SCP-5662 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5662
Expected annual
$9.9M
One-time setup
$40.7M
Annual recurring
$9.8M
Personnel
4
Initial one-time capital and contingency reserves dominate upfront costs (principally vessel acquisition, buoy fleet and contingency funds). Annual operating costs are driven by vessel operations, buoy telemetry/maintenance, staffing, secure communications and diplomatic/cover payments, resulting in a multi-million-dollar recurring budget.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $40.7M
Vessel Purchase $25.0M
[#9] Purchase of an ice-capable patrol/response vessel (mid-range purchase estimate).
Contingency Response Reserve $6.0M
[#22] Reserve for rapid surge chartering of heavy icebreakers / extraordinary asset deployment (7–14 day surge reserve).
Equipment $4.3M
[#3, #6, #11, #13, #16] Purchase and installation of buoys (~13 units), UAV platforms + ground gear, refrigerated containers + genset ensemble, recording/archival hardware, and ROV purchase aggregated here.
Archive Decommission Reserve $1.8M
[#25] Long-term archival retention and future facility decommissioning fund.
Diplomatic Front Setup $1.1M
[#20] Initial front organization / liaison setup and one-time covert diplomatic/legal establishment costs.
Environmental Compliance Reserve $1.1M
[#23] One-time environmental compliance and remediation reserve for handling/storing natural ice/iceberg fragments.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#15] Initial laboratory and specialized instrument purchases for controlled analyses and sample prep.
Secure Operations Center $500K
[#17] Initial secure operations center hardware and classified network setup.
Ml Tooling Development $250K
[#24] Initial development and training of automated anomaly-detection / ML tooling.
Legal Cover Setup $88K
[#1] One-time legal/administrative establishment of exclusion zone, planted officials and initial PR/cover-story setup.
Facilities $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.8M/yr
Logistics And Transport $4.0M/yr
[#10] Vessel operational costs (crew, fuel, maintenance, port fees) for owned or long-term-chartered ice-capable vessel.
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#2, #20] Recurring maintenance of maritime warnings/PR and ongoing liaison/permit/covert payments to local authorities and contacts.
Research And Monitoring $650K/yr
[#15] Annual internal research budget for controlled analyses, consumables and specialized instrument operations.
Buoy Maintenance $650K/yr
[#5] Annual parts, retrieval/repair ship-time and replenishment (20–30% of procurement/year estimate).
Covert Reimbursements $625K/yr
[#19] Annual budget for reimbursements, hush funds and commercial compensations for affected shipping/research entities.
Staff Wages $545K/yr
[#14] Nightly log review & analysis staff: 3analysts + 1 senior scientist (salaries + benefits & overhead included).
Buoy Communications $468K/yr
[#4] Satcom airtime and telemetry for buoy fleet (high-bandwidth polar links).
Field Security $400K/yr
[#18] Field security contractors for onshore storage and vessel berthing locations (shifts, training, benefits).
Cold Storage Energy $375K/yr
[#12] Electricity/fuel for remote freezers (diesel gensets, fuel shipments) and onsite utilities for cold-storage.
Medical Evacuation $300K/yr
[#21] Medevac standby contracts and insurance/policies for Arctic operations.
Uav Operations $250K/yr
[#7] UAV/aircraft operational costs: pilots/operators, maintenance, sorties and consumables.
Rov Operations $225K/yr
[#16] ROV/submersible operations, maintenance and deployment costs.
Satellite Imagery $150K/yr
[#8] Tasked SAR/radar and satellite imagery subscription for persistent monitoring and ship detection.
Secure Comms $125K/yr
[#17] Recurring secure communications leases and classified satellite link costs.
Secure Archival Storage $100K/yr
[#13] Recurring secure archival & backup storage operational costs and classified storage maintenance.
Environmental Monitoring $100K/yr
[#23] Recurring environmental monitoring and smaller remediation/permit compliance costs.
Ml Compute Cloud $60K/yr
[#24] Recurring compute/cloud costs for ML models and automated data analysis.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.8M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; operations continue under standard recurring budget.
no incidents routine maintenance standard diplomacy
🚨 Minor Incident $10.1M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized incident (discoveries by civilian vessel, small drift ashore, or single-ship delay) requiring reimbursements, ROV/UAV response and limited surge operations.
civilian sighting/delay small retrieval operation public report requiring quieting
🚨 Major Breach $14.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$4.5M vs baseline
Significant containment response requiring urgent heavy asset deployment (icebreaker charter, large-scale retrieval, diplomatic surge and extended operations).
large drifting SCP-5662-1 multiple civilian exposures need to charter heavy icebreaker
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Analyst / Technician 3 [#14] Nightly log review & analysis staff (3 analysts included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist / Senior Scientist 1 [#14] Senior scientist oversight included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and mid-point selections; Arctic logistics, charters and diplomatic/cover costs are highly variable and dependent on operational choices (charter vs. purchase, local political risks), so uncertainty is moderate.
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