SCP-5620 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5620
Expected annual
$640K
One-time setup
$85K
Annual recurring
$631K
Personnel
1.45
Initial one-time setup is modest (~$84k) for containment fixtures and basic equipment; annual operating costs are driven primarily by staff wages, medical contingency, MTF-readiness and ongoing research, totaling roughly $606k/yr in a moderate program.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $85K
Facilities $30K
[#5] Isolation room outfitting / dedicated quarantine room outfitting estimated $20k–$40k (midpoint used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#8] Initial forensic/material analyses (SEM, mass spec, scans) estimated $5k–$50k (mid-range used).
Equipment $19K
[#3, #7, #14, #23] Secure transport crate ($3k–$8k), freezer purchase ($6k–$10k), camera/alarm installation ($2k–$6k), initial public procurement concealment purchases ($200–$2k) aggregated.
External Contracting One Time $10K
[#21] One-time specialized external analyses or contract engagements (as-needed initial contracts).
Training And Sop Development Initial $6K
[#16] Drafting & initial training / SOP development cost estimated $3k–$8k.
Public Procurement Initial $1K
[#23] Initial covert procurement of cover items / replacements ($200–$2k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $631K/yr
Mtf Readiness $150K/yr
[#12] MTF Iota-6 readiness / contribution (training, vehicles, equipment); treated as an allocated readiness cost ($50k–$800k range; mid-range internal allocation used).
Staff Wages $140K/yr
[#2, #4, #5] Security allocation (~0.25 FTE), research staff allocation (0.5–1.0 FTE aggregated), medical staffing allocation (~0.2 FTE).
Medical Contingency $100K/yr
[#10] Annual medical treatment contingency / reserve for severe incidents (recommended $50k–$200k/yr).
Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#22] General contingency / worst-case reserve for unexpected outcomes (recommended $50k–$250k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#9] Ongoing R&D / specialized testing budget (controlled assays, pathology, follow-up studies) estimated $10k–$60k/yr.
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#11] Incident response / emergency deployment reserve and per-event transport costs (~$10k–$50k per incident; annual reserve allocated).
Incident Response Reserve $25K/yr
[#11] Recurring reserve for small on-site containment events, overtime, emergency med resources (per-event $10k–$50k).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#20] Legal counsel, cover-story costs, PR, NDAs and related annual legal/cover allocations.
External Contracting Recurring $15K/yr
[#21] Ongoing contracts for specialized analyses budgeted $5k–$40k/yr.
Psychological Support $10K/yr
[#19] Counseling and long-term follow-up reserve for subjects (~$5k–$20k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#1, #25] Secure storage locker proportional facility overhead ($1.2k–$6k/yr) and small energy costs for testing/freezers (<$200/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#6, #7, #15] Per-test consumables (ingredients, PPE), freezer consumables (vials/racks) and low-cost maintenance (bulbs/parts).
Ethics And Irb $3K/yr
[#17] Ethics review, IRB overhead and per-subject consent administration fees (~$1k–$5k/yr).
Administrative Overhead $3K/yr
[#24] Administrative time for logs, audits and recordkeeping (~$1k–$5k/yr).
Disposal And Decontamination $2K/yr
[#13] Disposal / decontamination per-event fees and annual expected disposal costs ($500–$5k/yr).
Training And Sop Refresher $2K/yr
[#16] Refresher training and SOP updates (~$1k–$3k/yr).
Security System Monitoring $2K/yr
[#14] Camera monitoring, tamper alarm monitoring and secure offsite storage costs ($500–$2k/yr).
It And Records $2K/yr
[#18] Encrypted storage, backups and records management ($500–$3k/yr).
Public Procurement Ongoing $300/yr
[#23] Ongoing covert procurement budget for cover items (~$100–$500/yr).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $631K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Moderate program year with routine testing cadence and no major incidents.
routine_testing no_incidents normal_research_activity
🚨 Minor Incident $646K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline
Limited containment/medical incident requiring emergency response and limited treatment.
small_on-site_containment_event emergency_medical_treatment security_overtime
🚨 Major Breach $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$475K vs baseline
Significant breach or public exposure requiring MTF deployment, extensive medical care and legal/PR operations.
containment_breach mass_exposure MTF_deployment
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $806K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$175K vs baseline
Discovery or regulatory approval that requires expanded R&D, contracted labs and increased staffing.
unexpected_research_result scale_up_of_testing external_contracted_analysis
👥 Personnel 1.45 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1.0 [#4] Lead researcher / PI allocated as primary research FTE (covers lead and part-time techs aggregated).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.25 [#2] Security checks / access control allocation (~0.25 FTE equivalent).
Medical Officer 0.2 [#5] Medical staffing allocation for on-call monitoring and quarantine readiness (~0.2 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide granular line items and ranges but many items (MTF readiness, medical contingencies, contracting) have wide ranges and site accounting conventions vary, producing moderate confidence in these mid-range estimates.
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