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SCP-5684 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-5684
Expected annual
$3.7M
One-time setup
$1.5M
Annual recurring
$3.4M
Personnel
8
One-time startup capex of approximately $1.52M to deploy monitoring stations, sensors, drones and HPC; recurring annual operations are approximately $3.44M/yr driven primarily by personnel, satellite tasking, research/processing, contingency reserves and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M
Facilities $850K
[#4, #16, #15] Monitoring station site prep/shelters for ~10 sites (~$600k), backup power & environmental control hardware (~$200k), hardened enclosures/startup hardening (~$50k).
Equipment $670K
[#6, #7, #9] High-speed imaging & spectrometry units (~$350k), mobile drone fleet capex (~$120k), on-premise HPC cluster capex (~$200k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
Analyst Summary $0
[#25] Reference summary/totals from analyst notes; no separate incremental one-time cost assigned here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#1] 4 analysts @ $120k fully burdened, 2 scientists @ $180k, 2 watch/support staff @ $80k = ~$1.06M/yr (includes benefits/overhead).
Research And Monitoring $520K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #23] Satellite tasking & commercial imagery (~$200k/yr), recurring on-premise/cloud processing/storage (~$50k/yr), cloud burst compute & egress (~$50k/yr), laboratory research/modeling/contracts (~$200k/yr), archive/documentation (~$20k/yr).
Emergency Contingency Fund $500K/yr
[#21] Standing rapid contingency reserve for escalation/special acquisitions (~$500k recommended recurring reserve).
Logistics And Transport $395K/yr
[#2, #3, #13] Rapid-response roster standby & on-call costs (~$200k/yr), travel/deployment budgets per-event (~$120k/yr), local contractor/site access fees (~$75k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $225K/yr
[#12, #22] Legal, government liaison, permits and public cover operations (~$125k/yr) plus post-event PR/misinformation remediation and buffers (~$100k/yr).
Replacement Depreciation Reserve $225K/yr
[#19] Amortized capital refresh / replacement reserve (~15%/yr on ~$1.5M capex ≈ $225k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $145K/yr
[#5, #16, #15] Station power/communications/calibration & consumables (~$75k/yr), backup power maintenance/fuel (~$20k/yr), recurring site security/asset protection (~$50k/yr).
Coordination Other Bodies $100K/yr
[#24] Liaison and joint-operation compatibility costs with other anomaly containment bodies (~$100k/yr).
Medical And Medevac $75K/yr
[#14] Medical & psychological support readiness, medevac insurance, emergency training (~$75k/yr).
Cybersecurity $75K/yr
[#20] Secure comms, VPNs, hardened datacenter protections, incident response (~$75k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#18] Consumables & spare parts reserve (lenses, batteries, cables, calibration lamps, drone props, shipping consumables) ~$40k/yr.
Mobile Drone Ops $40K/yr
[#7] Pilots, insurance, maintenance for drone fleet operations (~$40k/yr).
Training And Exercises $35K/yr
[#17] Annual drills, dry-runs, interagency rehearsals (~$35k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.4M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year: annual monitoring, scheduled deployments, research and reserves with no major public incidents or escalations.
routine_november_monitoring scheduled_deployments no_public_leak_or_casualties
🚨 Minor Incident $3.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized public exposure or limited civilian injuries requiring additional PR response, legal settlements, extra deployments and increased medevac/compensation costs.
local_public_leak minor_civilian_injury unauthorized_imagery_circulation
🚨 Major Escalation $28.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant strike impacting populated facility or mass-casualty event requiring large-scale emergency response, military/law enforcement cordons, major litigation and long-term remediation.
mass_casualties international_political_incident multiple_site_strikes
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Analyst / Data Analyst 4 [#1] Continuous monitoring, signal analysis and data correlation (~4 FTEs @ $120k fully burdened).
Research Scientist 2 [#1] Domain scientists (astrophysicists/optics engineers) for modeling and experiments (~2 FTEs @ $180k).
Watch Officer / Support Staff 2 [#1] Watch officers and support personnel to maintain 24/7 coverage (~2 FTEs @ $80k).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most categories (medium confidence). Uncertainty remains due to anomalous behavior, country-dependent costs, and high-variance contingency/incident costs which reduce overall confidence.
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