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SCP-5801 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-5801
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$2.2M
Annual recurring
$1.8M
Personnel
13
One-time startup/capital costs are approximately $2.22M driven by site acquisition, field station construction, vehicles, generators, instruments and contingency seed funds; recurring annual costs are approximately $1.76M driven primarily by staff wages, remote-site fuel/utility costs, research/monitoring, travel/logistics, and legal/cover obligations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.2M
Facilities $880K
[#1, #2, #24] Site acquisition/land rights, field station/modular containment support building (insulated berthing/lab modules, site prep, foundation), and one-time environmental assessment.
Equipment $798K
[#3, #4, #6, #9, #10, #11] Vehicles and field transport, power generators/installation, climate-rated surveillance suite, remote sensing scientific instruments, robotic manipulators and one-time sensor array.
Seed Reserve $375K
[#25] One-time seed contingency/insurance reserve fund.
Legal Setup $100K
[#16] One-time legal fees and cover-story establishment, land/permit negotiations and initial liaison payments.
Archive Setup $50K
[#26] One-time long-term archiving and off-site backup setup.
Cold Weather Ppe Issue $12K
[#21] Initial issue of cold-weather PPE, survival gear and training issue costs.
Secure Pharmacy Setup $5K
[#14] One-time secure storage/compliance setup for amnestic drug inventory.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.0M/yr
[#12, #13, #20] Annual salaries and benefits for on-site security guards, medical/amnestic personnel, field director, researchers and administrative support.
Research And Monitoring $200K/yr
[#8, #9, #11, #22, #28] Secure data storage & analysis, recurring instrument calibration/contract lab analysis, barrier monitoring technician time, scientific research budget and periodic special testing allocations.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#18, #19] Emergency helicopter/medevac/heavy-lift reserve and personnel lodging, per diem, and rotation travel costs.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#16, #17, #27] Recurring legal retainer, community relations/cultural outreach payments, and media/cover-story maintenance budget.
Witness Relocation $80K/yr
[#15] Witness relocation, temporary housing, travel reimbursement and settlement budget for removed civilians.
Insurance Replenishment $75K/yr
[#25] Annual replenishment of contingency/insurance reserve.
Facilities Maintenance $55K/yr
[#5] Diesel/propane fuel for heating and generators, electricity and routine facility upkeep at an Arctic site.
Communications And Data $45K/yr
[#7] Satellite uplink/data links, redundant comms and encrypted communications maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $26K/yr
[#14, #21, #23] Amnestic drug consumables, PPE replacement/consumables, and sample-handling/contamination-control supplies.
Equipment Maintenance $15K/yr
[#10] Annual maintenance and small repairs for robotic manipulators, drones and remote instrumentation.
Long Term Archiving Maintenance $10K/yr
[#26] Recurring maintenance for archives and continuity planning.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.8M/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal year of routine monitoring, upkeep, staff rotations and occasional small tasks with no major incidents.
No incidents; routine operation
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small-scale incidents such as tourist intrusion, limited medical emergency, or several amnestic administrations requiring extra relocations and medevac.
tourist intrusion small medical emergency multiple amnestic administrations
🚨 Major Breach $3.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment event or public exposure requiring large-scale remediation, legal settlements, emergency airlift/evacuation and extended research response.
structural change to barrier major public exposure mass casualty or widespread media leak
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#12] On-site guards to enforce red-zone perimeter and cover 24/7 shifts; estimate uses 6–8 guards (7 used here).
Medical Officer 1 [#13] One medic/EMT on rotation for medical emergencies and post-incident care.
Amnestic Technician 1 [#13] One trained amnestic technician per rotation for civilian amnesticization.
Research Scientist 2 [#20, #22] Field researchers performing interviews, sensor data analysis and external collaborations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#20] Field director/site scientist responsible for operations and reporting.
Administrative Staff 1 [#20] Administrative support for logistics, scheduling, procurement and liaison.
📋 Confidence Notes
Medium confidence: analyst notes provide explicit ranges for almost every line item and a clear operational picture (remote Arctic site, surveillance, staffing), but many recurring costs depend on variable factors (tourist frequency, fuel prices, number of amnesticizations) and asymmetric tail-risk scenarios make precise prediction uncertain.
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