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SCP-5794 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5794
Expected annual
$934K
One-time setup
$1.1M
Annual recurring
$904K
Personnel
6
Initial one-time containment and remediation costs are estimated at approximately $1.14M driven by property control, physical containment and legal/settlement costs; recurring annual costs are approximately $904k driven by staffing, contracted rapid-response readiness, ongoing research, and cover-story/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.1M
Facilities $445K
[#1, #2, #3, #4] Purchase/lease or eminent-domain control of site, official closure/decommissioning work, permanent pool capping/fill options and perimeter hardening (fencing/gates/signage).
Equipment $246K
[#5, #6, #9, #10, #11, #16, #18, #20] CCTV/intrusion install, power/backup install, remote retrieval hardware purchase (ROV/boats/drones), environmental/aquatic sensors install, evidence lockers/vaults setup, secure servers setup, initial PPE kit, and vehicle purchase.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#12, #22, #24] Initial forensic/materials analyses, incident investigation/internal review costs, and initial data-disposal/archival setup.
Medical And Settlements $150K
[#13] Autopsies/mortuary handling for existing victims plus an initial settlement pool/hush payments to families (mid-range estimate).
Public Relations One Time $50K
[#15] Initial PR/cover-story campaign, press materials, and upfront media suppression or paid placements to establish the closure narrative.
Legal And Permits One Time $40K
[#14] Initial legal work for decommissioning, permits, municipal coordination, and NDAs/records redaction setup.
Training Sop Development $40K
[#19] Initial SOP development, containment procedure creation and initial training/exercises.
Staff Counseling Initial $20K
[#17] Initial counseling, benefits/hazard pay adjustments and one-time support for staff after incidents (EAP, death benefits).
Contingency Response $0
[#25] Contingent large-scale response / quarantine & relocation costs (low-probability, very high cost). Range noted $500k–$10M+; budgeted as contingency handled via scenario modeling rather than baseline one-time spend.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $904K/yr
Staff Wages $440K/yr
[#7, #23] Ongoing salaries/benefits for on-site security posture and the small long-term monitoring/research team (Research scientists, technician(s), and site security).
Rapid Response Contracts $250K/yr
[#8] Dedicated rapid-response readiness (contracted/standby team readiness, equipment maintenance, training/exercises). Mid-range recurring estimate for a small dedicated team and equipment readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing legal retainers, municipal liaison costs, PR/media monitoring and suppression subscriptions, and ongoing cover-story expenses.
Research And Monitoring $80K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12, #16, #17, #19, #23, #24] Ongoing targeted forensic analyses, remote-retrieval maintenance/training, sensor maintenance/calibration, evidence storage management, digital storage/ops, counseling refreshers, training refreshers, and non-wage research/monitoring operational costs.
Facilities Maintenance $13K/yr
[#6, #21] Power/fuel for generator/UPS, utilities and routine site maintenance (mowing, pest control, small repairs) and security-system servicing.
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#20, #9] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and transport/trailer costs for ROVs/drones and routine logistics.
Supplies And Consumables $9K/yr
[#18, #10, #24] Consumable PPE/decon supplies, sensor calibration/maintenance consumables, and small archival/maintenance supplies.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $904K/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine staffing, monitoring, maintenance, and legal/PR activity.
no breach no media exposure routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $1.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized breach or personnel incident requiring emergency response, additional forensic work, short-term overtime, and limited settlement/legal costs.
small perimeter breach single victim or equipment loss short public attention spike
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $3.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Major escalation requiring large-scale quarantine/evacuation, extended public deception campaign, major settlements, and sustained multi-site response.
mass casualties widespread media/political exposure necessity for town-scale evacuation
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 On-site security staffing coverage included in staff_wages ([#7]).
Research Scientist 2 PI and one additional researcher from the small monitoring/research team ([#23]); salaries included in staff_wages.
Technician 1 Technical support for sensors, ROVs and archival handling; included in staff_wages ([#9, #11, #23]).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are well-identified but many have wide ranges (property acquisition, settlements, contingent responses). Estimates use mid-range choices and scenario modeling for low-probability high-cost events; therefore confidence is medium.
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