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SCP-5765 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5765
Expected annual
$135K
One-time setup
$34K
Annual recurring
$127K
Personnel
2
Initial one-time setup is estimated at $34,000, driven by monitoring hardware, imaging/testing campaigns, and initial research equipment. Annual recurring costs are approximately $126,950 driven primarily by staff wages, site overhead/facilities maintenance, and ongoing monitoring/analysis; larger one-time upgrades or incident responses would raise costs substantially.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $34K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $16K
[#4, #5, #7] Initial imaging/campaign scans ($3,000), initial entomological testing & sequencing campaign ($10,000), acoustic analysis/software and specialist start-up ($3,000).
Equipment $16K
[#3, #6, #9, #15] Monitoring hardware purchase ($8,000), specialized small cameras/endoscope ($3,000), PPE initial suits/accessories ($2,500), emergency containment kit initial ($2,000).
Medical Readiness $2K
[#10] Initial stock epinephrine/antihistamines, training materials and dedicated emergency kit ($2,500 initial).
Facilities $0
[#11, #12, #20] Deferred major structural/containment upgrades and insectary conversion; not included in baseline one-time spend.
Secure Transport Assets $0
[#14] Secure transport is typically budgeted per relocation operation; no baseline capital purchase assumed.
Incident Contingency Reserve $0
[#16] Large contingency reserve not booked as capital here; held as discretionary reserve if needed.
Escalation Insectary Conversion $0
[#20] Full insectary / biological containment conversion not included in baseline one-time spend; budgeted only if triggered.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $127K/yr
Staff Wages $75K/yr
[#8, #19] On-site entomologist / beekeeper retainer (part-time contractor) plus technician/research time allocation; combined annual personnel cost estimated at $75,000.
Facilities Maintenance $34K/yr
[#1, #2, #12] Dedicated containment-unit maintenance (~$7,500/yr), site-space allocation/overhead (~$25,000/yr), HVAC microclimate energy/maintenance (~$1,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $11K/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #18] Data storage and maintenance for monitoring hardware (~$1,250/yr), periodic scan campaigns (~$3,000/yr), follow-up entomological analyses (~$3,000/yr), small camera replacements (~$600/yr), acoustic monitoring/analyst time (~$1,250/yr), secure recordkeeping/backups (~$2,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#13, #9, #15] Consumables (vials, swabs, replacement seals) ~$2,000/yr, PPE replacements ~$500/yr, emergency kit replacements/training ~$600/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $3K/yr
[#17] Legal/compliance, permits and occasional documentation/legal review estimated ~$3,000/yr.
Medical Readiness Maintenance $1K/yr
[#10] Recurring replacements/training refreshers for medical readiness (epinephrine, antihistamines, training) ~$1,250/yr.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#14] Secure transport is charged per relocation operation; no recurring baseline allocation assumed.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $127K/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with ongoing monitoring and periodic testing; no confirmation of living bees and no containment upgrades.
no empirical confirmation of bees routine monitoring only no incidents
🚨 Minor Escape Incident $157K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Limited containment breach or worker stings requiring medical claims, on-site remediation and small publicity/legal costs.
short-term containment lapse one or a few personnel stung localized remediation and medical claims
🚨 Bees Confirmed And Specialized Containment $222K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$95K vs baseline
Empirical confirmation of live bees requiring targeted bio-containment upgrades, HVAC/microclimate installation and increased specialist staffing.
confirmation of a living colony decision to maintain/house colony for study installation of insect-proofing and HVAC
🚨 Major Breach $327K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Significant escape or public exposure requiring large-scale incident response, medical claims, legal action, and substantial remediation/cover-up.
large-scale escape affecting civilians multiple severe medical claims public exposure requiring major remediation
👥 Personnel 2 total
Role Count Notes
On-site entomologist / beekeeper 1 Part-time contractor or retained specialist; covers expert supervision and emergency interventions. Mapped to #8.
Research Technician 1 Technician/sample collection, sensor checks, and data handling (0.25–1.0 FTE allocated). Mapped to #19.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided cost ranges are specific, but key uncertainties remain (presence of bees not empirically confirmed, contingency and upgrade timing). Line-item ranges lead to moderate confidence in baseline figures but material upside risk if bees are confirmed or an incident occurs.
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