for incident-response contingency (midpoint of $50k–$200k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#3, #6, #16] 24/7 security staffing (guards/supervisors) plus designated drone operators and on-site research personnel; includes benefits/overhead (+30% applied to salary estimates).
Research And Monitoring $612K/yr
[#7, #8, #16, #17, #22, #26, #23] Environmental monitoring calibration/data analysis (#7), thermal/seismic data operations (#8), field research team operational costs (#16), equipment calibration/consumables (#17), public-health surveillance (#22), archival/containment planning (#26). Long-term stewardship (#23) is accounted for within the recurring program budgeting assumptions.
Logistics And Transport $205K/yr
[#4, #6, #25] Patrol vehicle maintenance and fuel (#4), drone maintenance/batteries (#6), and intelligence/search operations to locate former witnesses (#25).
Relocation And Resident Support $138K/yr
[#15] Annual housing/support/monitoring for 11 relocated residents (midpoint of $5k–$20k/person/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $125K/yr
[#2, #5, #20, #27] Perimeter and fence repairs/vegetation control (#2), surveillance monitoring/replacement (#5), IT/hosting maintenance (#20), and utilities/onsite building maintenance/office costs (#27).
Cover Story And Legal $88K/yr
[#13] Ongoing legal, PR, and cover-story administration (midpoint of $25k–$150k/yr).
Amnestic Administration $65K/yr
[#14] Per-incident amnestic administration costs (drug, physician/nursing time) aggregated across expected incidents (midpoint estimate of 10–50 incidents/yr).
Misc Administrative Overhead $62K/yr
[#27] Misc administrative overhead: utilities for control building, generator fuel, office supplies, insurance, and payroll overhead.
Neighbor Compensation $55K/yr
[#21] Ongoing compensation/mitigation payments to neighboring landowners for livestock losses and related claims.
Incident Response Reserve $50K/yr
[#24] Ongoing annual reserve contribution to maintain a contingency fund for rapid response, contracting, and overtime.
Medical And Hazmat Contracts $40K/yr
[#18] Annual contracts for paramedic/HAZMAT readiness, training refreshers, and respirator/SCBA service.
Supplies And Consumables $28K/yr
[#19] PPE, respirator cartridges, batteries, first-aid and field consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with established perimeter, monitoring, staffing, and routine maintenance; no major incidents or remediation actions.
routine operations scheduled maintenance periodic research activities
🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized incident such as mass trespass, small subsidence, or concentrated media attention requiring overtime, contracting, small repairs, and increased amnestic actions.
mass trespass localized subsidence small-scale fire expansion
🚨 Major Subsidence $3.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant ground collapse or sudden expansion of the underground fire requiring emergency stabilization, large claims, and heavy contracting.
major subsidence large-scale emergency repairs significant property damage claims
🚨 Full Fire Remediation $7.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Decision/year in which full-scale underground fire remediation is funded (grouting, excavation, inerting), incurring major one-time capital outlay in addition to recurring operations.
policy decision to extinguish fire availability of extraordinary funding legal/ political pressure
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#3] 3 shifts, ~4 guards per shift as a minimum to provide continuous perimeter coverage; supervisors folded into this team.
Research Scientist 3 [#16] Field research/paranormal/geology team (2–4 researchers); includes travel and analysis responsibilities.
Drone Operator 2 [#6] Certified UAV operators for regular aerial reconnaissance and rapid response.
Medical Officer 1 [#14, #18] Medical oversight for amnestic administration, paramedic readiness and follow-up.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#4, #5, #8] Equipment maintenance, vehicle servicing, sensor and surveillance upkeep.
Administrative Staff 1 [#13, #27] Legal/administrative/cover-story coordination, records, and local government liaison.
Intelligence / Field Ops 0 [#25] Intelligence/search operations are budgeted as contracted/operational costs rather than permanent dedicated headcount (costs accounted for in recurring logistics).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges for most costs, enabling midpoint estimates; however uncertainty is material for key drivers (true subsurface extent, frequency of trespass/amnestic incidents, and discretionary decisions like full remediation or land acquisition scope), so confidence is medium.
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