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SCP-5691 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5691
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$3.8M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
21
Estimated up-front capital of approximately $3.76M to build containment, test pad, lab upgrades and specialized equipment; recurring annual operations around $2.18M driven primarily by staffing, security, remediation, and long-term research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M
Facilities $1.6M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #18] Vault segregation and corridor gating, hardened outdoor test pad, volcanic hardening features, water-test containment infrastructure, and modular temporary holding bay build-out (civil works and structural upgrades).
Equipment $718K
[#1, #6, #7, #9, #13, #16, #26] Secure-rated lockers/briefcase cabinets, custom remote painting robot, sensor/monitoring suite, incinerator setup and permits, initial PPE stock, hoist/crane purchase, and classified data-storage hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $675K
[#8, #24] BSL-2/3-capable wet-lab modular upgrade, growth chambers, −80°C storage and initial decontamination/neutralization R&D capital equipment and experimental setup.
Contingency Reserve One Time $500K
[#27] Large-scale contingency reserve (excavation, emergency containment building, heavy equipment) held as one-time emergency fund.
Environmental Reserve $250K
[#21] Environmental impact insurance / remediation reserve held as one-time capital for potential groundwater or off-site remediation.
Coverup Setup $50K
[#23] Administrative/legal setup for cover-story/waivers/false-front preparation if recreational or cover use is authorized.
Legal Provenance Review $20K
[#28] Initial international provenance and legal review (Giverny estate research) and associated documentation/legal fees.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $655K/yr
[#10, #11] Salaries and benefits for core research staff (senior researcher + techs) and dedicated security roster.
Research And Monitoring $444K/yr
[#7, #8, #14, #22] Monitoring calibration and replacement, wet-lab operations/consumables, sample analysis and sequencing, and long-term research program budgets (instrumentation and postdoc contracts).
Emergency Response $250K/yr
[#12] On-call HazMat/Fire/Volcanic rapid-response team costs, vehicle maintenance, drills and on-call premiums.
Incident Response Insurance $150K/yr
[#25] Medical surveillance, medevac coverage, long-term health monitoring and personnel injury insurance.
Administrative Overhead $150K/yr
[#30] Program management, procurement, accounting, contract management and audits for the classified containment program.
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#15, #23, #28] Annual legal counsel, NDAs, PR/cover maintenance and liabilities/reputational mitigation budgets.
Facilities Maintenance $60K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #9, #18] Annual structural and containment maintenance for test pad, vaults, volcanic hardening elements, incinerator permits and modular storage upkeep.
Energy And Utilities $60K/yr
[#17] Additional electrical/utility costs for monitoring, HVAC, pumps and periodic peak-load equipment rentals averaged annually.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#16, #9] Secure internal transport, sample couriering, per-test waste transport and associated logistics.
Training And Certification $50K/yr
[#20] Annual training, recertification and emergency drills for research and security staff.
Environmental Insurance Replenish $50K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment and premiums for environmental impact insurance and contingency fund usage.
Contingency Replenish $50K/yr
[#27] Annual top-up to contingency reserves as incidents deplete funds.
Routine Maintenance $35K/yr
[#6, #19] Scheduled maintenance, calibration and spare parts for robots, sensors, cameras and containment hardware (includes robot maintenance contract).
Decontamination Operations $30K/yr
[#24] Ongoing operational costs for remediation trials, neutralization deployments and equipment used in containment area cleanup.
Supplies And Consumables $14K/yr
[#13, #29] Ongoing PPE replacement, brushes, masking, replacement glass pots and small consumables.
Data Storage And Cybersecurity $12K/yr
[#26] Classified data storage, secure backups and cybersecurity operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
80.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine tests and research continue within containment parameters.
no major containment incidents scheduled testing within permitted range
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment/remediation event requiring extra cleanup, legal/crisis management and limited replacement of equipment or consumables.
small-scale conversion beyond test pad biota removal and extra hazardous-waste disposal minor legal/PR response
🚨 Volcanic Test Year $2.7M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Year in which restricted/volcanic α-24 testing is authorized and executed, incurring high operational, rental and PPE replacement costs.
authorization to run α-24 volcanic tests heavy pump/chiller rentals and extensive PPE/suppression use
🚨 Major Breach $5.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Rare catastrophic containment breach or large-scale unexpected conversion requiring excavation, long-term remediation, legal/crisis management and possible site lockdown.
large area conversion beyond containment spawn of large fauna / uncontrolled spread public exposure or legal action
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#10, #8] Senior researcher leading SCP-5691 studies and oversight of tests; salary included in staff_wages.
Research Technician 3 [#10, #8] Technical staff for xenobiology/geology/atmospherics, sample processing and test support; salaries included in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#11] Dedicated Level-2 through Level-4 guard roster to provide 24/7 coverage, supervisor and overtime staffing.
Emergency Response Specialist (HazMat/Fire/Volcanic) 4 [#12] On-call rapid-response personnel for volcanic tests, outbreaks and containment incidents; costs included in emergency_response.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#6, #19] Robot and facility engineers for remote rig maintenance, pumps, HVAC and infrastructure upkeep.
Administrative Staff 2 [#30] Program manager and administrative/procurement support included in administrative_overhead.
Data / Cybersecurity 1 [#26] Classified data manager / cybersecurity role maintaining logs, archives and backups.
Medical Officer 1 [#25] Medical surveillance and emergency medical response coordination; costs reflected in incident response insurance and emergency budgets.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but contain wide uncertainty in test frequency, severity of potential breaches, and the decision to pursue volcanic testing; cost ranges therefore have moderate uncertainty.
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