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SCP-5666 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5666
Expected annual
$6.0M
One-time setup
$23.8M
Annual recurring
$5.8M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time startup capital is approximately $23.8M driven primarily by Arctic hangar construction, heavy mobilization, foundation/permafrost mitigation and decommissioning reserves; ongoing annual operations are approximately $5.82M driven by staffing, aerial resupply, utilities and research/medical programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $23.8M
Facilities $13.9M
[#1, #6] Prefabricated insulated hangar sized for F27 wreck and integrated on-site living quarters (foundations and fit-out). Midpoint of provided ranges for hangar and accommodation construction.
Decommissioning Cost $2.5M
[#26] Projected future safe teardown, site remediation and removal of contaminated materials (midpoint of projected future cost).
Mobilization And Heavy Logistics $2.2M
[#2] Ice-class barge/C-130/C-17 sorties, heavy-lift crane rental, site prep and Arctic mobilization during short summer window (midpoint).
Contingency Fund $1.2M
[#25] One-time reserved contingency for anomalous/extraordinary rapid mobilization, large-scale amnestic administration, or emergency heavy-lift (midpoint).
Permafrost Foundation $1.0M
[#3] Specialized thermosyphon/pile insulation foundation systems for permafrost mitigation (midpoint).
Equipment $795K
[#5, #10, #11, #23] Initial purchase/installation of runway clearing equipment, VSAT/secure comms hardware, perimeter sensor suite, and ruggedized specialized recording equipment (installation costs only, midpoints).
Utilities Installation $700K
[#4] Diesel genset installation, bulk fuel storage, water treatment and sewage containment, HVAC installation (installation component midpoint).
Legal And Government Setup $500K
[#17] Initial legal fees, Indigenous consultation setup and permitting, and cover-story/legal establishment (midpoint of initial range).
Community Relocation Initial $275K
[#18] Initial small-scale relocation/compensation and deterrence measures (midpoint of small-group range).
Environmental Remediation Initial $250K
[#19] Initial fuel/oil/asbestos/battery remediation and contaminated snow/soil removal per regs (midpoint).
Redundant Power And Spare Inventory $200K
[#21] Redundant generators, critical spares and cold-weather inventory stockpile (initial spares midpoint).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $162K
[#12] Portable/field forensic and scientific kits, sampling containment and initial lab instrumentation for on-site research (midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#7] Continuous on-site rotation (~12-person effective headcount) at an effective fully-burdened ~$120,000/person/yr including rotation travel; midpoint used as provided.
Logistics And Transport $850K/yr
[#9] Scheduled resupply charters, emergency medevac retainers and periodic heavy-lift; midpoint of annual plan budget range.
Research And Monitoring $650K/yr
[#22] Ongoing cognitive-science, memetic containment research program budget including specialized researchers, lab time and travel (midpoint).
Security And Perimeter $450K/yr
[#8] Armed/unarmed guards, intrusion sensors, periodic patrols, training and Arctic survival gear (midpoint).
Human Subject Missions $420K/yr
[#13] Per-mission costs (planning, safety, amnestics, medical monitoring) budgeted for ~12 missions/yr (midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $388K/yr
[#17, #28] Annual legal/government liaison and cover-story/public-relations operations (midpoints combined: recurring legal retainer + PR/cover ops).
Insurance Overhead $325K/yr
[#24] Corporate overhead, contingency reserves, internal admin and liability budgeting (midpoint).
Amnestic Program $150K/yr
[#15] Amnestic pharmaceuticals procurement/administration, secure storage and medical oversight (midpoint).
Utilities Fuel And Maintenance $138K/yr
[#4] Diesel fuel, generator maintenance and utilities upkeep per analyst recurring range midpoint.
Psychological Support $125K/yr
[#16] Post-mission counseling, long-term care contingencies and debrief resources (midpoint).
Long Term Medical Monitoring $120K/yr
[#14] Baseline MRIs, neurocognitive batteries, psychiatric care and follow-ups for exposed personnel (midpoint).
Runway Operations $115K/yr
[#5] Operators, fuel and maintenance for snow-clearing tractors/cats and runway grooming (midpoint).
Accommodation Operations $105K/yr
[#6] Food, cleaning, consumables and operations for on-site living quarters (midpoint).
Scientific Consumables $100K/yr
[#12] Consumables, sample analysis and field lab consumables for ongoing forensic work (midpoint).
Emergency Drills $100K/yr
[#20] Red-team exercises, medevac drills and spill response retainers (midpoint).
Community Support $88K/yr
[#18] Ongoing liaison, temporary housing support, travel and monitoring to discourage return (midpoint of recurring range).
Environmental Monitoring $50K/yr
[#19] Ongoing contamination monitoring and periodic remediation checks (midpoint).
Specialized Equipment Maintenance $50K/yr
[#23] Maintenance, data extraction and analysis costs for wearable sensors and redundant recorders (midpoint).
Mission Specific Consumables And Ppe $50K/yr
[#27] Arctic-rated suits, disposable containment, batteries and routine replacement consumables (midpoint).
Spare Inventory Replenishment $40K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment of critical genset/ pump/ HVAC spares and cold-weather consumables (midpoint).
Comms Bandwidth And It $38K/yr
[#10] VSAT bandwidth, encrypted link maintenance and secure-server support (midpoint).
Perimeter Maintenance $28K/yr
[#11] Maintenance and cellular links for cameras/seismic sensors and UAV ops (midpoint).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[] General building maintenance is captured in itemized recurring categories (utilities, runway, spare replenishment); core facilities_maintenance left at 0 to avoid double-counting.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[] Mission-specific consumables and PPE are captured in a dedicated recurring line to preserve auditable mapping.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.8M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine operations, scheduled missions and no major incidents.
routine missions scheduled resupply regular research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $6.3M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incident (temporary evacuation, minor containment breach or equipment loss) requiring emergency response, limited repairs and temporary surge staffing.
temporary evacuation minor structural damage small-scale mass exposure
🚨 Major Breach $8.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure (extended unavailability, large-scale exposure, loss or reappearance with damage) requiring large mobilization, legal action, mass amnestics and possible rebuild.
prolonged uncontained period mass exposure or personnel loss major site remediation/rebuild
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#7] On-site security rotation (2–4 recommended in notes; using 4 to ensure 24/7 coverage with rotations).
Hangar / Maintenance Technician 3 [#7] Maintenance staff for hangar systems, runway equipment and generators (2–3 recommended; using 3).
Aviation / Flight Specialist 2 [#7] Personnel to manage SCP-5666 movement procedures and piloting support (1–2 recommended; using 2).
Medical Officer / Psychologist 1 [#7] On-site medic and psychological support for mission monitoring and amnestic administration.
Systems Engineer / IT 1 [#7] Secure communications, server maintenance and data integrity for memetic recording and storage.
Logistics Manager / Site Manager 1 [#7] Operational management, resupply coordination and liaison with external authorities.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and explicit line items; Arctic logistics and memetic uncertainties introduce variance. Well-specified engineering and operational items raise confidence, but memetic/ethical/legal outcomes and civilian relocation scale are inherently uncertain.
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